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Members Only Private Area
Welcome!
Here you and you alone can view the full details of last week’s betting including the horses names.
After a suggestion from one of the Senior Traders I have adopted this format so that public visitors to the site can only access skeletal details and NOT the actual selections we bet on.
This is because bookmakers can run a query on their betting history to identify who bet which horse. If we give them the horses names then they could identify you more easily and may restrict the size of bets you are allowed faster than they normally would. I hope you are ok with the minor inconvenience of using a password in order to protect your privacy.
Passwords will be sent by text each week
Regards
Bob
Week 27 Profit £20,360.00 Detailed Horse Racing Results
Cobham, 0.16 am Monday 8th Dec
Week 27 – £20,360.00 Profit!
16/1 Double Landed!
Another unbelievable week! £20,360 profit is outrageous!
We’ve had another stunning week and yet I’m going to be a bit of a party pooper here. For a very good reason. Your protection.
Ok we’ve had a great week let’s not deny it. In fact the last four weeks have been stunning. Now as you know I do expect to win over a year that’s true (although this is gambling so nothing’s certain!) But it’s not realistic to expect to win every week. Certainly not on this level. I don’t want you thinking this is the norm and then start betting too big so that a few losers knock you out. As sure as night follows day there will be some losing spells too. Our long term success in this business depends as much on our ability to stay the course … to complete the marathon so as to speak. It isn’t a 100 yard sprint. It’s a 200 mile slog!
Ok that’s the boring bit out of the way but if I may I’d like to just put our performance into context. Today base rate is 2%. And apart from short term “suck-you-in” short-term offers from banks and building societies the long term return on savings can be as low as 1%!
You can make a fortune at 1%!
1% on your money in a bank for a year is peanuts. But the beauty of any form of trading (and I regard betting on horses as trading just the same as betting on shares or currencies) is that you can take a small edge and because you trade over and over again that small edge gets multiplied. What do I mean?
Well imagine you have a you place £20,000 worth of bets in a week and you make a 1% profit. That’s £200. Not a lot. But you might never have bet more than £1,000 and do that 50 times a year and you make 50 x 1% or 50% or £10,000! Now that’s a serious return.
Now if you placed an ad in the paper offering an investment with a 50% return you’d have an army of people wanting to bite your hand off. I don’t know any bank that offers that sort of return. I’m not even sure if Warren Buffet does? and to be fair the larger the sums of money you’re investing the harder it is to achieve a good return. the weight of your money starts acting against you. Warren Buffet invests millions if not billions. So a 10% return in a year would be very good for him.
Where am I leading in all this?
What % return did we make last week?
To be a Professional Punter you do have to start thinking in terms of percentages. We tend to avoid races where the bookmakers profit is high … a big percentage. For example in a 20 runner handicap they may bet to 20% profit whereas in a 8 runner maiden it could be 10%. It’s easier to win when you cherry pick better races to bet in from a punter’s point of view.
But I have a question for you. What percentage profit do you think we made last week?
To save you the math’s I’ve done it for you so let’s run through it quickly. We invested 208 points and the return was 411.6. That’s a 203.6 point profit which is … wait for it … a staggering
98% profit on turnover!
This is a staggering figure and it was a wonderful week. But as your friend I have to advise you it is unsustainable. We will NOT average 98% over a year. No way in Hell!
In my second year’s punting I had a golden spell and won £440,000 on a turnover of around £2m. I remember some of the comments in newspapers where the journalists were positively skeptical … they’d say begrudgingly say something like … if Mr Rothman can make 25% on turnover he must be one of the most successful punters of all time. And they’d make a big stress on the if!
Well between you and me it was true. 25% is enormous and so big that a lot of people don’t believe it’s possible. (maybe they don’t work hard enough studying eh?!)And that was when it was worth an awful lot of money. Back in 1986! Sadly I have not been able to sustain that level of winnings because it becomes impossible to get on in any size! Many clients are reporting back that they too are getting restricted by the bookies. In one case a gentleman wrote to say the bookies had happily taken his money for years when he lost but now he was winning they were running scared and limiting his bets to schoolboy size!
So let’s enjoy these golden weeks and hope we get plenty more of them but please do not base your future betting strategy or size of bet on these great weeks. Because if you do you will bet too big and if you bet too big you’ll go skint!
If we only average 1% a week we’ll do very nicely thank you. So if we have a week with a small profit … and that profit is more than 1% … I’d like you to still think “Yippee!” Because it’s a heck of a lot better than most people are doing in property or business at the moment that’s for sure!
I was very lucky when I started betting in that I made the acquaintance of another Professional Punter with some 20/30 years experience and he guided me well. I always remember one phrase that Angus said to me.
“Bob, the winning days take care of themselves. It’s the losing days you have to protect yourself from”
He had another phrase which I’ll never forget and (sadly) has been burned deep into my heart on many occasions. it’s a painful experience I hope you’ll avoid. If you do it’ll be a miracle because most Professionals will experience this at least once if not many, many times before it finally sinks in.
“Be very careful after your biggest winning day. So often the biggest losing day follows!”
Now why the heck is that? How dare the betting gods make such a stupid rule up? Surely when you win big you bet bigger and win even more? Ohhhhhhhhhhhh no.
What tends to happen after big wins is we get cocky. We think we know it all and that we walk on water. So we start lumping on Big time. The trouble is that you and I both know that we only win maybe 30% of the time. That leaves 70% for losing bets! You can easily go a week, or two or more without backing a winner. And if you’ve lumped on say 20% of your bank … you can only go 5 losing bets before you’re wiped out. That’s why I recommend a bank of at least 1,000 points, It won’t protect you from a really bad losing run. But it’ll sure help get through most of them!
Suppose you unearthed a marvelous system that won 90% of the time. 9 winners out of 10! (You really would be walking on water!) You’d bet winner after winner after winner! But … if you got cocky and decided the system was so great that you bet everything … sure as eggs are eggs, sooner or later, that 1 loser in 10 will come along and wipe you out!
Ok that’s enough about being sensible. I’m only hammering the point home because I want you to be able to bet winners for a very long time and so I’m imploring you to be sensible and cautious when I know it probably goes against part of your nature. It’s pretty obvious you must have an element of risk taking in your personality otherwise you wouldn’t have the guts to even place a bet! Not just because it’s great if you can make money from something as crazy as betting horses! But also because it’s FUN winning too! I don’t know about you but when I’ve had a good week I walk a bit taller … with a spring in my step and an even bigger smile on my face! I become a nicer person to know!
And it doesn’t matter if you win £100 or £1,000. If you win you feel good. so let’s focus on staying in the game so we have a chance to keep winning for a long time. The last time we had two bad weeks I lost 2 clients who’d been with me since the beginning. They should have had enough in reserve to see them through. Sadly they didn’t and they had to leave the club though I hope they may rejoin later. But what’s even sadder is that since those two bad weeks ( 5 and 6 weeks ago) when we lost 200 points ( £20,000 at £100 per point) … we’ve won 771 points!! (£77,122,50 at £100 per point stakes)
That’s more than THREE times the losses. They would have got it all back and be sitting pretty with even more profit in the bank. Yet those two guys have missed out just because they bet too big during the bad weeks. Please, please bet carefully!
A quick chat about the week now, though it was so good we hardly need to say anything! The good days look after themselves!
Monday: Dayia. A 2 mile race with our horse looking like he was going to win or be second for sure, only for it end in a bunch finish with 4 horses separated by less than a length … and we finished 4th. It was an unbelievable 24 point kick in the goolies! To be frank if you have a result like that at any time in a week you’d have to expect to end up losing that week. 24 points is an awful lot to make up.
Tuesday:
An awful days racing. Poor quality animals who are not a good betting medium. Maid of Ailsa missed the break and never faced the kickback which about summed it up for the day.
Wednesday:
I was beginning to wish I’d taken the week off and gone abroad! Maybe I was getting stale and missing something? I usually work 5 weeks and then take a few days break because I find I win more doing that. 5 weeks is a long time to keep up the intense focus needed for racing and if you’re a bit stale you seem to miss the “golden” calls. A lot of research on peak performance shows it drops off after a few weeks (which is maybe why some horses only replicate peak form if they race around 14 days later)
Amoreigh was a another horse certain to win or be second (he and the winner were 20 lengths clear coming to the second last) so I was feeling quite comfortable with our each way bet knowing we couldn’t lose … when he tipped up and fell!! Ouch. That’s twice in 3 days and even though it was only a 5 point each way bet it was another 10 points down the can and an almost impossible position to recover from. When you’re losing it would be a heck of a lot cheaper to go away and not bet! 34 points on two unlucky each way losers was going to make this a bad week I was sure.
Thursday:
More rubbish racing and I could only find two bets from all the runners. Most of these horses you and I could run faster than!
Spiritual Art was a welcome winner and confirmed the gallop lines with Kinigi who we’ve enjoyed two good wins on and who now races off 65.My spies had spotted Spiritual Art galloping well with horses of his caliber and as she was only rated 58 we knew she had a great chance. Heavily gambled she travelled like a dream just behind the leaders and powered clear for an easy win. About time!
Friday:
What a great day! Kings Destiny stormed home in the first. And then Mistress to No-one landed an enormous gamble very easily indeed. 9/2 winners with a good size stake soon repair the bank and we stormed up to an amazing 31 point profit by the end of the day. What a comeback!
Saturday
A magnificent day and several clients enjoyed even bigger wins than advised by using their initiative.
Our first bet Cape Express didn’t run till late in the evening but was a facile winner and another huge gamble. He’d been working brilliantly.
Then we had one of my favourite bets of all time the infamous each way double. The power of this bet is that if the horse both place you still make a small profit. But when they both win as they did on Saturday the return is simply mouthwatering!
I gave out the bet as a 5 point each way double on Fabula at 9/2 and Three Ducks at 2/1 and intended giving you a 8-10 point each way bet on Fabula as well. I was watching the markets and it looked like he’d drift out to 5/1 so I was holding back to get you the best odds on the single. I wanted to give you the double earlier as they take a bit longer to get on. Then one of my men as Sandown rang on the other line and started running through the rest of the Henderson runners plus what he’d heard about other horses at the track.
I must be getting stale because frankly I got sidetracked and suddenly the race was almost off. Fabula had drifted out to almost 11/2 on the exchanges so I was surprised he hadn’t shown 5/1 yet. And then they were called into line and I realised it was too late to give you the second bet.
You know the result, Fabula won and you should have been enjoying a big win already. I was now praying Three Ducks would do the decent thing for you and win so you’d have a good return as it’s really annoying if you have a double and one wins and the other doesn’t. Luckily perhaps because I had missed the time off for the Three Ducks race several clients called to say they’d “guessed” I might have missed something else off too and backed Fabula on its own as well as in the double!! A double payday! Obviously I didn’t text out the single bet on Fabula so I cannot put it on the report but well done to you if you backed him singly as well. It was still a great win!
Clay Hollister absolutely destroyed his field ad it was almost embarrassing how easy he won. But I’m never embarrassed to collect the winnings! And then in the evening Royal Island was another huge gamble and looked like he was on jet fuel, an easy winner.
A marvelous day and several clients texted or emailed to say they’d had a fantastic day! Incidentally I love to hear about all your good wins so feel free to email me and let me know about them at bob@horseracingpro.co.uk
I won’t always be able to reply promptly so if you need a quick reply it’s best to write to the girls at info@horseracingpro.co.uk as I only log in every day or so and it depends if I’ve finished my studying as racing always has to come first as you’ll understand.
Sunday – No bets
A great week! Hope you celebrated, bought something for yourself or a friend or made a difference to someone’s life. I love week’s like that! Wonder why the bookies don’t??????!
All the best
Bob Rothman