January Results 2014

January 18th:

Haydock:

Benvolio continued his upward chasing curve and Taquin Du Seuil seemed more at home over the extended trip of 2m 5f (not totally convincing at his fences) when accounting for two pedestrian rivals and O’Faolains Boy (disappointing after Ascot promise), who was never travelling and pulled-up.

The £450,000 purchase from France, Un Temps Pour Tout ran okay in the Grade 2 novice hurdle without underlining his worth. Okay sums him up at present. He looked okay, jumped okay, ran okay, but as Clint Eastwood famously said in The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly: That’s a lot of money: we’re gonna’ have to earn it.

Un Temps Pour Tout has a way to go. Zandy Man kept on doggedly to score; the first two clear of Meadowcroft Boy and Newbury winner, Stand To Reason – who will better this in less testing conditions.

Ptit Zig never looked totally at home in the Grade 2 hurdle. After such a good effort last time in the Ladbroke, he was not slick enough over his hurdles to shake off Melodic Rendezvous, who is particularly effective in the soft.

Apparently the winner had pulled a muscle last time behind My Tent Or Yours (nice of them to reveal this two minutes before the off, wouldn’t you say?). Ptit Zig did have to concede 4lbs, which may have made the difference; although it would be surprising if either plays a part in the Champion Hurdle.

In the closing novice hurdle – over the fixed brush – Wuff and the strongly-fancied Straidnahanna came clear. In seizing victory, Wuff overcame intimidation by the runner-up and successfully conceded him 6lbs. He would be of interest in a handicap; whereas a novice hurdle is Straidnahanna’s for the taking.

Ascot Results

A good novice last season, after a couple of lack-lustre run this, Irish Saint returned to his best with an easy win in the Grade 2 handicap. Imperial Leader followed at a respectable distance in second, ahead of a somewhat mulish Bourne.

An unreasonable 17lbs hike in the ratings meant The Skyfarmer was soon in trouble once headed. He did plug on and will make a fine chaser when the time comes.

Sire De Grugy arguably gained his most impressive win when completing a famous Grade 1 treble on the year in the Clarence House Chase. Swinging on the bridle, he cut through the field to take it up two out, at which point it was all over. He jumped well and seems to be getting better all the time.

That said his best form is on right-handed tracks and his overall Cheltenham record is not encouraging for those that fancy his chances in the Champion Chase. However, there is no denying his ability.

Hidden Cyclone is a fair yardstick. He did not help his cause by failing to find a rhythm (pacesetting Kauto Stone took him on throughout) but, although entitled to be beaten by the winner, was comprehensively outpointed.

In the Class 3 novice hurdle, winner Champagne West (carrying a 10lbs penalty) and second Knock House (6lbs penalty) ran pretty much to their form when second and third to Beat That here in November. They came clear of Ceasar Milan, whose form with Deputy Dan helped solidify this event.

January 16th

Meydan Results

It is a little early to draw too many conclusions from events held on the different planet that is Dubai. With the culmination of the Carnival still two months away, so far the usual suspects were prominent. Godolphin had a good night, providing the first three winners. Cat O’Mountain and Haafaguinea provided a one-two for them in the opening handicap. Looking particularly well, the winner did scored with plenty in hand and could do better as this meeting progresses.

The consistent Wedding Ring cut down Magrooma in the UAE 1000 Guineas Trial. To keep the ball rolling Emirates Flyer followed up in the colts’ equivalent, (run in a second faster time) with a slightly unlucky Safety Check in second, again providing Godolphin with a one-two. These two events were probably the equivalent of Listeds here.

Sheikhzayedroad got the breaks and the money in the handicap. Always a tricky character, he was able to make the best of an inside run to account for Aussie Reigns and Star Empire – who looks guaranteed to improve for this.

United Color and Russian Soul (goes well on this Tapeta) came out best in the Dubawi Stakes but it is a little early to start nominating them for anything else.

Zain Shamardal – a winner in Oman last time – got the best of a scramble in the concluding handicap. They did finish in a heap, but Lehaaf – a classy performer in the South Africa and representing Mike De Kock’s yet-to-hit-form stable – ran well enough in fourth to suggest he will come on for this, making him a serious player next time.
January 15th:

Newbury Results

Despite biblical proportions of rain over this current wet spell, amounting to ten inches – the equivalent of half a year’s rainfall – Newbury got away with this.

Dawalan won his second novice event at this course (so far all three runs have been here). Bred to be a force on the Flat, he jumped with ears pricked for much of the way, but appeared to finish very tired on the soft ground.

Once again this was a weak affair. Geraghty held him together, the partnership prevailing without ever looking likely to be overturned. In beating Carry On Sydney and hurdling debutant Prince Khurram, who shaped with promise and is a likely winner next time, this form needs improving upon before he can be considered a viable Cheltenham contender for the Fred Winter – apparently his intended target.

Festive Affair beat two better-touted rivals in Dark Lover and Brick Red in the Class 3 novice chase.

This was his first piece of form on these shores since finishing second in a hunter chase at Cork last April.

Jumping made the difference for him as his nearest pursuer Dark Lover compromised his chances with mistakes. He was closing at the line. Brick Red was only two-and-half lengths away in third so the form stacks up. It is possible Festive Affair was suited by this reduction in trip. A safe jumper, he may win a decent handicap.

It was hard labour for the mares in the novice chase won by Baby Shine. At least all three finished.
RACING NOTEBOOK 2014

January 11th:

Kempton Results

The Class 4 juvenile hurdle was probably not a strong contest but Goodwood Mirage did well to win. Novicey but capable at his hurdles, he moved stylishly into contention in the straight but collided with the runner-up in the air at the second-last (was going to make a mistake in all probability anyway) and then fluffed the last when staging a rally.

Under a vigorous McCoy drive, he got back up in the final strides. He has proved he stays and that he has the right attitude. The runner-up, The Green Ogre, was only moderate on the Flat and showed nothing on his only outing over hurdles. In third, Grey Blue looked short of pace.

The Class 3 novice hurdle looked ordinary enough. After a poor showing last time at Ffos Las, Closing Ceremony gave his opponents every chance here when wandering about and jinking throughout. However, main rival Minella On Line did not jump well enough to take advantage, and although he stayed this three mile trip well enough, that was all he did do. He looks woefully one-paced.

Nicky Henderson provided the first two in the Grade 1 Tolworth Hurdle. Last year’s third, Royal Boy – lightly-raced since including over fences – got up in a tight scrap from the last to defy Josses Hill.

Upazo was ten lengths away in third ahead of some under-performers. Garde La Victoire hurdled scrappily and gave the impression this track was too tight. He still has to prove he is in this league.

The Liquidator, so impressive at Cheltenham, could never put his rivals to the sword here and was only leading under sufferance from some way out.

Captain Chris deserved his win in the Class 1 Listed chase, jumping well throughout. He finished tired with his big weight but was well clear of his rivals at the finish.

So impressive at Sandown last time, Saphir Du Rheu made a mockery of a handicap mark of 145 in the Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle.

Despite a mistake four out, when he dived through the hurdle, he is all class and cruised to the leaders at the turn before strolling clear. One would think handicaps are off the program in future; but only just turned five, the sky is the limit particularly over this sort of trip.

Recent winners, If In Doubt and Like Minded filled the minors, but essentially this was all about the winner.

In-form duo Lyvius (second to The Skyfarmer last time at Cheltenham) and Deep Trouble (a well documented winner at Sandown despite almost running out) battled out the finish of the Class 3 handicap hurdle, coming clear of Lexi’s Boy.

Warwick: Well beaten last time by More Of That and Salubrious in the Relkeel Hurdle, Glens Melody (30 lengths behind the winner at Cheltenham) paid them both a compliment with her success in the Listed hurdle for fillies and mares.

She got the better of a tight finish with Mischievous Molly (may have been a little unfortunate in running) and Hidden Identity (to whom both the front two were conceding 8lbs).

Corrin Wood kept an unbeaten record over fences intact with a professional and at times spectacular display of jumping in the Class 2 novice chase. This represented his stiffest task to date but he has obviously learned plenty from his earlier outings and is beginning to look a natural.

Black Thunder, also unbeaten over the larger obstacles, tried hard but failed to quite match the winner’s aplomb.

Recent impressive Chepstow scorer Deputy Dan continued his ascendancy with another smooth performance in the Grade 2 hurdle. Although this track was considered sharper than ideal, he galloped on strongly despite landing in a heap over the last.

Main rivals, Killala Quay (pulled up) and Rathvinden (fell three out) did make his task easier by failing to pose threats.

January 1st:

Cheltenham Racing

A wild, wet and windy start to the New Year with the novices in the two-and-a-half Class 3 hurdle returning mad-splattered. Five out of the six had chances at the last. They splashed up the hill and this is form that may not be upheld.

As it stands, Aubusson, who sprang a 33/1 shock at Chepstow, repeated the dose when beating much better fancied rivals. On soft ground with heavy patches, he kept on to hold the exposed Regal Diamond and proven stayer Racing Pulse.

The penalty in these conditions beat Ballyalton, who travelled well but failed to quicken in the conditions from the last.

It would be unreasonable not to mention the victory of Mendip Express in the Class 2 handicap chase run in appalling and barely raceable conditions. Carrying 11st 12lbs and defying a mark of 139 in his first handicap venture, he deserves plenty of credit. He is unbeaten over fences and jumps like an old hand.

With a weight turnaround in his favour, Taquin Du Seuil, who had already beaten Oscar Whisky round this track conceding 5lbs, had every chance of confirming that form in the Class 2 over 2m 5f.

The market got this right as, meeting on levels, Oscar Whisky was the more assured over his fences. Several fences were omitted but Taquin Du Seuil was clumsy on more than one occasion, whereas Oscar Whisky was straight and true throughout. A good jump at the last might have allowed Taquin Du Seuil a real shot, but, despite there being little between them at the finish, Oscar Whisky was always holding the whip hand.

Experience over fences has improved him and it is questionable whether the runner-up will ever beat him on terms similar to this again.

The three mile Class 2 handicap hurdle went to progressive Return Spring, who was second to Sunnyhill Boy here last time. This track suits him.

With an even spread here between chasers on the decline that looked well treated over timber and unexposed hurdlers, on this sort of ground it was always going to be tricky to call. Return Spring was obviously the safe option.

Whispering Gallery ran well for a long way before stamina gave out. He would be interesting off this mark returned to two-and-a-half. The Giant Bolster ran no better over hurdles than he has over fences of late. Burton Port ran a wretched race. Grand Vision faded quickly, as did Poungach.

In the Class 2 over 2m 4f, with a 4lbs advantage with Annie Power since Ascot, Zarkandar was unable to make any more impact on the mare whose winning run now stretches to nine.

Annie Power flicked over her hurdles with the minimum of effort and now presents her connections with a Cheltenham conundrum. The way she finished in these conditions suggests the trip in the World Hurdle would be no problem.

From the same stable as Hurricane Fly, the Champion Hurdle may not be the number one target, but she has the speed to mix it with the principals. The easiest route may be the mares’ hurdle; whichever is her target, she will be hard to ignore.

A crazy day ended with a second bumper win for Modus, who cleared away in the ground. This was a Listed flat race, so one assumes he was not matched against trees. By Motivator out of a Generous mare, he is laced with stamina but could not have been any more impressive.

Jan 2014

SATURDAY JANUARY 25th:

(posted Friday night 10pm)

CHELTENHAM RACING

Billed as Trial Day, this card promises to supply more clues than answers.

Hitting the ground running, the opener, at 12.40, features a field of six credible Triumph Hurdle contenders. That said Vicenzo Mio and Le Rocher look the major players.

Kentucky Hyden appears to have better form in France than shown so far over here, but it is always possible he will improve with two runs under his belt.

Despite only winning a moderate event at Kempton, the classy Goodwood Mirage jumped well in the main, recovering from a collision in mid-air two out and a mistake at the last. He displayed plenty of the right stuff to get up in the last stride and could be capable of stepping up in this better company.

Ballyglasheen will surely struggle to confirm earlier Cheltenham form with Kentucky Hyden, whilst Ronaldinho looked to be running on empty over this trip on his debut at Newbury.

1.15:

Jumping is The Italian Yob’s strong suit and it should continue to stand him in good stead in this handicap.

This oddity of a trip looks ideal for him as he is not devoid of pace.

Dark Lover looks likely to benefit from this step up in trip but his jumping remains novicey – always a concern here. The concession of 10lbs to The Italian Yob threatens to tip the scales against him.

Indian Castle and Samingarry, whilst holding chances, may be better served by an extended trip. Although no cakewalk, this appears to be The Italian Yob’s race to lose.

3.35:

There has to be a question mark hanging over Big Bucks on his return to action in the Cleeve Hurdle. Now eleven, he was last seen in December 2012 when notching his eighteenth straight hurdle win at Newbury. His record is clearly enviable; however his current price assumes plenty and he makes no betting appeal. He would have the measure of these rivals in his heyday, but they are still serious opponents under current circumstances.

On this year’s evidence, At Fishers Cross is hard to fancy, leaving the exposed but consistent Reve De Sivola and the upcoming force that is Boston Bob as the two likeliest dangers.

Reve De Sivola should run to merit, in which case he will expose any chinks in the favourite’s armoury.

Boston Bob returns to hurdles after an unconvincing spell over fences. He has somewhere in the region of 10lbs to find on the principals but receives 4lbs from them which will aid his cause. He is obviously an interesting runner that is hard to discount.

DONCASTER RACING

12.55:

Rock On Ruby requires his potential punters to take another leap of faith on his chasing debut. Admittedly these are comparatively easy fences for a novice, but although this former Champion Hurdle winner lines up with the best hurdle form, it is no given that will be transferred over the larger obstacles.

Unbeaten over fences after two impressive wins, Valdez threatens to present a formidable test. Despite a hike in class Arnaud cannot be overlooked with impunity so whatever they say about Rock On Ruby, at around the even-money mark, backing him looks like attempting to earn money the hard way.

3.15:

There is a long shortlist for this: Unioniste, Kruzhlinin and Night In Milan are seen as the chief protagonists, but others are impossible to overlook. As it stands, sponsors Sky Bet should consider themselves well pleased.

LEOPARDSTOWN RACING

2.50:

Minsk is nominated as a possible in this on the face of what looks to be a fiercely competitive handicap. A chasing mark of 131 gives him a real chance based on his hurdles form. Only six and a runner in the Triumph Hurdle of his year, he was always regarded as a hurdler of considerable potential and his three runs over fences to date suggest he is approaching his peak over this medium.

A close third to the classy Djakadam (runner in the Grade 2 on this card at 2.15) last time, although possibly flattering, means he looks temptingly weighted.

The Italian Yob in the 1.15 at Cheltenham is nominated as the best idea on a tricky day. For those with a few bob to spare, Minsk may prove rewarding at double-figure odds in the 2.50 at Leopardstown.

SATURDAY JANUARY 18th:

(posted Friday 3.30pm)

ASCOT:

2.25:

The angle to adopt here is to take a view one way or another about The Skyfarmer. It is entirely possible he may be different class to today’s rivals but, unlike Saphir Du Rheu who survived a lumpy weight rise last week, the trump card has already been played with The Skyfarmer.

A winner last time at Cheltenham from Lyvius (beat Deep Trouble last week at Kempton), after three unbeaten runs over hurdles, The Skyfarmer has a win-stopping rise of 17lbs to defy against potentially better company.

There is no obvious evidence for improvement available other than what we have seen so far. Despite his obvious potential, a sudden rise to a mark of 140 suggests the handicapper has overacted to the tune of six pounds or so.

As has been said so many times here, it is not the handicapper’s function to penalise horses on a winning streak to the extent they can no longer win. It is his job to assess horses according to what they have achieved rather than second-guess what they might achieve.

For that reason I am inclined to look beyond this highly promising six-year-old. Just as he has plenty on his plate, it threatens to be a similar story for Minella Forfitness, who makes his seasonal reappearance from a mark of 145.

On a day when those attempting to lug big weights are sure to feel the strain, Bourne is the horse that looks attractively weighted. Having shaped like a horse about to run into form on his last two outings, if he is about to strike, this could be the day for this course and distance winner to do so. If able to replicate his run here last February from a mark of 140, Bourne has a real chance from 125 and looks potentially overpriced. Of the rest, lightly-raced Get Back In Line, who unseated in the Gerry Feilden last time, is feared most.

3.35:

This Grade 1 presents Sire De Grugy with a serious chance of supplementing his latest success at this level in the Desert Orchid. Right-handed tracks seem to suit him best. Once again this promises to provide a slog in the ground. If there is a horse to beat him it could be Hidden Cyclone, who ran a cracker in the Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham and was a decent second at this level at Leopardstown last time.

More is required now but Sire De Grugy apart, this is not a strong contest and he is capable of acting in a bog.

HAYDOCK:

1.30:

Gevrey Chambetin looks an interesting recruit to chasing here. A proficient hurdler (he won over the fixed obstacles at this course in November), if able to transfer hurdles form to these bigger obstacles he ought to cash in on the 7lbs he receives from Taquin Du Seuil.

The presence of O’Faolains Boy – who shaped with plenty of promise at Ascot on his chasing debut – further threatens to make life tough for the penalised Taquin Du Seuil.

2.40:

Ptit Zig put in a massive effort when runner-up from top weight in the Ladbroke. Despite a penalty here, this Group 1 winner in France remains a horse of utmost interest and is definitely the one to beat now.

LINGFIELD:

12.50:

War Of Art showed promise in a maiden over this course last month that in all honesty is sending out mixed messages. According to the market not much was expected on debut so normal improvement could see him in the mix now. That said the draw is off-putting to a degree, but this looks a moderate event and the draw is never so crucial in maidens.

4.15:

Although there is nothing between Masterpaver and Blossom Lane on these revised terms, the filly [Blossom Lane] is taken to come out on top over this extra yardage, which should suit her better. Dutchartcollector is another likely to pull out a bit extra on this first venture over 1m 2f and these two could fight out the finish.

Ascot looks to present the best two betting opportunities.

A chance is taken with Bourne in the 2.25 and with Hidden Cyclone in the 3.35 who promises to offer a similar overpriced opportunity to those looking for value.

Elsewhere, comments are made purely as a guide rather than as a concrete invitation to bet.

Two winners for an in-form SPY today: Saphir Du Rheu and Deputy Dan. The other selection, Minella On Line was second.

SATURDAY JANUARY 11th.

(Posted Friday evening 6pm)

One way or another, it looks like we will be racing this Saturday.

No problems are envisaged at Lingfield, where in the feature event at 2.35 – the Class 2 conditions stakes – it is hard to get away from the obvious in the well-treated Galician and Grey Mirage, both of whom bring recent form to the line-up.

At Warwick in the 3.00, Deputy Dan won in similar conditions last time at Chepstow and carries stable confidence in this Grade 2. He faces serious dangers in Killala Quay and Rathvinden but could represent value.

Kempton promises to provide a top quality card.

Minella On line is taken to score in the 1.00.

A remote third to Deputy Dan at Chepstow, he should not be judged solely on that effort as a mistake in the straight put paid to any chance he had. An earlier third to the useful Josses Hill in a NHF suggests he is better than that Chepstow effort and this step up in trip should be ideal.

His main market rival Closing Ceremony disappointed at Ffos Las last time without any apparent excuse and is possibly best watched at present.

The Grade 1 Tolworth looks a top class renewal and it is hard to discount any runner.

Irish contender Upzao complicates calculations after an impressive win at Fairyhouse last time. Obviously, given his connections, he has to be feared. The Liquidator was impressive at Cheltenham last time and Prince Siegfried looked poised to cause an upset at Ascot before falling at the last. Josses Hill is difficult to assess but won impressively at Newbury.

Although arguably disappointing at Cheltenham when just outpointed by Ballyalton (beaten since), Garde La Victoire had earlier looked more than useful when hammering Gone Too Far at Warwick and it would be premature to rule him out.

The Lanzarote Hurdle looks as competitive as ever. Saphir Du Rheu heads the three that make most appeal.

He looks set to climb the heights over this sort of trip, proving a revelation last time when he routed some useful rivals at Sandown over 2m 6f. A 15lbs rise demands more but is in part offset by Harry Derham’s 5lb allowance. He could easily be destined for better things than handicaps.

Junction Fourteen is another facing a hefty hike after skating up over course and distance on Boxing Day. A 16lbs rise threatens to make matters much thornier here in better compa
ny.

River Maigue was a useful novice last season and made a satisfactory return at Sandown in December behind Deep Trouble, looking as if this step up in trip would suit.

Best ideas on the day are Deputy Dan at Warwick and Minella On Line and Saphir Du Rheu at Kempton.

SATURDAY JANUARY 4th:

LINGFIELD RACING

They have thrown some tricky handicaps our way on this card, so it may be a case of playing safe and looking for the safest options.

12.50:

As those that have run have either shown little or been accorded plenty of chances, only the unraced Swivel is seen as a potential danger to the well-drawn Anglo Irish, who showed plenty of promise on debut at Kempton sixteen days ago. He should be good enough to open his account here.

2.00:

Unlucky last time over course and distance on her handicap debut, Joyous is similarly hard to get away from in the Class 6 handicap. From a plum draw of 5 in a field of twelve, she gets her chance against opponents that are largely on the decline or struggling to regain their best form.

JANUARY 1st 2014

(posted Tues Evening)

So here we go again; a new year, new challenges, new resolutions. Off course 2014 will be different…won’t it?

Here’s hoping you saw in the New Year in style and that you are raring to get on with 2014.

Traditionally, the Cheltenham card sets the year into motion. There is no room for slackers as we start early enough with the Class 3 novice hurdle at 12.10.

It has attracted a useful looking field, although Ballyalton seems to stand out. A narrow winner here last time from the highly regarded Garde La Victoire, it could be argued jockeyship was the deciding factor; but give or take half a length, this still remains strong form. A 7lbs penalty is not prohibitive and he remains very much the one to beat.

Royal Regatta would have to be the equal of Garde La Victorie to win, as would Abusson. That looks unlikely. Racing Pulse looks a stayer (won over 2m 6f last time) whereas Ballyalton has stamina and speed.

After a knotty chase handicap, we are treated to the rematch of Oscar Whisky and Taquin Du Seuil in the 1.20. The latter did beat Oscar Whisky in November in an unsatisfactory event when conceding 5lbs.

Although reasons can be forwarded for the validity of that result, it still gives Taquin Du Seuil the edge, particularly over a more suitable trip. Oscar Whisky did beat Wonderful Charm here last time, but the margin of victory was close and once again he was on the receiving end of weight – getting 8lbs.

Although the outcome is far from certain, early prices indicate Oscar Whisky is a likely morning line favourite. This assumes plenty and Taquin Du Seuil may wind up value. Whilst an unlikely winner last time or now, Close House was in the process of running a big race when falling behind Oscar Whisky last time. But this does have a two-horse look to it, and if pressed, preference is for Taquin Du Seuil.

1.55:

This Class 2 handicap hurdle has been constructed by a humorist. If they are to bet, punters need to take a lot on trust here.

First into the spotlight is the decent Godolphin cast-off, Whispering Gallery, who was capable of running to about 108 on the level. Last seen in February 2013 when winning the second of his spins over timber, he is an intriguing runner and becomes another high profile ex-Flat horse switching codes under John Ferguson’s banner. A mark of 144 does require improvement (not a lot) but, more crucially, he needs to prove he can stay three miles.

Of the two, Return Spring is probably a more solid candidate, although more is required after a valiant second to Sunnyhill Boy here last time.

The Giant Bolster seems to have lost his way and is not inordinately treated on his return to timber in any case. Poungach is another alternating between fences and hurdles and has plenty to do.

Returning after an excellent third to Brindisi Breeze in the Albert Barlett at the Festival in 2012, Grand Vision takes the eye from a handicapping perspective. If fit and well, he would play a part.

Burton Port is another that has excellent claims on his chasing form. Although a ‘nearly’ horse in that sphere – runs behind Long Run (Denham Chase), Synchronised (Gold Cup), and Follow The Flag (Betfred Bowl) when not beaten far having achieved marks varying from 160 – 166, means he is favourably treated now. If you can forgive his three runs this season and judge him on his best form, he is more than capable of causing problems here and is seen as worth an interest at the morning price. Coral seems to have taken a right chance in offering him at 12/1.

2.30:

Double Ross will be justifiably popular to lift the Grade 3 chase after his success here last time This represents a drop in grade; however, you could argue he was a fortunate winner that day with the second and third both victims of misfortunate in running when it mattered. A rise of seven pounds might find him out. His opposition now is motley though, so nominating the one most likely to take advantage is difficult.

3.05:

Annie Power is taken to confirm superiority over Zarkandar on 4lbs worse terms but this is no foregone conclusion and looks like a race best watched.