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Week 23 Loss £8,050.00 Category - Results

    • 21
    • st
    • December

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Welcome!

Here you  and you alone can view the full details of last week’s betting including the horses names.

After a suggestion from one of the Senior Traders I have adopted this format so that public visitors to the site can only access skeletal details and NOT the actual selections we bet on.

This is because bookmakers can run a query on their betting history to identify who bet which horse. If we give them the horses names then they could identify you more easily and may restrict the size of bets you are allowed faster than they normally would. I hope you are ok with the minor inconvenience of using a password in order to protect your privacy.

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Regards

Bob

Week 23 Loss £7.050 Detailed Horse Racing Results


Week 23

I’m completing this report on Monday afternoon/evening in between races and bets and so it would be remiss not to mention the great results we had today. Last week we lost 70 points which was pretty demoralising.  Today we WON 168 points and wiped out  that loss and added a stunning profit with 3 great winners at 7/1, 100/30 and 9/4! What a day!

I’ll be talking about today in more detail next week of course. But it only goes to show how volatile this business can be. From the depths of despair to elation in 24 hours! And how important it is to keep the faith if you have what you believe is a winning formula. It also confirmed we’re betting the right sort of horses. Last week we had some rough times. The worse was the appalling ride by Dean McKeown on Rascal in the Mix on whom we’d invested 15 pts ew at 6/1. If you saw the race, or even better saw the ruthless dissection of McKeown by ATR’s presenter Sean Boyce you’d see how we were robbed. Mckeown’s  riding licence was taken away from him with immediate effect. I for one was pleased.

Hanging on to the horse’s head and forcing it sky high as the stalls opened he “missed” the break. Then he sat right back on the horse stopping it running for almost a furlong. It was buried at the rear. Sitting motionless as the horse still cruised up looking dangerous he finally consented to waving his arms around as the horse ran on with no help whatsoever from the saddle. Many, many professionals were of the opinion the horse would have won in a canter if he’d tried. It was daylight robbery and sadly we were robbed of both a nice 108 point win … and we also lost our 30 point stake!!! That once race alone was a 138 point swing and would have turned our week into a 35 point profit! Disgraceful

The jockey club immediately suspended his license and basically told him not to bother appealing. What was incredible was that he did this only a few days after he’d been found guilty of stopping horses and had his license taken away for 4 YEARS! Sadly jockey club rules state that under these circumstance they have to allow 7 days for an appeal and in those 7 days the jockey can continue riding! And in those 7 days McKeown pulled a stroke like this. It’s thought he was so fed up at getting  caught he decided to take the mickey and put two fingers up at the establishment. Sadly we got caught up in it because you could clearly see that horse would have won no matter what McKeown and Whittaker said afterwards. No doubt trying to cover up?

At The Races had a couple of interesting videos including the one where they actually had a special camera focused solely on his performance because the suspicious betting patterns on Betfair had alerted them to the possibility the horse would not be trying. It’s quite comical. Here’s the link where they were being shown all last week but they may have taken it down by tomorrow …

http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/list.aspx?ref=console+main+nav&ctype=news&date=2008-11-05&brand=ATR

Non runners – We had 3 non runners last week, Steam Cuisine, Pascha Bere and Shamali. Make sure you get your stakes back especially if you had a cash bet in a betting shop. If you bet on account it should be automatically returned to you but if you only checked results on teletext you might have thought they’d lost so a small bonus! So now a brief chat about the week …

Monday:  Good start to the week and again the Henderson stable came up trumps with a nice winner in the Bumper, Madame MADO (mis- typed as Maro in the Profit report) They’ve been brilliant this season and it’s always a good stable to have on your side at Cheltenham. I can’t wait for the Festival, It’s the highlight of the jumping season and the week I most look forward to all year!

Tuesday:  McKeown cost us a fortune. To add insult to injury I was out but got a call warning me of the suspicious betting movements. There was a racecourse rumor the horse hadn’t travelled well? I guess that might have been one put out to explain the alarming drift? Anyway as a result I figured the favourite was good value if you took the horse out of the race that I’d expected to win. So I invested another 10 points on the race at 11/8. We were right because Desert Strike was then punted down to odds on going off the hot 5/6 favourite but was beaten by my only other runner in the race Denton Diva. If I’d had more time to re-evaluate I would probably have bet that one each way as at round the 5/1 mark it was outstanding each way value. The net result was we lost 40 points on a race where we should have been 108 up! Ouch that was horrible. I felt like sending McKeown a bill!

Wednesday: Jakeini was a gamble from 7/1 down to 9/2 favourite and was only beaten by another gamble. He showed a small profit (it was a 1/4 the odds, 4 places race) but not enough to balance the “mugging” from the day before.

Thursday: Another dodgy day and a bad result. Some good contacts put me on standby for a big gamble on Lord of the Dance. The bookies pooed their pants big time. Backed from 20/1 down to around 4/1 in minutes. It was embarrassing to see grown men (bookies) crying and refusing to take bets because they were so scared.  Isn’t that why they’re in business? At 4/1 it was obvious they’d completely overreacted so advised waiting for the Shows and betting later if you missed the big early prices which were really hard to get. Why don’t they act like men and hold their prices for say 15 minutes? It really is sad.

The SP was 15/2 so we called that part of the price right but he ran a shocker. Now it could be that Eustace doesn’t have enough good horses to be able to know if his horse was good enough to win a race like that. But I was so upset with this contact I called him up afterwards and told him I had renamed him the “useless Eustace man” … and then gave him the sack. I probably wouldn’t have been so upset had Rascal in the Mix won on Tuesday but I’d had a gutful of horses running inexplicably badly and decided to start doing more “late” bets. That way the dopers/nobblers/rogue bookies/cheating layers wouldn’t get as much notice of a good horse and have too much time to figure out how to get it beat!

Tony McCoy is a jockey you can always rely on to ride a good race and put everything in. But when he almost fell off at the second on Coe, miraculously staying in the saddle but sadly losing his whip in the process I could feel the day turning from bad to worse. Without the whip there wasn’t a lot he could do apart from hack around and understandably once horses came to him he couldn’t do much about it. Unlucky, best forgotten.

Steam Cuisine kicked himself in the box and was lame so withdrawn.

Friday:   A bad days racing and no bets

Saturday The Henderson stable have been making us a pretty packet but let us down with their banker bet of the day. Ravello Bay turned in a dismal performance but burst from both nostrils and was looked after (bursting is internal bleeding from the lungs and the lungs fill with blood choking the horse) A run best ignored. Chomba Womba won and frankly I forgot to put it up. I’d had it in my mind to bet all week and on the day got distracted with messages for the Nichols horse in the race and decided to put it on one side for later. I got sidetracked as I had to go out for a meeting. A mistake. Sorry

Aux La Bahhn was a great 8/1 winner for us though winning comfortably in the end. Pascha Bere was withdrawn because the ground went too soft. I’m always happy when they withdraw a horse because it shows they care about winning and don’t want to run if their chance is lessened for any reason. That’s one danger of betting say Arab owned horses. They’re so rich they hardly bother with betting and have so many horses they need to get them all running to find out which are the best ones. A bad run here or there doesn’t bother them but it does bother you and I if we’ve had our hard earned cash on!

2 small bets on big priced horses in big races on the Flat didn’t make the frame. At big odds (Aahayson was around 20/1 for example you only need to win one in 10 races to make a lot of money. The problem is the 9 losing races to “pay” for the win. That’s why they’re small stake bets because otherwise they eat up too much of the bank.

Shamali was a non runner because one of the floodlights blew at Wolverhampton knocking out a series of lights which they couldn’t fire up again for some electrical reason. Maybe a wire burned out but they couldn’t fix it in time so the whole meeting was abandoned. Amazing that one blown “bulb” can cause so much chaos!

Sunday – No bets

Summary

A tough week where we were sadly “robbed” by the unfortunate actions of a jockey. He has been punished but it doesn’t get our money back. We has some bad luck too, eg McCoy losing his whip and also one very big bet that ran a stinker? mmm very odd? However no matter how bad the week is I always expect to turn it around soon. I know I back enough good horses to win over a period of time.

Amazingly by the time I finish this report on Monday night we’re already sitting on a handsome profit of 168 points on the week! In a single day’s betting! It puts into context the previous week’s losses and just shows what a fabulous “business” racing can be don’t you agree? Tell me another business you can make £16,800 in a day for 30 minutes “work”  (6 bets, say 5 minutes a bet?)

I absolutely love racing and betting horses to win money. I’m delighted that today you’ve been able to put some hard cash back in your profit after the unfortunate “blip” of the last 2 weeks!

All the best

Bob Rothman

PS This week’s password for the secure areas on our website horseracingpro.brookscustomers.com is now RASCAL (in memory of McKeown!)