Important Note
Results are no longer published live on the website because clients were getting their accounts closed or severely restricted too quickly.
Sadly the chicken-hearted greedy Bookmakers and their spies can read too and it was making it too easy for them to identify clients accounts. That’s why many horses names were ***** out. That’s because those articles were published from time to time. Clients on the service got the weekly email with all horses names in of course.
However you’re probably like me and curious as to what a period of genuine results looks like so I’ve now un-password protected old files from a few years ago.
Study the result and have a look at any week, winning or losing. Everything is 100% as it was sent to clients by private SMS. I think you’ll agree it makes pretty impressive reading. Over £300,000 Profit in one year from £100 per point stakes!
Please also note this particular service is now full although we have a handful of vacancies on the pay as You win Service which you can subscribe to under the “JOIN” tab at the top.
It’s always been our most popular service because it’s (normally) just one bet a day , you choose which days you want to bet and you only pay for the bet after it’s won!
Warm Regards
Bob Rothman
The old files are below and on the tabs at the side. Happy reading.
First 6 Months Profit over £200,000!
Click 6 months Profits for the Service to get a graph showing the profits for the first 6 months to £100 per point stakes (June 6th to Nov 30th 2008)
If you want more detailed results then click on the tabs in the left column if you are a member (password required) or peruse the summaries below if you are a visitor and haven’t joined us yet.
Members Only Private Area
Welcome!
Here you and you alone can view the full details of last week’s betting including the horses names.
After a suggestion from one of the Senior Traders I have adopted this format so that public visitors to the site can only access skeletal details and NOT the actual selections we bet on.
This is because bookmakers can run a query on their betting history to identify who bet which horse. If we give them the horses names then they could identify you more easily and may restrict the size of bets you are allowed faster than they normally would. I hope you are ok with the minor inconvenience of using a password in order to protect your privacy.
Passwords will be sent by text each week
Regards
Bob
(Password Required)
Please click Detailed Racing Results and use your password to access the latest full report with all names revealed and Full Profits Details or look at specific weeks using the links below.
Week 29 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 28 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 27 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 26 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 25 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 24 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 23 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 22 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 21 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 20 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 19 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 18 Horse Racing Tips – Weekly Discussion
Week 6-17will be uploaded shortly … weeks 1-5 accessed from sidebar
VISITORS
Hi. Feel free to browse our site where everything is on the open. However the actual slections we bet are obscurred to protect clients from having their accounts banned too quickly. However you can view skeltal summaries below which will give you an accurate feeling for the type of bets and horses we invest on.
Bookmakers read the web as well as anyone else and several Senior Traders have asked me to keep our actual slections private after having their accounts limited by bookmakers very quickly when the selections were made public.
Visitors summares are listed below …
Week 26 – £17,800.00 Profit!
Another excellent week! We had 20 bets and an outstanding 60% strike rate with horses winning or being placed when we bet them win or each way. And the 8 Good winners out of 20 bets represents a 40% strike rate which I consider excellent.
That brings me on to an interesting point. Many friends have forwarded “tipster mailings” to me and asked for my opinion. I’m saddened to see that very many of them make simply outrageous claims that cannot be true. Whenever you see someone advertising a “Guaranteed 70% strike rate” at fancy odds then shove your wallet into your pocket as deep as you can get it and run a mile! In all probability it’s a scam. I’d bet on it! In fact if anyone could get even close to 70% strike rate (at odds against) he could come on my payroll right now and never have to work again!
A realistic strike rate is UNDER 50%. Yep under 50%. I have some of the best people in the Country helping me, spend an absolute fortune of speed figures, form figures, computer analysis, private handicapping not to mention the constant flow of information. And I don’t expect to do any better than 30-40% over a season. Yet at that strike rate we’ve made a small fortune this year. Now it’s not because I’m brilliant because I’m not. But we do have a fantastic team of Professionals all working together to make this work and as a result we bet enough winners at decent odds to win plenty. But we won’t do much better than 30%-40% with our win bets.
Of course we do bet each way a lot. And that does bring up the strike rate no question. As you know I believe we win more by betting each way partly because we can afford to take a bigger risk when you bet each way and partly because I believe the place part of the bet has great value.
£200,000 Profit in First 6 Months!
Last week was a milestone for the service too. It’s been running for 6 months and so to celebrate it’s “half birthday” I’ve produced a graph showing the whole 6 month journey. It’s under the results tab on the www.horseracingpro.co.uk website or if you’d like to go direct to the graph it’s on
If you study the graph you’ll notice a couple of things
- The trend is UP! That’s excellent just the way we like it. The straight blue line is a “trend line” auto generated by my graphing software and shows the average increase in profits. It works out at about £45,000 profit for every 100 bets or an average 4.5 points profit per bet. That’s incredible but realistically I wouldn’t expect it to be that high in the long term. Let’s face it one or two points a bet would be amazing and enough to live off comfortably! I will try and deliver the same terrific standard but don’t be too disappointed if we only make £100,000 out of the next 500 bets please!
- There were two severe dips corresponding to the weeks when we had two losing weeks back to back, one around bet numbers 170-200 and one around bet numbers 400-425. We dropped approx 200 and 300 points respectively (£20,000-£30,000 at my stakes! ouch!)
- The point is you and I know the results overall have been fabulous. But it’s tough when you hit a bad spell. That’s why it’s important to keep your cool and keep the staking under control
- And can you imagine what someone would have thought about this service if they joined at the beginning of a bad spell? The only people you get staying with you under those circumstances are people with vision and faith who can really see the potential. The rest drop away like flies. And to be fair you can’t blame them. Losing hurts.
Anyway it’s been a good week and a great 6 months. I’ve had some wonderful letters and emails in this week and each one has lifted my spirits and made me smile from ear to ear. I love winning and beating the bookies no question. You can’t beat having a good bet, seeing it storm home and then collecting a big wad of cash afterwards and stuffing it in your pockets! It’s a terrific feeling.
But it makes it even better hearing you’ve won too. I know it may sound corny but I really do get even more pleasure knowing you’ve won (or I assume you have!) whenever one of the selections lands a gamble. Especially if it’s a big price or a big bet. When ********* won on Tuesday for example I was over the moon. A stonking 40 pointer and it won in a canter! That was good! Real good! So please keep the letters and emails coming, let me know when you win, it makes my day reading about it and doubles the pleasure of winning! I’ve set up a special email address at ***************** which you can send them to if you’re an email person! I’m only just getting to grips with it myself to be honest and tend to only read emails when I get a phone call to say “Hey Bob, I’ve sent you an email” when friends are wondering why I haven’t replied! So if you need an urgent answer best to ring the office!
Ok let’s have a quick chat about the highlights of the week…
Monday
Great start! The first bet of the week, ******, wins easily and unusually for us he ended up a BIGGER price! Lady Luck must have been smiling on us because he met the 3rd last all wrong and almost came down. To the horse’s great credit he was back on the bridle almost immediately, an indication of how much he had in hand. To be fair if you make a mistake in a jump race it usually means it’s all over. He won in a canter and still had plenty up his sleeve. My only regret was not making him a 20 point bet! And if the 9/4 Sp had been available in the morning it would have been a 20 point win or each way bet. You never have enough on the winners especially when they win so easily! A good days “work” and £2,400 profit at the end! Rather better than most have done on the stock market recently I suspect!
Tuesday
A stunning day! We enjoyed a rare, close to maximum bet when we invested a massive 40 points on ******. Maybe you felt extra confident when you saw it was the same owner/ trainer/ jockey combination as our easy win yesterday? Because it was a leap of faith to back a horse so heavily after a 298 day absence! It’s horses like this that give you confidence in the wonderful team of analyst and informants who provide the flow of information and feedback which is invaluable in the process of making our selections.
******** did not go off a bigger price! … hardly surprising as every bookie who took a caning the day before must have been pooping their pants again when we hit them with this beauty!
… and just so don’t get the worng impression, I’m sorry but I do NOT get all the *****/*****/***** horses! No-one does. I think ********has over 300 dotted around, ****** has a big stable and ****** could get on most horses if he really wanted to so if you see one of their runners and especially one in ************ famous colours and I haven’t bet it don’t make the mistake of thinking it’s not fancied. Most run on merit and at Cheltenham he may have 2 or 3 runners in a race. It’s not unheard of for the outsider to win and although he’s a big gambler I can assure you that when that happens it’s rarely a plot. Simply the fact that they are all trying and that in a handicap there really isn’t a lot to split the most and least fancied horses.
In any case every day I may hear about 10-50 horses and cannot possibly bet them all. Sure I miss plenty of winners that are fancied but that’s not the point. It’s whether we can make a profit out of the fancied horses we do bet!
Wednesday
************ was a rare ********* horse that let us down although he did finish 3rd. You may have wondered why I didn’t bet him each way at 3/1 as the 8 Points each way returns 12.8 points and reduces the loss to 3.2 points instead of 8 for the straight win.
The reason I didn’t bet him each way is because he can pull hard. Horses that pull rarely win and usually “blow up” in other words they run out of breathe because they waste so much energy fighting their jockey. My information was he was working well and had settled down since last year although still exuberant. So I was a bit worried he might still pull too hard for his own good and that’s why it was a smallish bet and I decided not to risk the place portion of the bet.
Of course I regretted it afterwards but that’s racing. 20/20 is perfect vision and you can only call it the way you see it before the race. He actually did remarkably well to finish in the frame considering how he pulled in the race. He blew up coming to the last and it’s only his class that enabled him to stay in the places whereas most horses would have then been well beaten. If he settles he’ll be dangerous!
I bet you smiled when you saw the next bet! ***********. Beaten by an odds on ********** trained favourite last time and today was taking on what? A Red Hot ********* trained odds on favourite!!
What the heck was going on? Maybe that made you more confident if you were reading between the lines?
I promise you I didn’t know that ********** would fall!! but he wouldn’t have won if he’d stood up! In contrast *********** jumped superbly and absolutely stormed home a very easy winner indeed.
Thursday
A poor days racing and the only bet on the card was ********* horse in the bumper. He was heavily gambled and we had way over the odds but faded when he came to win the race.
Friday
You must have felt like Golden Balls today! It was hard to anything but win! know at least one client enjoyed a lovely 3 doubles and a treble on the 3 winners and collected around a cool £1,600 for £25 stakes! That’s really handy with Xmas just coming!
What more can I say? 4 early bets and 3 great winners. A terrific day. ******** was a big gamble at the night meeting and although coming to win the race and trying really hard just wasn’t good enough. He’ll win a modest race.
Saturday
Yet another great winner from the ******** stable (we bet ******** and ********* the day before). You’ll remember we had a big bet on him each way when he had his seasonal debut and only just failed (and should have won) finishing 3rd after making a couple of mistakes and getting badly hampered. You can see now why I wanted such a big bet on him when he made his start to hurdling. he clearly has a big engine and the gallop reports about his sparkling work at home were spot on!
************! How close! A terrific 8/1 each way bet that looked like winning for 90% of the race. Always travelling well just lobbing along he looked really good and traded at odds on in running. When the leader jumped across him at the final flight I thought he had no chance. But then even though he had to be switched he came right back at him and it was under a length at the line. He’d have won with a clear run … and he’d have won easily if the jockey had kicked on when he was cantering instead of letting other horses get into the race. No damage done and a small profit but it could have been an incredible finale to a stunning week.
When I saw the big drift for ********** I was worried he would be a “non trier” or given a gentle introduction because I know the horse needs a lot of driving at home. If you don’t push him along he does nothing! But he has got an engine! It’s just that he’s like an unruly teenager and needs cajoling to use it! He’d be an easy horse to lose on because you have to make an effort 110% of the race. If the jockey missed the break and then just sat on him like so many seem to he wouldn’t stand a prayer. I’m always monitoring the markets to see how honestly horses are likely to run and it was a concern …
It needn’t have been as it turned out because ************* pushed him along in a winning position all through the race and he almost pulled of the coup. He battled throughout with the winner and was only beaten a length in a dead heat for 2nd. Amazingly for one of our horses he went off a bigger price too, 7/1! That’s twice in a week! Are the bookies losing their respect for us? Sadly I doubt it! I wish they would, it’d make it a heck of a lot easier to get bets on and clean them out!
Sunday
– No bets.
Summary
Well that’s now 6 months of rock solid profits and over 500 bets! (519 actually). That’s a massive amount of business and proves beyond any shadow of a doubt there’s no fluke about it. There’s no way you can bet that number of horses and make a profit unless you are betting some seriously well fancied horses. We’ve turned over 8,069 points and won 2,317 that’s a staggering 28.7% profit.
And that’s all starting with a 20 point bet on June 6th. From that point on we’ve always been in profit. Just imagine you could have started with a £200 bet and now have £23,170 in the bank! Of course you wouldn’t have quite that much as you’ll have missed plenty of prices, and inevitably the odd winner as well as some losers too. But I’m sure you’re up a fair bit and I imagine you’ve had lots of fun doing it too!
You can probably see why I love this business so much … and after every winning day I tell myself I am so lucky to be able to be a player in this great game! May the Racing Gods continue to shine on us! Roll on Cheltenham!!
All the best
Bob Rothman
PS This week’s password for the secure areas on our website horseracingpro.brookscustomers.com is now ********** *** **********
Visitors
Here is the Non Members Summary of the week. You can peruse this and decide if our service is for you
Please click Summary Racing Results and the latest results profits with names of selections removed
Week 26 Profit account now available (discussion to be loaded later)
Week 25 Profit account now available
Cobham, 10.09 pm Monday 24th Nov
Week 25 – £11,582.50 Profit!
Another solid weeks profits! Ten grand plus! In a week. That’s half a million pounds a year! Amazing really. Can you now see how it really is possible to earn a fabulous 6 figure income … simply betting horses for a living!
Of course that sounds easy and any professional knows it isn’t. There is an enormous amount of work that goes on behind the behind the scenes by the various team members who help us out. Most Professionals I know put in at least 10/12 hours a day solid … and would like to do more!
… and then there’s the sharp end. Getting the bets on. It’s not as easy as people first imagine. In fact I bet most of your friends have no idea what a sweat it is to try and get the best price. Rushing to the bookies or trying to log onto your internet account before the odds evaporate like Scotch Mist as the yellow-belly bookies dive for cover!
I know how hard you must work getting trying to get the best odds and applaud you for your efforts … many punters think it’s just a question of ringing up your bookies or slapping a grand down on the counter and the bet’s on. I wish! I know how frustrating it is to miss the best prices too. Because you know that over a period of time you’ll back plenty of winners. And every time the bookies cheat you of a point they are effectively stealing cash out of your pocket.
It infuriates me how they get away with taking any bet off a mug punter who loses all the time … but as soon as you start backing “warm” horses they don’t want to know you. I’ve been rushing around for 20 years opening up accounts and betting under disguises so I know it all too well. If you lose, the bookies welcome you with open arms and a big smile. Then when you start winning … or even looking like you’ll win (because you’re backing the horses they don’t want you to!)
Ok, that’s enough moaning about bookmakers cutting odds too quickly. Because unusually the odds for one of our biggest bets this week, ******* at 5/1 … were there all day long! … and you could still get 5/1 at the off. The bookies took a serious caning and we cleaned up nicely! Ok so how did the week go?
Monday:
Great start again. £3,500 in the bin, a good days “work”!
Tuesday:
Frustrating. ********* was run out of the places and made a 12 point hole in the tank. A so-so day.
Wednesday:
Horrible. ********* blew up after looking like the winner. ******** ran a stinker and connections were mystified. They interviewed the trainer on TV afterwards and he had no clue. Maybe it was the ground. Maybe someone kicked him in the goollies before the race? who knows. He was punted into the ground as if he was a cert .. and ran a shocker. Very odd. Just one of those events in racing you have to take on the chin. Rumble of Thunder ran 3rd but two non runners meant the places were reduced to 2 so he was a loser.
**** *** landed a lovely gamble but the same trainers ********* ran too free and didn’t handle the bend. ******** ran green and will improve. He was disappointing, they expected a win as you could tell from the huge gamble on him.
Thursday:
Two nice winners. A big bet on *** *** *** landed with consummate ease. And another easy 4/1 winner when ******* bolted in on his chase debut. He’d been jumping brilliantly at home. ******** and ******** were both expensive 4ths, just missing the frame and costing us a valuable 22 points.
Friday:
How did ********** not win? Coolly letting the front runner get a 20 length lead he ran him down and took it up looking sure to win. Then got caught close home. Maybe if he’d made his effort earlier and taken it up sooner he would have won easily? It didn’t really matter because we cleaned out the bookies big time with ******* a big 20 point each way bet.
I know we’ve discussed this before but one new client asked me a question I must get asked every week so if I may I’d like to just touch on it very briefly …
“Does an each way bet mean you are less confident?”
NO!! … absolutely not.
As you know I love betting each way. I’ll bet all sorts of crazy prices each way because I believe we win more by doing so. Of course you don’t have to copy me. But I think you will win more (and lose less) if you do.
For the record if I was only allowed to bet ******* win only for example (as some bookies insist on the racetrack) then my bet would have been a 10 or 12 point win. It’s precisely because of the insurance of the place bet that allows you to bet bigger! Often being able to bet each way make a horse a STRONGER bet, not weaker as we discussed before.
Saturday
The hardest day’s racing of the week because so many owners want to win on a day they can go to the races with friends. They’re all trying! Yet we still managed to put another 21 points or £2,160 on the scoreboard. Let’s face it, if you could make £2,000 every Saturday I’m betting you’d be very happy!
Our two biggest bets won and 4 small bets lost. Yet we still made a good profit. That because we bet in proportion to the winning chance of the horse and the value on the bet not some numpty, level-stake betting system which needs no brains to operate and reduces your profit potential.
Sunday
– No bets.
Summary
Over 25 weeks we’ve made £213,897 at £100 per point stakes. that’s an average of an average of £9,299.87 per week. So I guess you would say we had an above average week! Of course if I was offered a job at £9,000 a week I think I’d have to seriously consider it even though I love betting horses. Because there is always the chance you can lose, with a job you get paid (for a while anyway) whether you do a good job or not so good. No luxuries like that in betting! We have to be excellent all the time to even stand a chance of winning.
Many clients have been with me since the launch in June and know there are ups and downs. I know it seems so easy when we are winning. But please bet sensibly, stake in proportion to your bank and perhaps you’d like to note the guidance I give in the points suggested. It does seem like we always win in the end I know. But we have had two spells of two losing weeks … and so mathematically I guess it’s just as likely to have one spell of 4 weeks instead! Ouch!
Gambling is a volatile business and the rewards can be immense. But there are ALWAYS losing spells and anyone who tells you otherwise is an idiot or a con man. I still remember when I started betting back in 1987. Winning £440,000 in my second year was fantastic! … but … wait for this … In that year … I had TWO losing months. Hard to believe isn’t it? Trust me I was dumbstruck. But it happens and just as day follows night and summer follows winter you have to pick yourself up, dust yourself off and carry on.
That’s if you can.
Because if you lose your tank the game is over. And I’m mentioning this because I lost two clients after our bad spell 2 weeks ago and that makes me really sad. Because if they’d been able to stick it out … they would now have won almost twice as much as they lost over those two weeks … and that’s not even accounting for the massive cushion of profits already built up before.
That’s why your first priority must be always to make sure your bets are small enough that you can withstand a losing run. To win you have to be able to stay in the game. Over 25 weeks I’ve shown you it is possible to win … and win pretty big. Over an enormous number of bets. So clearly no fluke. But I won’t pretend it’s easy and missing a winner or the odds will cost. The good news is the evidence shows if we keep doing what we’ve always done … we should always win eventually.
Great to have you on board because it is so much more enjoyable when I know you’ve won as well. Somehow winning together enhances the experience. I guess winning alone is a bit like being Scrooge at Xmas! So thanks for being part of the team and making it so much more enjoyable for me …
All the best
Bob Rothman
PS This week’s password for the secure areas on our website www.horseracingpro.co.uk is now *******
£27,380.00 Profit! The Champagne corks
were popping in the Rothman household last week!
What a week! We started off with a wonderful near maximum bet winner, with 40 points on ******. In one swoop we’d wiped out all losses from the previous week with a profit on top.
… and then followed that winner up with two more handsome wins at 100/30 and 7/1! It was stunning day and we’d turned round the previous dry spell with a fantastic £16,800 winning day, one of our best!
When you’re betting good horses you can
go from “drought” to “flood” in days!
That’s one of the most amazing aspects of gambling for a living. You can have a dry spell and be scratching your head wondering when the next winner will ever come! Frankly it’s hard not to lose confidence. We all do and the challenge is that if you lose your confidence your betting goes to pieces. You may start having too much on big priced horses trying to win it all back in one hit. And equally badly there a tendency to scale back big bets on short priced horses. If you just been losing it’s easy to get “gun-shy” and become scared of losing more. So instead of a nice 20 point win on a 6/4 chance you end up having a poxy 4pt win because you can’t stomach a 20 point loss.
Somehow it seems easier to have a few 3 and 4 pt ew bets on big priced horses hoping to fluke a 20 or 30 point win. It doesn’t work and you’ll only ever show a profit in the long run if you stick to a sound staking plan. You know my views on level stake staking. It sucks and it’s for amateur professionals or people who don’t have the time to study and analyse races properly.
The only time it might be appropriate to use level stakes is if you are blindly following a system. Systems don’t differentiate between good, great and stunning bets. They are all the same to a system. But if you get good information, know something about form and ability ratings, can read a race and understand basic principles of handicapping and perhaps have software to help you get it all done quicker then the more complex variable staking methods can work wonders for you. Of course in your case I do it for you and just deliver the end result ie a bet of “x” points at odds of “y”. But there’s nothing stopping you doing it yourself and comparing your deliberations to mine. I’m certainly not infallible and there’s plenty of race handicappers who can read races a lot better than I can. (That’s why I employ a couple to help me out!)
Intelligent Variable staking is a Power Betting Tool
Apart from our information I believe our staking plan delivers a unique advantage and maximises our profits. It’s made fantastic profits for me for years, but I will admit it takes a heck of a lot of work. Instead of the one-size-fits-all simplistic approach of level stakes, our bets are tailor made for each race. Each race has to be studied carefully and the form and messages for all the horse in the race taken into context. And this leads nicely on to a subject I’d like to discuss very briefly. Messages from stables that can lead you astray. Let me give you a hypothetical example to illustrate…
The one mistake stable’s make which
you must protect yourself from
I don’t know if you’ve ever subscribed to other tipping services but I suspect you may have. Or picked up juicy tips from your own stable contacts. Maybe you know an owner? Maybe you are an owner?
The biggest mistake most stables make in my opinion is not properly evaluating their horses ability IN THE CONTEXT OF THE RACE.
For example a small stable has a horse they call “Superstar”
Superstar has never run before so they’re not sure how good he is. But he destroys all their other horses on the gallops. All the stable lads love him. They’ve been saving up their weekly wages to back it when it runs. And why not? After all they’ve seen with their own eyes how easily it beats everything at home.
The problem is the stable is a small stable and don’t have any really good horses to test its mettle against. They have say 20 horses and they are all rated between 40 and 60.
Let’s say the second best horse in the yard is called Seaside Donkey, and he’s rated 60. Superstar beats Seaside Donkey by 3 lengths when they gallop at home and the other horses in the stable are some way behind these two.
Now the work looks great to anyone watching. But looking at it logically, unemotionally, all you can really say is Superstar is 3 lengths better than Seaside Donkey … which means he’s 3 lengths better than a 60 rated horse.
Over 5 furlongs a length is general accepted to be worth 3lbs. So Superstar is 3 lengths x 3lbs or 9lbs superior to Seaside Donkey. Ie Superstar is a 69 horse)
Ok so now comes the day when Superstar goes to the races.
They enter it in a maiden at Newmarket even though the powerful Newmarket yards have runners there too. But they figure their best horse should go and run in a decent race to show how good it is!
In this race most of the horses are no-hopers but there are 3 possible dark horses who are all unraced but hail from big powerful stables. Somehow you’ve managed find out what the word on the street is … and that word is that none of the Newmarket horses are “fancied”
Why not?
Well each of the powerful stables tell you their horse is “rubbish” because he finishes last in his work group. Horses often work in groups of 3 so you might sensibly ask the question “What are the other horses rated in the work group?” before you take this rumour as gospel and fall into the trap that so many people are going to today.
Stable 1 tell you the work group consists of a slow Horse called Plodder and two 90 rated horses.
Stable 2 tell you their work group consist of 2 95 horses and a slow horse called Sloth.
Stable 3’s work group consists of one slow horse called Dawdler and two 110 horses.
Plodder, Sloth and Dawdler finish last in their groups and are each beaten say 5 lengths by their quicker companions. That’s a long way to be beaten and that’s why the lads from these stables think these horses aren’t very good.
Calculate the ability of an unraced horse
by comparing it to the horses it works with …
Plodder is approximately a 75 horse, as he works 5 lengths behind two 90 rated horse. 5 lengths x 3lbs equals 15 lbs. Deduct 15lbs from the 90 rating of his companions and you arrive at a figure of around 75 for his ability ie 90-15=75.
Sloth is approximately an 80 horse (15lbs behind two 95 horses, 95-15=80) and Dawdler is a 95 horse (15lbs inferior to two 100 horses, 110-15 =95)
In the powerful stables’ work groups the horses finishing last in the work groups look poor in comparison to their illustrious stable companions. But they can be different class to the best horse in a small stable.
So if you blindly follow stable messages you’ll think the race consists of three slow horses with little chance (Plodder, Sloth and Dawdler, actual ability levels 75, 80 and 95) and one good horse called Superstar (actual ability 69)
Rate horses by their ability either on the racetrack or on home gallops … not on racecourse rumours
Superstar could end up being a hot favourite because of (incorrect) racecourse rumours about how brilliant he is whereas Plodder, Sloth and Dawdler may become attractive betting propositions at bigger odds and will probably even drift in the betting. Horses like this can become stunning each way bets!
If the race follows gallops work at home the 3 “slow” horses will finish 1st 2nd and 3rd! … with Dawdler winning the race, Sloth coming 2nd and Plodder 3rd. Poor old Superstar will finish 4th at best!
Many punters will burn their fingers and scratch their heads. But in reality if you’d been able to analsye the horses’ abilities correctly that’s exactly where you’d expect them all to finish.
So “messages” have to be taken in context. Every horse’s ability has to be evaluated in the context of the race it is running in today. Sometimes a horse will be a great bet. sometimes awful. That’s why you have to adjust the stakes to suit the situation
When you have a big advantage … bet big!
Anyway that’s basically why we had a near maximum bet on ****** …
- he was rated 56 and my spies had spotted him working well with a horse rated in the high 70’s!
- So with a potential 20lbs in hand I made him a genuine odds on chance (ie his winning chance was above 50%).
- … and the final key to the puzzle … the odds available were generous in the context of his winning chance
Now this report is late (live on Wednesday night) partly because it takes me such a long time to compose not being a writer! .. and of course studying racing is my top priority so I can only start writing late in the evening when night racing has finished and I’ve completed my initial study of the following days cards. I’m considering putting up the Profit Statement on the Website on Monday mornings without a discussion and then adding the discussion later in the week if I have I have time. I’d appreciate your feedback as to which part is the most valuable to you?
And now a very brief chat about the weeks racing. The great thing about a good winning week is it doesn’t need much explanation. If the horse wins we’re all happy! Enough said. I did discuss one bet in detail our 40 pointer on Monday only because I thought it illustrated a point you might find useful when you’re evaluating any other information you may acquire on your racing travels!
Monday
Fabulous start. A near maximum bet winner and two others at decent odds. 3 Great winners on the day at 7/1, 100/30 and 9/4. A day to savor.
Tuesday
One bet, one 5/1 winner! It doesn’t get much better than that!
Wednesday
Tricky day. Two 2nds a 3rd and a 4th made it tough though ********* was an easy 7/2 winner for us and was also heavily gambled. A slight setback day but we were still £13,750 up at the end of it so little damage done.
Thursday
A quiet day. ******** was 2nd after a big gamble and then a small each way bet at 10/1 didn’t make the frame.
Friday
Another big priced horses day! ****** was a decent 12 Points ew winner at 11/2, ****** won at 5/2 and ******** an each way bet at 9/1 went very close finishing 2nd. A good day and profits now £19,070 on the week. I was hoping we’d hit the £20,000 barrier but with only Saturday (the toughest day’s racing) to look forward to it was no foregone conclusion.
Saturday
The hardest day’s racing of the week because so many owners want to win on a day they can go to the races with friends. They’re all trying!
We did very well with 7 bets of which 5 won or were placed pushing the profits over £20,000 for the week!
Sunday
– A stunning 7/1 winner! … Won in a canter and was very impressive indeed. Unusually for one of our horses we took under the odds! The bet was a decent 8 Points ew at 13/2 and he actually won at 7/1! Great day though. No complaints!
Summary
A stunning week with a profit of £27,380 to £100 per point stakes. Just imagine if you could bet like that for a year … you’d make well over a million!! Lovely thought eh?
Profits have finally crept through the £200,000 barrier to £202,314.50. That’s terrific work for 24 weeks betting! It’s been a marvelous 1st 6 months for the Service and as much as I’d love to keep winning at this rate I d think it’s been especially good. My target for the year was to win an extra £10,000 for you at £10 per point ie £100,000 at my usual £100 per point stakes. We’ve surpassed that 400% and hopefully we’ll continue to add to it. I doubt the next 6 months will be quite so spectacular but you never know! That’s the beauty of racing!
All the best
Bob Rothman
PS This week’s password for the secure areas on our website www.horseracingpro.co.uk is now ******
Cobham, 2.46pm Monday
Awesome week! £17,255.00 Profit!
Summary
This is the time of year when our betting on the Flat starts taking 2nd place to the Jumps. Many Flat horses are now losing their summer coat and going over the top making results more erratic. We had more bets over the sticks this week and the week’s results clearly demonstrated that the New Jump Season is now starting to pay its way. Let’s hope it continues as well as it’s started!
6 Bets 4 winners!
We had 6 bets over the sticks with 4 good winners at fantastic prices. We usually have an advantage at the start of a new season because not everyone knows which horses are fit before they’ve run. That means you can get better odds as we did last week.
****** was pretty stunning as an example. It was hard to believe you could bet a horse at 9/1 that was trading at odds-on in running well before the race was over … and at a very short price for most of the time … he was travelling so well you could call him the winner from a long long way out! ****** at 11/2, ****** at 11/4 and ****** on Sunday at 13/2 were all great big priced winners too so despite a substandard Saturday with several Flat horses running well below expectations and just the one winner we ended up with a handsome 172 points profit on the week! £17,255.00 to £100 per point stakes. Awesome!
Monday:
Nice start to the week with 2 winners 2 seconds. But how cruel was ******? He had to run wide most of the race yet was still well ahead in the last furlong and in the words of the Racing Post was “mown down last strides!” It was carnage for the “Betting In Running” Professionals who were betting him at 1/5 in the last furlong! Ouch! At least we were on each way at big odds around 11/2 and made a small profit anyway. They lost their shirts! It was one of those races were afterwards you’re left wondering “how the heck did he get beat from there?”
Tuesday:
****** ran too free early on yet was still close up and only run out of second close home. Worth keeping an eye on.
****** battled for the early lead but as a result blew up in the last furlong after looking like he had the race at his mercy. He needs to be ridden with more restraint.
Wednesday:
A Fabulous Day! Two great winners. ****** was the cream! I love backing 9/1 winners don’t you? Even if you missed that and only got 8/1 you had to be feeling pretty smug when he was an enormous gamble just before the off and went off the heavily backed 4/1 second favourite. He’d been schooling brilliantly and I guess when the bookies were hit for 6 they may have finally twigged it was a proper “job”. The race was named in honour of ****** and the bookmakers eventually got the clue that ****** might just have laid it out to win this and dived for cover like headless chickens as they so often do when faced with professional money!!
****** was an effortless winner making it a great day.
Thursday:
Profits on the week zoomed up to over £10,000! These are the weeks I love! Our Jump contacts proved they are in excellent form when ****** was well backed and landed a lovely 11/2 winner for us. ****** won a decent bet and the other two bets were both placed. I know they can’t all win but I don’t mind if they go close. This was a really good day!
Friday:
A poor day’s racing and looked like we’d have no bets. Then we got a late message for one which was heavily backed yet ran badly. No excuses and odd because our late messages usually run great.
Saturday
On the plus side our sole bet over the Jumps won well. ****** was another ****** runner that was having his seasonal debut and proved he was as fit as our spies reported, winning easily and being heavily backed to do so.
The Flat horses were disappointing. ****** won the race last year and had been targeted at it yet ran no race. Afterwards they agreed she gone over the top and the race had probably come a week too late. It is hard to get horses to peak for a race and usually you have a 2 week window where you can keep them at peak fitness before you have to let them down and then build up again.
Our reports on ****** proved to be accurate as we’d heard he was working better than the original favourite (******) at home (both trained by same stable) he beat him in the race but neither were good enough and it looks like their horses have also gone over the top after a long hard season.
****** travelled like the best horse but found disappointingly little when ****** asked him to quicken. They blamed the ground but I’d like to reserve judgment. He’s such a good horse at home he wins his gallops on the bridle so they didn’t know how good he was. It’s possible he’s a “bridle” horse who finds little for pressure and because he’s used to winning easily at home has never had to develop his battling qualities. Rather like humans who have life way too easy and are over-spoilt by rich parents. They may be talented but often are losers in life! Time will tell.
Sunday
What a great way to end the week! ****** was a stunning 13/2 winner for us. Sorry we missed the early 7/1 because I wanted to study the race for a bit longer after I got the message. After Saturday I was treading a bit carefully.
He was a great winner and it would have been too cruel if he’d got beaten like ******. 18 lengths clear at the second last when he hit it, and then blundered at the last as well! He had enough left to still win but it would have been even more authoritive had he not messed up the last two hurdles! He probably went too far ahead too early but was the best horse at the weights so why not!
All in all a Great Week. 172 Points profit is fantastic for a years betting let alone a week! No complaints even though ****** getting caught close home cost us another 65 points! Can’t be too greedy I guess! But I do love beating the bookies and giving them a good kick in the pants don’t you?!
All the best
Bob Rothman
PS This week’s password for the secure areas on our website is ******
Top racing tipster launches Tips by Text service – Trial run wins £85,741.50
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