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Week 26 Profit £17,800.00 Category - Results

    • 21
    • st
    • December

Members Only Private Area

Welcome!

Here you  and you alone can view the full details of last week’s betting including the horses names.

After a suggestion from one of the Senior Traders I have adopted this format so that public visitors to the site can only access skeletal details and NOT the actual selections we bet on.

This is because bookmakers can run a query on their betting history to identify who bet which horse. If we give them the horses names then they could identify you more easily and may restrict the size of bets you are allowed faster than they normally would. I hope you are ok with the minor inconvenience of using a password in order to protect your privacy.

Passwords will be sent by text each week

Regards

Bob

Week 26 Profit £17,800.00 Detailed Horse Racing Results

Week 26 – £17,800.00 Profit!

Another excellent week! We had 20 bets and an outstanding 60% strike rate with horses winning or being placed when we bet them win or each way. And the 8 Good winners out of 20 bets represents a 40% strike rate which I consider excellent.

That brings me on to an interesting point. Many friends have forwarded “tipster mailings” to me and asked for my opinion. I’m saddened to see that very many of them make simply outrageous claims that cannot be true. Whenever you see someone advertising a “Guaranteed 70% strike rate” at fancy odds then shove your wallet into your pocket as deep as you can get it and run a mile! In all probability it’s a scam. I’d bet on it! In fact if anyone could get even close to 70% strike rate (at odds against) he could come on my payroll right now and never have to work again!

A realistic strike rate is UNDER 50%. Yep under 50%. I have some of the best people in the Country helping me, spend an absolute fortune of speed figures, form figures, computer analysis, private handicapping not to mention the constant flow of information. And I don’t expect to do any better than 30-40% over a season. Yet at that strike rate we’ve made a small fortune this year. Now it’s not because I’m brilliant because I’m not. But we do have a fantastic team of Professionals all working together to make this work and as a result we bet enough winners at decent odds to win plenty. But we won’t do much better than 30%-40% with our win bets.

Of course we do bet each way a lot. And that does bring up the strike rate no question. As you know I believe we win more by betting each way partly because we can afford to take a bigger risk when you bet each way and partly because I believe the place part of the bet has great value.

£200,000 Profit in First 6 Months!

Last week was a milestone for the service too. It’s been running for 6 months and so to celebrate it’s “half birthday” I’ve produced a graph showing the whole 6 month journey. It’s under the results tab on the horseracingpro.brookscustomers.com website or if you’d like to go direct to the graph it’s on

 

If you study the graph you’ll notice a couple of things

  • The trend is UP! That’s excellent just the way we like it. The straight blue line is a “trend line” auto generated by my graphing software and shows the average increase in profits. It works out at about £45,000 profit for every 100 bets or an average 4.5 points profit per bet. That’s incredible but realistically I wouldn’t expect it to be that high in the long term. Let’s face it one or two points a bet would be amazing and enough to live off comfortably! I will try and deliver the same terrific standard but don’t be too disappointed if we only make £100,000 out of the next 500 bets please!
  • There were two severe dips corresponding to the weeks when we had two losing weeks back to back, one around bet numbers 170-200 and one around bet numbers 400-425. We dropped approx 200 and 300 points respectively (£20,000-£30,000 at my stakes! ouch!)
    • The point is you and I know the results overall have been fabulous. But it’s tough when you hit a bad spell. That’s why it’s important to keep your cool and keep the staking under control
    • And can you imagine what someone would have thought about this service if they joined at the beginning of a bad spell? The only people you get staying with you under those circumstances are people with vision and faith who can really see the potential. The rest drop away like flies. And to be fair you can’t blame them. Losing hurts.

Anyway it’s been a good week and a great 6 months. I’ve had some wonderful letters and emails in this week and each one has lifted my spirits and made me smile from ear to ear. I love winning and beating the bookies no question. You can’t beat having a good bet, seeing it storm home and then collecting a big wad of cash afterwards and stuffing it in your pockets! It’s a terrific feeling.

But it makes it even better hearing you’ve won too. I know it may sound corny but I really do get even more pleasure knowing you’ve won (or I assume you have!) whenever one of the selections lands a gamble. Especially if it’s a big price or a big bet. When Stradbrook won on Tuesday for example I was over the moon. A stonking 40 pointer and it won in a canter! That was good! Real good! So please keep the letters and emails coming, let me know when you win, it makes my day reading about it and doubles the pleasure of winning! I’ve set up a special email address at admin@horseracingpro.co.uk which you can send them to if you’re an email person! I’m only just getting to grips with it myself to be honest and tend to only read emails when I get a phone call to say “Hey Bob, I’ve sent you an email” when friends are wondering why I haven’t replied! So if you need an urgent answer best to ring the office!

Ok let’s have a quick chat about the highlights of the week…

Monday

Great start! The first bet of the week, Kia Kaha, wins easily  and unusually for us he ended up a BIGGER price! Lady Luck must have been smiling on us because he met the 3rd last all wrong and almost came down. To the horse’s great credit he was back on the bridle almost immediately, an indication of how much he had in hand. To be fair if you make a mistake in a jump race it usually means it’s all over. He won in a canter and still had plenty up his sleeve. My only regret was not making him a 20 point bet! And if the 9/4 Sp had been available in the morning it would have been a 20 point win or each way bet. You never have enough on the winners especially when they win so easily! A good days “work” and £2,400 profit at the end! Rather better than most have done on the stock market recently I suspect!

Tuesday

A stunning day! We enjoyed a rare, close to maximum bet when we invested a massive 40 points on Stradbrook.  Maybe you felt extra confident when you saw it was the same owner/ trainer/ jockey combination as our easy win yesterday? Because it was a leap of faith to back a horse so heavily after a 298 day absence! It’s horses like this that give you confidence in the wonderful team of analyst and informants who provide the flow of information and feedback which is invaluable in the process of making our selections.

Stradbrook did not go off a bigger price! …  hardly surprising as every bookie who took a caning the day before must have been pooping their pants again when we hit them with this beauty!

… and just so don’t get the worng impression, I’m sorry but I do NOT get all the JP/Jonjo/McCoy horses! No-one does. I think JP has over 300 dotted around, Jonjo has a big stable and McCoy could get on most horses if he really wanted to so if you see one of their runners and especially one in JP’s famous colours and I haven’t bet it don’t make the mistake of thinking it’s not fancied. Most run on merit and at Cheltenham he may have 2 or 3 runners in a race. It’s not unheard of for the outsider to win and although he’s a big gambler I can assure you that when that happens it’s rarely a plot. Simply the fact that they are all trying and that in a handicap there really isn’t a lot to split the most and least fancied horses.

In any case every day I may hear about 10-50 horses and cannot possibly bet them all. Sure I miss plenty of winners that are fancied but that’s not the point. It’s whether we can make a profit out of the fancied horses we do bet!

Wednesday

Boomshakala was a rare Henderson horse that let us down although he did finish 3rd. You may have wondered why I didn’t bet him each way at 3/1 as the 8 Points each way returns 12.8 points and reduces the loss to 3.2 points instead of 8 for the straight win.

The reason I didn’t bet him each way is because he can pull hard. Horses that pull rarely win and usually “blow up” in other words they run out of breathe because they waste so much energy fighting their jockey. My information was he was working well and had settled down since last year although still exuberant. So I was a bit worried he might still pull too hard for his own good and that’s why it was a smallish bet and I decided not to risk the place portion of the bet.

Of course I regretted it afterwards but that’s racing. 20/20 is perfect vision and you can only call it the way you see it before the race. He actually did remarkably well to finish in the frame considering how he pulled in the race. He blew up coming to the last and it’s only his class that enabled him to stay in the places whereas most horses would have then been well beaten. If he settles he’ll be dangerous!

I bet you smiled when you saw the next bet! Doctor David. Beaten by an odds on Henderson trained favourite last time and today was taking on what? A Red Hot Henderson trained odds on favourite!!

What the heck was going on? Maybe that made you more confident if you were reading between the lines?

I promise you I didn’t know that French Opera would fall!! but he wouldn’t have won if he’d stood up! In contrast Doctor David jumped superbly and absolutely stormed home a very easy winner indeed.

Thursday

A poor days racing and the only bet on the card was  Henderson horse in the bumper. He was heavily gambled and we had way over the odds but faded when he came to win the race.

Friday

You must have felt like Golden Balls today! It was hard to anything but win! know at least one client enjoyed a lovely 3 doubles and a treble on the 3 winners and collected  around a cool £1,600 for £25 stakes! That’s really handy with Xmas just coming!

What more can I say? 4 early bets and 3 great winners. A terrific day. Rebel City was a big gamble at the night meeting and although coming to win the race and trying really hard just wasn’t good enough. He’ll win a modest race.

Saturday

Yet another great winner from the Hobbs stable (we bet Cooper Bleu and BallyDub the day before). You’ll remember we had a big bet on him each way when he had his seasonal debut and only just failed (and should have won) finishing 3rd after making a couple of mistakes and getting badly hampered. You can see now why I wanted such a big bet on him when he made his start to hurdling. he clearly has a big engine and the gallop reports about his sparkling work at home were spot on!

Ballyaahbutt! How close! A terrific 8/1 each way bet that looked like winning for 90% of the race. Always travelling well just lobbing along he looked really good and traded at odds on in running. When the leader jumped across him at the final flight I thought he had no chance. But then even though he had to be switched he came right back at him and it was under a length at the line. He’d have won with a clear run … and he’d have won easily if the jockey had kicked on when he was cantering instead of letting other horses get into the race. No damage done and a small profit but it could have been an incredible finale to a stunning week.

When I saw the big drift for Saptapadi I was worried he would be a “non trier” or given a gentle introduction because I know the horse needs a lot of driving at home. If you don’t push him along he does nothing! But he has got an engine! It’s just that he’s like an unruly teenager and needs cajoling to use it! He’d be an easy horse to lose on because you have to make an effort 110% of the race. If the jockey missed the break and then just sat on him like so many seem to he wouldn’t stand a prayer. I’m always monitoring the markets to see how honestly horses are likely to run and it was a concern …

It needn’t have been as it turned out because Dale Gibson pushed him along in a winning position all through the race and he almost pulled of the coup. He battled throughout with the winner and was only beaten  a length in a dead heat for 2nd. Amazingly for one of our horses he went off a bigger price too, 7/1! That’s twice in a week! Are the bookies losing their respect for us? Sadly I doubt it! I wish they would, it’d make it a heck of a lot easier to get bets on and clean them out!

Sunday

– No bets.

Summary

Well that’s now 6 months of rock solid profits and over 500 bets! (519 actually). That’s a massive amount of business and proves beyond any shadow of a doubt there’s no fluke about it. There’s no way you can bet that number of horses and make a profit unless you are betting some seriously well fancied horses. We’ve turned over 8,069 points and won 2,317 that’s a staggering 28.7% profit.

And that’s all starting with a 20 point bet on June 6th. From that point on we’ve always been in profit. Just imagine you could have started with a £200 bet and now have £23,170 in the bank! Of course you wouldn’t have quite that much as you’ll have missed plenty of prices, and inevitably the odd winner as well as some losers too. But I’m sure you’re up a fair bit and I imagine you’ve had lots of fun doing it too!

You can probably see why I love this business so much … and after every winning day I tell myself I am so lucky to be able to be a player in this great game! May the Racing Gods continue to shine on us! Roll on Cheltenham!!

All the best

Bob Rothman

PS This week’s password for the secure areas on our website horseracingpro.brookscustomers.com is now STRADBROOK