July Results 2014

RACING NOTEBOOK

Based on races viewed, Spy’s analysis and list of horses worthy of serious consideration next time:

August 22nd: York: Glenard made all to win the Class 2 handicap, finding more for pressure when tackled by Salutation. They finished in a heap. Stomachion stayed on as if further may be required and the well handicapped Lahaag – beaten just over three lengths – closed without ever looking dangerous.

Mares dominated in the Yorkshire Cup, Pale Mimosa, always travelling well, eased to the front two out and holding a sustained challenge from Estimate. Relatively lightly-raced, Pale Mimosa, for whom overnight rain was a bonus, did this nicely. Times Up stayed on for third, ahead of the enigma that is Cavalryman in fourth. He does ration his going days somewhat.

Bunbury Cup runner-up Absolutely So gained adequate compensation in the richly-endowed Duke Of York. Glory Awaits, who was second at a huge price on last year’s Guineas, stuck on for second ahead of Glen Moss. There was not too much to glean from the rest. That Is the Spirit ran up to form, Ertijaal pulls much too hard in his races. The substance between his ears is his biggest problem at present. Mushir might impress at home but looks soft on the track. Highland Colori is being campaigned with an autumn campaign in mind and will be better when the ground turns.

Sole Power consolidated his position as arguably the best sprinter in Europe with his third group success on the spin in the Nunthorpe. Delivered late – part by design, part out of necessity – once in the clear, his finishing kick was decisive. Stepper Point and Extortionist ran big races in second and third. It is not often they get it wrong at Ballydoyle, but they did get Cougar Mountain’s trip wrong here. Outpaced early, but a late finisher, on only his third run this was another eye-catching performance. Back to six, possibly seven – he can gain black type.

They were a good looking bunch for the Class 2 Convivial Maiden. Taking on plenty with experience, it was the unraced Pivotal colt White Lake (one of the best in show) that came out on top. Posted wide from the bend, he powered home down the straight to peg back Secret Brief. Impressive though he was, the problem is that the best of the opposition was nowhere to be seen! After two ordinary efforts, the runner-up has run far above anything so far shown. In third, the unraced Oasis Dream colt, Foreign Diplomat, is well thought of but will strip fitter next time; whilst in fourth, the filly Bright Flash had shown some promise at Goodwood without looking likely to play a part in a race with this much depth. After definite promise at Newbury on debut, well-supported Dissolution was again outpaced early on, putting in his best work when it was all over. On this evidence he wants at least a mile to shine. Mount Tahan and Erik The Red shaped well. Muffarreh (another taking individual) will improve for this outing. After promise on their debuts, Acaster Malbis and Swot should have done better.

Master The World rounded off the day with a head scratching win in the Class 2 handicap despite blowing the start. Runaway Newmarket winner Munaaser did run on but was never able to throw down a serious challenge.

August 21st: York: Beaten eight lengths by Ivawood in the July Stakes and third in the Windsor Castle before that, Mubtaghaa landed the big pot that is the Class 2 Premier Yearling Stakes. New Providence, another with form that looked shy of that required, was second, ahead of Valley Of Fire, who is the one to note. A winner at this track of a modest maiden, he was taken of his feet in the early but picked off his field to finish strongly. He wouldn’t want the ground any faster (they had some rain overnight) and an extra furlong may suit. Considered a group horse at home, this tends to confirm their opinion. The seven pound penalty proved too much for form horse Kool Kompany, who was not beaten far but has had a busy season.

The right three horses rose to the top in a hot Lowther, dominated throughout by the speedball that is Tiggy Wiggy. Quick out of the stalls, she was slick and smooth in front, coasting and lengthening as the challengers came. This extra furlong was no problem and once again she smashed the two-year-old record. A quote of 16/1 for the Guineas is a mickey-take. She will surely not be asked to venture beyond this sort of trip. The more stoutly-bred Cursory Glance was caught out after two furlongs but ran on again in the last quarter to chase her home. She was closing in the last hundred yards or so and, a different sort to the winner remains on course for higher honours. A mile will suit her well next year. She must have fast ground, so a wet spring would prejudice her chances at Newmarket in May. Queen Mary winner Anthem Alexander did have to concede 3lbs to the first two so was far from disgraced, but it is doubtful if she would beat the first two in any rematch.

In the class 2 handicap we saw a great piece of horsemanship from Pat Smullen on Short Squeeze. Switching the horse off and darting through a vital gap inside the last furlong, he put the horse in front on the line without recourse to the whip. Top Notch Tonto upped his game in second from a mark of 108 and on ground still a bit on the fast side for him. Bronze Angel responded to pressure to nab fourth. They were tightly packed in behind. A gelding operation might have improved Parbold who was on the heels of the principals and appears to have run one of his better races.

A major disappointment in the 1000 Guineas back in May, Tapestry, reportedly back to something like her best after finishing second in the Irish Oaks, pounced on Taghrooda to supply one of the shocks of the meeting in the Yorkshire Oaks. A very light filly, Tapestry was beautifully handled by Ryan Moore today. She and the runner-up came clear. As for Taghrooda, she did not look quite as relaxed as she was at Ascot, but no one is making excuses – it wasn’t as if she was beaten by a rag! By all accounts Tapestry’s win was not a complete surprise to her connections.

After the success of the so-called second string in the opener, the Haggas team again pulled a rabbit from the hat with Queen Of Ice in the Galtres, beating the better fancied stable mate, Arabian Comet by a whisker. Andrea Atzeni excelled on the winner, making all and dictating matters at his pace. After running over 1m 6f at Goodwood, Arabian Comet took time to hit full stride, closing the winner down to within a nose. Noble Protector was third.

Despite a desperate draw, Bragging defied a 10lbs hike in the weights to smash the opposition in the class 2 handicap from a mark of 97. Winning with ears pricked, as suggested at Newmarket, she is bound for better things. Presumably this is the last time she will contest a handicap. Poor Wedding Ring was fatally injured – something she did not deserve.

August 20th: York: Kevin Ryan opened the meeting by taking the sprint handicap – not, unfortunately for yours truly with Bogart, but with Blaine, who won the Gimcrack here two seasons ago. He got up in the last stride to deprive Move In Time, who was probably undone by the extra yardage. He is better at a dead five. Bogart ran well, finishing fifth after having been up with the pace throughout. Mass Rally made up a ton of ground and could be winning soon.

As in this last year, we had a turn-up in the Acomb when Dutch Connection – a winner at Goodwood of a maiden that looked so-so – got up close home to beat Ripon winner, Toocoolforschool. Market leaders, Basateen and Jamaica went hard from the gate and may have set this up for the two closers. Basateen needs to settle in his races. He took a strong hold but to his credit kept boxing on when headed. Jamaica was pushed up early in an attempt to negate his wide draw. As a result he could only stay on. No Derby winner, he wants a trip and easier ground to show his best. This ground was firming by the hour and this may have been against several of these in a race in which the two-year-old track record was smashed.

Fast ground meant Kingston Hill was a defector for the Great Voltigeur. It has taken a while, but this was the day when, after a progressive season, Postponed came of age. Always travelling strongly, relishing the fast ground, he was in control over this longer trip, which suits him well. This was a decent performance and one that stamps Postponed as at least the third-best of his generation over this trip. Snow Sky (better behaved today than at Goodwood) is a fair benchmark; in finishing second he gives credence to the race. The front two were clear of pacesetting Odeon, with Marzocco finishing best of the others. Not in the St Leger, Luca Cumani is keen to keep Postponed – a son of Dubawi – to this trip in future, which seems the best course of action.

To win a Group 1, a horse has to do everything right. Australia did just that to win the Juddmonte. Perfectly settled at the rear, he passed the field to cruise to victory, beating his elders in style, despite his trainer describing him as being in need of a blow-out. Australia has handled the best they could chuck at him, so does not have much left to prove. With so much speed, this is his best trip. French Derby winner, The Grey Gatsby, made it a one-two for the classic generation, chasing Australia home. Connections are keen to try their luck at a mile-and-a-half. Telescope hung on for third, but was outpaced down the straight over this shorter trip. Mukhadram spoiled his chances by getting lit up early, but would not have been good enough anyway.

Edge Of Sanity – appropriately one of the outsiders of the entire field – caused a shock in the handicap over two miles. Even with the benefit of hindsight, his winning claims were not obvious. One thing that could have been confidently predicted was that the Tony Martin-trained Spacious Sky, a French import, did not take part to complete the numbers. He only just failed in third. Quest For More ran home as a determined second, looking as if a tilt at the Cesarewitch (where the winner is bound) would be a possibility.

Nine pounds well in as he raced under a penalty, Felix Leiter squeezed home in the nursery. By Monsieur Bond, but out of a Pivotal mare, with his action this ground was plenty quick enough. Despite changing his legs, he stuck out his head bravely to get the better Kibaar and Geordie George. Roosey and Burnt Sugar overcame minor difficulties in running to finish fourth and fifth in a race that contained little in the way of surprise packages.

August 16th: Newbury: Vesnina opened her account at the third time of asking in the class 4 maiden for fillies. With the first three all having run without too much distinction, this did not look the strongest of maidens. On and off the bridle and looking green, promise was shown by Forbidden Love and Tendu, although they may not be obvious candidates next time at a venue such as this.

At sea at Newmarket in the July Stakes behind Ivawood, Belardo finished strongly that day despite getting behind early. Well thought of, he showed why in the Washington Singer, lording it over his three rivals. With a Dewhurst entry, he may run next in the Champagne at Doncaster, in which he should not be overlooked. He has a likeable attitude and is smart. Hawkesbury failed to take this step up in grade successfully. There was no disgrace in his defeat, but he did race awkwardly and as if something was niggling him.

Second to Novellist this time last year, Seismos was given utmost assistance from the saddle to snatch the Group 3 Geoffrey Freer from out of the fire. In a bunch finish, ideally placed throughout off a slow pace, once stamina kicked in he asserted close home. Willing Foe and Seal Of Approval (more amenable here but still looking tricky) filled the places, with Red Cadeaux an honourable fourth. Pethers Moon ran as if he failed to stay this extended trip (although he has won over it); Somewhat definitely gave the impression it was a bridge too far.

Full credit is due to Breton Rock after his hard fought win in a sub-standard Group 2 Hungerford Stakes. In the stretch to the line, he showed more resolution than last year’s winner, Gregorian, who was nutted on the post and arguably should have won. He has not always pulled out as much as expected when the chips are down.

August 9th: Ascot: Shergar Cup Day – one of the eureka moments of that stalwart of the unusual and unlikely: Sheikh Mohammed. Goldream kick-started the day with a narrow but conclusive win in the Dash over the minimum. This was his first success over this trip and he only asserted well inside the last furlong to deprive Move In Time. The ground was freshened and loosened by rain, which helped Ballesteros run one of his best races in a long time in third. Last seen in the Vodafone Dash on Derby Day, Swan Song was close up in fifth and may do better with this run under her belt.
Semeen got back on the winning trail in the class 3 handicap over a mile-and-a-half. Communication finished stoutly over a trip that is shy of his best, whilst Viewpoint faded over a trip that is too far. He is now racing from a winnable mark and should be placed to advantage over ten furlongs soon.
Away from his preferred Goodwood, Magic City almost lifted the class 2 mile handicap. A return to Sussex seems on the cards.
Not having picked up a leg at the Glorious Goodwood meeting last week, taking on older horses, Astronereus was narrowly defied by Our Gabrial in the class 3 over twelve furlongs, in which Trip To Paris was given no chance by his South African rider.

Newmarket: Rain had apparently lashed the track and there was a plethora of non-runners. Marsh Hawk streaked away with the opening maiden for juvenile fillies, but such winning margins are not uncommon when the ground is riding as it was, so caution is required.
Tinghir was the word in the class 2 handicap, but in finishing third of five, he did not exactly advertise his claims for next time.
Englishman had every chance in the class 2 handicap, but he looks an awkward customer – possibly he is not that sound as he has been on and off the track in his time – either way, he does not look one to place any faith in, even though he is arguably attractively weighted.
Stepped up to seven furlongs on this easier ground in the Group 3 Sweet Solera, Muraaqaba showed why she had been such a confident stable selection last time at Ascot. She was able to find her stride up the hill and draw right away from a depleted but smart enough field, headed by Calypso Beat and Winters Moon. As suspected, Sandown listed winner Alonsoa is not in this grade, but Arabian Moon – with her 5lbs penalty – justified her inclusion in the field by finishing a close fifth. Not very big, she makes up for it with a big heart and the right attitude.

Haydock: The decision to run Patience Alexander from a stiff mark in a nine grand nursery was exposed as sheer folly when she trailed home last of the four runners. Squats ran down Profitable in the last furlong with the pair clear.

Elhaame looked all set to win the class 2 handicap when set alight – possibly too soon – two out. These handicaps are hard to win, meaning, unfortunately, this may have been his chance. If we could rely on Rye House not to bleed next time, he has run with promise in fifth. There was also a semblance of encouragement from Lahaag.
True Story can surely be struck from any future list after a mulish performance in the Group 3. This is his fourth defeat since setting the Derby betting alight at Newmarket at the Craven meeting, and, frankly, we are none the wiser about his trip, or the extent of his ability. Serves him right if he ends up with Tony McCoy on board him at Cheltenham! Amralah provided something of a shock when withstanding a late lunge from Hillstar.

Token Of love skipped away with the listed event for fillies. Lightning Thunder is still chasing her first win of the season and is beginning to look a shadow of her former self. Only small, she lacks scope and this drop in class brought about no improvement.

Despite looking tricky, Provenance is not without ability and once again Ryan Moore proved to be the right man to unlock the door that holds her secrets in the class 3 handicap. She is ascending the ranks and looks the sort her trainer and jockey will encourage more from as the season progresses.

August 2nd: Goodwood: And one of those days when it seemed the inmates had gained control of the asylum. With three massive field sprint handicaps on its card, a grumpy-looking Group 1 Nassau, a tough handicap for three-year-olds, a competitive nursery and even a maiden that looked knotty, bookmakers were anticipating a bonanza on the final day at the Sussex track. If it’s any consolation to beleaguered punters, bombarded by mostly useless information regarding the Stewards’ Cup, it did not quite turn out that way:
Having run with promise in the Dash at Epsom, a well-backed Barnet Fair finally got his head in front in the opening Class 2, squeezing home by the minimum margin from Mission Approved.

Kings Fete was a beaten favourite in the Class 2 Jaguar Handicap, but old Mark Johnston, the punters’ friend at Goodwood, supplied a popular winner in Double Bluff. Kings Fete looks a work in progress but is the sort his trainer excels with. Settled at the rear, Kings Fete made enough ground to confirm his undoubted ability and there will surely be other days for him.

Sultanina was produced late to win the Nassau by William Buick, who continued the fine run of both himself and his trainer. The filly pounced on Narniyn, who had probably been in front too long on ground and on a track that was not ideal. Venus De Milo plugged on in third.

And so to the main event – at least in the eyes of those that purport to sell the game to an unsuspecting public. The favourite might have been turned over in the Stewards’ Cup, but second favourite Intrinsic proved an able deputy for punters. Muthmir did not help his cause as he appeared to be too keen early and eventually had just a bit too much to do from his wide draw. He was an honourable fifth and looks like a sprinter destined to make his mark later on in his career. In an attempt to foil the handicapper, this was his second run in a high profile event within a week. A rest seems in order. Progressive Discussiontofollow was closing fast when hampered inside the last furlong. A close sixth, he would have been placed at least with an uninterrupted run.

Dutch Connection won the maiden with some authority. Rotherwick was second with Fieldsman a promising third and looking as if he will better this next time. After having his form endorsed, Lethal Legacy disappointed and may be worth another chance.

Mark Johnston struck again in the nursery – this time with Grigolo, who prevented a couple of outsiders, in Special Venture and Grand Proposal, from filling the bookmakers’ satchels. Favourite, When Will It End was fourth.

Prompted by earlier success, the Johnston representative, Peterkin was sent off favourite in the concluding sprint handicap. In finishing third, it was a decent effort. Online Alexander ran on strongly to score at single figure odds. Although the results were hard to predict, one would assume bookmakers were hardly rubbing their hands in glee before starting the ignitions in their BMWs.

August 1st: Goodwood: Pether’s Moon made the most of the opportunity in the Group 3, although it was not straightforward. This track did not appear to suit him ideally but, having become unbalanced, he was back on the bridle when switched to the inner. Despite having to be shaken up, he eventually asserted. His stable is likely to look at targets abroad – Richard Hughes nominated Australia and the Caulfield Cup as the most likely. Absent for twenty-three months, disgraced 2012 St Leger winner Encke looked well and was going best of all two out. Understandably, tiredness meant he lacked a finishing fizz, but he stayed on well enough. It remains to be seen what he will do next time. Cafe Society made a mockery of his rating in third and is progressing well, although he will be hard to place next time. Quest For peace blew up after his absence but shaped with promise; in contrast Songcraft was in an uncooperative mood. Battle Of Marengo does not look right.

After three runs at Group 1 level when far from disgraced, dropped in grade to a Group 3, Shifting Power chose the occasion of what should have been his best chance of victory since the Free Handicap to misfire. Travelling strongly up to two out, once let down he hung his head and was beaten in a stride. Producing a smart turn of foot, the improving Wannabe Yours grabbed the useful Hors De Combat close home, prompting several ebullient quotes from the winning jockey who claims he is on the road to Group 1 glory. Hors De Combat was defeated from a mark of 99, ahead of Bow Creek and Windfast, who has troublesome feet and is difficult to train.

Blinkered first time, Red Avenger lunged late to grab the Class 2 Betfred Mile. In a close finish, Heavy Metal, Magic City, Steeler and Belgian Bill made up a tight bunch. Hot on their heels were two worthy of note: Derby also-ran Our Channel – who had finished second in a nine-and-half furlong Group 3 at Arlington since and might have been closer here if he had not been sent on as if trying to escape a bushfire – and Bronze Angel – who in an attempt to negate his wide draw sacrificed valuable ground at the start but picked up strongly. It was a big ask for Velox from a stone higher mark than when winning at Sandown (including his rider’s allowance that day) but he headed the chasers. It was not just the weight that beat him; this ground looked too fast and it is not out of the question he can win again later in the year carrying a few pounds less and on an easier surface.

After his York win last time, aged seven and by Singspiel, Take Cover peaked to hit new heights in the Group 2 King George Stakes. Bouncing off quick ground, he held Extortionist, who made up a lot of ground after a breakneck early pace and could be called unlucky. There will be no shortage of punters prepared to back him to reverse placings with the winner in the Nunthorpe at York. Last year’s winner Moviesta was third. Stepper Point was a narrow fourth with G Force a no-excuses fifth.

Guilty of having his mind on other things in the paddock (mostly on those of the female persuasion) Son Of Africa was a great deal more focused on the way back in the nursery, making all and finding plenty when challenged. There were a couple of hard luck stories in behind: Markaz was slow to start and had to lug to the outside. Then he had to pass virtually every runner to lay down a strong late challenge that understandably petered out in the last hundred yards. Outpaced early, Sunset Sail was another late finisher that would have been vying for the lead with extra yardage. By Arcano, seven furlongs will suit him better than this cut-throat six.

One-time Guineas aspirant and winner of the Fred Darling in the spring, J Wonder used her undoubted class and speed to claim the Group 3 under a fine ride from Jimmy Fortune, who knows her well. Patient on a filly with one strong run, Fortune angled out and launched her hard and late inside the last furlong. As usual Muteela made the running but her winning run was halted on this occasion. Indignant was third; Queen Catrine was again found wanting and her overall record suggests caution.

July 31st: Goodwood: Something of an in-and-out performer with bits of form, Lyn Valley won the opening Class 2 handicap over ten furlongs from his stable companion Rainbow Rock, who may have been a little unfortunate. Madeed did not further his prospects when pulling too hard so under the circumstances has probably done well to finish third. Braidley was always prominent – Roseburg was probably beaten by a combination of the ground and a stiff revised mark.

Ivawood was expected to win the Group 2 Richmond Stakes but did so in the best manner possible. A superb example of Zebedee that is all strength, quality and speed, he travelled within himself throughout before drawing away to leave the rest to scrap it out for places. He made light of a 3lbs penalty and is now likely to step up to Group 1 company – possibly in the Morny and later in the year in the Dewhurst. A fluent mover, he is favourite for next year’s Guineas; but, without stating the obvious, there is a long way to go. Louie De Palma came out best of the rest with Jungle Cat, who was second to Ivawood in the July Stakes, again playing a supporting part in third. Fox Trotter was inches away in fourth.

It is not often these days that we see an all Godolphin finish for any Group race, let alone a high-profile Group 2 such as the Goodwood Cup. In producing Cavalryman and Ahzeemah, the man responsible – Saeed Bin Suroor – the best man in the Dubai operation – deserves plenty of credit. Now eight and arguably enjoying the best season he has had for some time, Cavalryman battled on from two out to hold his consistent stable companion. Brown Panther was a game third, but beaten on merit. Last turning in and apparently going nowhere, Brass Ring picked up for fourth. Disappointment was obviously Estimate who, ridden differently today and wearing a noseband, went out like a snuffed candle.

Suited by a breakneck pace, Ascot Gold Cup third, Missunited took up the running over two out in the Group 3 Lillie Langtry and fended off challenge after challenge. The last to lay a claim was the improving Arabian Comet, who has reached the peak of her ability – at least for now. Missunited kept sticking out her neck and, tough as old boots, she lasted to win what was subsequently announced as being her swansong. On ground that was firmer than ideal, she finished slightly lame. Waila was third and Talent, having had every chance, was only fourth.

Beaten by the promising Winter’s Moon at Newmarket last time, Shagah went one better in the Class 2 New Ham. Always travelling strongly, once let down on this quick ground, she jinked right and changed legs as if it was not entirely to her liking. She had shown knee action last time and would not want to encounter this sort of surface again. Newcomer Kodiva ran with plenty of promise in second, closing rapidly in the last furlong. She ought to break her duck next time. Runner Runner was third with Hoorahforhollywood doing all her best work in the closing stages, taking fourth and, now that she is qualified for nurseries, looking like a future winner in that sphere.

Getting the run that mattered, Safety Check made the best of it to snatch the Class 2 handicap. To an extent this was a typical seven furlong handicap round here, in that many were never seen with a chance, finding the race lost in the first furlong. This applies to a shuffled back Championship who had to come wide and flew for a backhander when it was all but over. Hughes was quick to accept his fate, but there should be another day. This is the second time Championship has shown he is no back number. He will be interesting next time in a similar race.

July 30th: Goodwood: It is always easy with hindsight! Having won as she liked last week over two miles, the step up in trip by a further five furlongs proved to be the undoing of Maid In Rio in the Class 2 handicap. Plainly she failed to stay as her carburettor pinked in the last quarter of a mile. By Captain Rio, it would have been somewhat surprising had she got home over such a marathon trip; equally surprising is that her trainer was so cavalier about her prospects. It was left to Teak to slog it out from Ray Ward and Long Shadow.

Despite displaying some undesirable characteristics in the paddock (sweaty, edgy and coltish) Snow Sky settled down on the way to the start of the Gordon Stakes and, wandering about inside the last furlong, lasted from a fast-finishing Windshear – who has paid a compliment to Elite Army. Eclipse third Somewhat, unable to dominate in the same manner as he did at Sandown, was third. It was a bunch finish in behind with Cloudscape (might be better on a galloping track) and Scotland close up. There was a break to Observational, who may have needed this after his enforced break. Even so he did not move that well. Red Galileo finished a long way in arrears as if something was amiss.

The firework that is Kingman streaked to victory in the Sussex, setting the course alight in the process. After a slow early pace he took a few strides to quicken on ground that was as quick as he wants and on a track that momentarily caught him out. Once on an even keel the race was over. He was given a cool and professional ride by Doyle. In second, on Toronado, Hughes did the best he could given the way the cards were dealt. For a moment it looked as if he might have Kingman in trouble on the run to the last furlong but such hopes were soon dashed. It would seem there is little point in the Toronado camp trying their luck again against the monster that is Kingman. Darwin ran the race of his life to be a close up third on ground that apparently cannot be too fast for him. If his sights are lowered a race awaits; although he is unlikely to ever get as close to the front two again.

Following in historic footsteps, Highland Reel became the first high-profile Irish-trained winner of a decent juvenile event in England this year when lifting the Group 2 Vintage Stakes, despite looking highly-strung beforehand. Skittish in the paddock and warm at the start, once asked to stretch, he produced a useful turn of foot. Described by his trainer as all speed for a Galileo; if his temperament holds up we should see more of him. Tupi improved on his initial run at Sandown to take second ahead of Room Key, who, having been confined to Salisbury thus far, handled the downhill track. As usual Spencer rode into trouble on Ahlan Emerati, who had to squeeze through a gap late on. He may be better with more give in the ground.

The class 2 event for fillies looked moderate at best. Experience told as Royal Razalma won at the third time of asking from Hundi – who still looks green and should improve again – and a disappointing Shahah, who as a Motivator surely needs further but is only ordinary in any case. Tipped-up Touchline looks the part but showed little.

Absent from the winner’s enclosure for most of the season, Jeremy Noseda and his followers will be heartened by the success of Magique in the class 3 fillies’ handicap. At 25/1 they are likely to be a dwindling band!
July 29th: Goodwood: Fifth in the Magnet Cup, Sennockian Star swooped late to claim the Class 2 handicap. With three in the race, it was a case of immediately getting on the score sheet for Mark Johnston, though not with the horse many envisaged. Throughout the last furlong it looked as if Ajman Bridge had arrived at the right time, but he was unable to contain the sprint of the winner. Salutation was prominent throughout, endorsing the Duke Of Edinburgh form in third. Magic Hurricane arrived on the scene travelling well but hung fire and was soon beaten. Stomachion was never seen with a chance and Sea Shanty – who was probably flattered by his latest two runs – looked as if he failed to stay.

The first of what is likely to be many hard-luck stories during the week surfaced with the defeat of Beacon in the Molecomb. Failing to negotiate the hill and then having to be pulled wide for a workable gap, by the time he found his stride the race was over. He is better than this – possibly a sixth furlong and a more conventional track will see him recovering the spell of form that saw him start as an odds-on chance today. Cotai Glory – second to the useful Limato at Newbury – flashed out of the gate, lasting to shade it from Super Sprint third Fast Act with Beacon a close third. Run on fast ground, they broke the juvenile five furlong course record.

Despite facing a depleted and sub-standard field in the Group 2 Lennox, Toormore, who has not been the same horse this season as when a juvenile, was beaten by the tough Es Que Love, who used his sprint finish to great effect inside the last furlong. Toormore was coming back at the winner inside the last hundred yards, but Es Que Love was always in control once he hit the front. Having won last season’s July Stakes, Anjaal was a late finisher to put a couple of disappointing runs behind him this year.

Given no chance from his draw last time at Newcastle – again posted wide – Van Percy, better than ever this season over this extended trip, out-battled Havana Cooler inside the last furlong in the Class 2 handicap. The two quality horses rose to the top, with Noble Silk taking third. Kelinni, an import from Australia who finished fourth in the 2012 Melbourne Cup, looks an uncooperative beast.

The class 2 maiden for two-year-olds may not have been over-strong, but the well-entered Misleading made a pleasing enough introduction. Clearly he knew his job and was able to handle the vagaries of the track and respond once shaken up. He will need to improve again to justify his entries, although his trainer is less than keen to go for the Gimcrack, feeling seven will suit him better and that the backend would be the time to test deeper water. Aussie Ruler and Dark Profit – both of whom look no better than average judging on their runs to date – filled the places.

Two knotty handicaps followed: Extremity and Inxile took the prizes. We should have known better!

July 26th: Ascot: Five nice colts lined up for the listed race for two-year-olds that was probably up to Group standard. Fifth in the Coventry, Kodi Bear, a strong representative of Kodiac, hit the front at halfway, putting his head down and racing to the line. Disengo continued an upward trend to finish second, ahead of Muhaarar, who looked as if seven furlongs stretched him to the limit. Diaz and Peacock were not beaten far, although Ustinov back-pedalled rapidly from two out.

Returning to the scene of her best run – at the Royal Meeting in the Albany (a race that is working out) – a patiently-ridden Osaila pounced a furlong out to win the Group 3 Princess Margaret, going away in the style of a filly that will stay further. They were in a bunch behind; headed by Pastoral Girl (ran better than places indicate in the Queen Mary) with Explosive Lady following her. In fourth, the heavily backed and much-vaunted Muraaqaba was always hunted along by her jockey and was unable to deliver a blow. By Dubawi, she ran as if six furlongs was an absolute minimum and deserves another crack at this level over further. This did not look anywhere as good a contest as the opener.

Sixth in the Britannia from the unfavoured side of the track, American Hope looked all set to gain compensation when striding on in the class 2 handicap. Saddled with top weight, but on the same mark as last time, after racing too keenly, he was caught close home by Mange All who, following a disappointing effort at Newmarket, was more tractable here over this trip of a mile. Moohaarib got very warm at the start and may have fretted his chance away. That said he settled in the race and finished strongly to snatch third.

Cooler than Audrey Hepburn beforehand and in the race, Taghrooda retained her unbeaten record with a decisive performance in the King George and Queen Elizabeth. Improving in the straight, the Oaks winner cut down the older colts to clear away in the last furlong. By Sea The Stars, she is a great example of her sire’s stock. Like her sire, this fast ground suits her so a tilt at the Arc may be scuppered by Parisian weather come the autumn. Telescope ran the race of his life in second. Mukhadram was another to cover himself in glory in third. As at the Royal Meeting, Eagle Top launched his attack from the rear. Considering this was only his fourth run, he has performed with utmost credit and it could be he will return for this as a different proposition next year. Trading Leather and a disappointing Magician were next to finish.

First Flight finally put it all together when winning the class 3 handicap at Newmarket over ten furlongs from Ajmany. His win is another positive for the Britannia form.
Returned to fast ground, Bragging dotted up in the class 2 handicap for fillies, looking like a most progressive sort. Judging by the style in which she won, there is plenty more to come from her. The Gold Cheongsham stayed on for second, ahead of the consistent Wedding Ring.

July 25th: Ascot: What should have been a straightforward assignment for Malabar turned out to be anything but in the Class 4 maiden fillies over seven furlongs. The clear form pick on either of her two runs (in particular a fourth in the Albany), Malabar took her time to assert from newcomer Mistrusting and Sister Of Mercy – who stepped up considerably on debut – and What Say You. In recording a fast time, this was Malabar’s day; but it could be that, as a smallish filly that lacks a degree of scope, she may not beat these opponents if they meet again.

In advance of what is so often a benefit week for her stable at Goodwood next week, Maid In Rio bolted up in the Brown Jack Stakes over two miles. By Captain Rio, so not an obvious stayer on pedigree (plenty of stout blood on the distaff side though), she lobbed home from a mark of 93. In her current form she will be hard to beat in any grade, although a step up in trip may not be advisable.

The tough and classy Euro Charline worried Kiyoshi out of the listed event. After credible performances in the 1000 Guineas and the Coronation, the winner has held her form and gained well deserved compensation.

24th July: Sandown: Renaissant was always fighting something of a losing battle against odds-on chance Profitable in the Class 5 maiden. However, despite rocking and rolling on ground that looked much too fast for comfort (changed her legs several times) she kept on doggedly and was only narrowly inched out of second place. By Dutch Art, this is the second time she has raced on firm ground. She is better than this; a remark she can justify on easier ground. She looks the sort to win a nursery.
The listed event won by Alonsoa did not look of the highest quality, meaning the winner will need to improve in spades to justify the lofty ambitions held for her. Although by Raven’s Pass, today’s ground was quick enough so she may be more of an autumn filly. Talk of the Guineas seems way off beam at present. It is arguable the second, Pack Together – in contrast to the winner, a rangy filly by Paco Boy – was unlucky not to win. Slow to stride and then requiring encouragement to face the bridle, she was still last two out with the winner already in control. Pack Together found her stride from then on but Hughes accepted that the race was lost and did not persevere. She has a good action and although finding the right race may not be straightforward matter, is worthy of consideration next time.

Not seen since running in the Wood Ditton, despite having been gelded in the interim, Tercel showed a likeable attitude to take the maiden from Hesbaan. He is one the jumping boys may be interested in but he could still poach a handicap on the Flat. As for the favourite, Conquerant, he looks an intractable beast that is best avoided.

July 19th: Newbury: Dante sixth Saab Almanal won a somewhat confusing Class 4 maiden over ten furlongs. Not only did he subsequently disappoint after York, but the same remark applied to runner-up Smiling Stranger, who had been second over this course behind the useful Connecticut. Both may have failed to stay twelve furlongs last time – who knows? As it is they fought this out with Deuce Again and debutant Long Cross – who showed some promise – next to finish.

In a race run to suit, Koshika set her rivals a merry dance in the Class 2 handicap for fillies over a mile, making just about all. Token Of Love chased her in vain, ahead of stable mate Oxsana and Enraptured – who was not knocked about on her first run of season and should come on for the experience. Having looked as if she were about to drift through the field and finish well beaten, Jordan Princess ran on again inside the final furlong to finish fifth. After promise at Newmarket on her first outing of the season, this was the first time she had given any encouragement. Perhaps a return to form is imminent and maybe she wants stepping up to ten furlongs.

After an abortive spell at stud, the listed formerly known at the Steventon Stakes was the chosen event for the return of Al Kazeem. Less his Group 1 penalty but apparently in need of the outing to an extent, he looked well despite carrying condition. This was his race to lose – and without being disgraced, lose it he did! Although he had a troubled passage (posted wide and saw too much daylight) his finishing position of fourth – against rivals he would have dismissed a year ago – suggests he faces an uphill struggle from here on. That said it was a messy affair so, to an extent, the jury has to be out. Second to Windhoek last time, Amralah made the running, then was steadied, then found more down the straight. Vancouverite was a closing second with the penalised Nabucco the moral winner in third. On an easier surface a payday awaits. Judging by the promise shown, Luca Cumani has something to work on with the lightly raced Sir Walter Scott, who, weaving his way through the field, was ridden with some sympathy after an absence of nine months. He may be about to make up for lost time.

In a slowly run sprint, Music Master quickened when it mattered to lift the Group 3, thereby demonstrating the run in the Diamond Jubilee was no fluke. He is improving all the time and has reached a genuine level. He should be marked up for this win. Heeraat and Es Que Love were with the pace throughout but were swamped by the winner’s superior turn of foot. Naadirr put in another honest effort in fourth, whilst That Is The Spirit made the running until headed, keeping on willingly for fifth. Held up and racing with only one other on the stand side, Rocky Ground had no chance given the way the race unfolded and, although the winner has surely accelerated past him now, should not be judged too harshly.

All speed and a filly that has held her form throughout the season (never been out of the first two), Tiggy Wiggy put her rivals to the sword in the Super Sprint, spread-eagling them from two out. She is a credit to the Hannon stable. She has been entered in the Nunthorpe; whilst she could not be discounted from that, against older sprinters, it represents a stiff test but one the speed figures suggest she should attempt. Haxby led the chasers. Using him as a benchmark, Tiggy Wiggy comes out as at least the same horse as Windsor Castle winner Hootenanny. Behind the runner-up, they weren’t the best. Fast Act, Bond’s Girl and Parsley are decent; in particular the last two were favoured by the terms of the race. Realtra was another that had a comparative featherweight and picked off several rivals in the last furlong. A sixth furlong will help.

Roger Charlton is not adverse to baptising unraced two-year-olds in decent races at this track. Getting weight from twice-placed Lwah and from Haydock winner Stec, that albeit was negated by the claim of Stec’s rider, he chose to introduce Time Test in the Class 3 Conditions Stakes. By Dubawi out of Passage Of Time, he is another excellent example of the quality stock produced by Khalid Abdullah’s Juddmonte Farms. Green early but travelling strongly throughout, James Doyle on Time Test sealed the envelope and put the stamp on a letter he could not deliver. In the last furlong, Time Test loomed large but an under pressure Stec kept finding more and even a crack with the stick failed to help Time Test get the message. We ought to be forgiving. Time Test plainly looked the best horse in the race and should know a lot more next time. It is to be hoped his failure on this occasion was not down to attitude.

Newmarket: The Class 2 handicap over a mile concerned the three racing on the far side. It was a messy affair, with the field depleted by degrees as it progressed. In the end Balty Boys beat Johnno with the progressive Llanarmon Lad in third. The monkey that is Fury eventually consented to have a pop and came home in fourth. Prince Of Johanne refused to load; looking in a mood, Music Theory took a fierce tug on the way down and predictably dropped away in the race. He is poorly handicapped in any case. After running well last time at Sandown, Tanseeb (went to post well enough but got warm at the start) never went a yard. He was beaten after three furlongs.
Noble Protector scooted clear on the rise to the line to win the Listed for fillies, depriving Criteria, who travelled well for most of the way. She does lack a turn of foot. These two were clear in a race that not many got into. Groovejet and Queen Of Ice were the next two picked up in the telescope. At present there is no obvious sign that Astonishing is about to recover last season’s form.

The win of Arethusa in the maiden auction for fillies did no harm to the future prospects of Panda Spirit (beat her four lengths at Kempton), but the race only looked moderate. Thunder In My Heart did best of the rest in second.

Athenian’s Class 3 handicap win for fillies told us little, save to emphasise the ability of Sir Mark Prescott. She may run best fresh but still has to be produced, which, after 234 days, her trainer managed.

On a day when most winners had asserted by a wide margin, it was Winter Thunder that skittled the opposition in the concluding Class 2 handicap. A maiden winner on this track last time, Winter Thunder made light of a mark of 89. Life will be harder for him from now on. The opposition was not particularly strong; it says something that these days it takes this sort of event for Godolphin to dominate. They also had the second with Gold Trail.

July 18th: Newbury: Only those recently arrived from Mars would be unaware of the flagged-up promise of Nafaqa in the Chesham, when after a slow start he finished an eye-catching fourth. Connections had been patient, waiting until now to give the son of Sir Percy his chance. Taking on largely unraced opponents he was a warm favourite for the Class 4 maiden over seven. Smartly away this time, he was never worse than second, towed along early by Sandown runner-up Marshall Jennings. Shaken up, he asserted inside the last furlong. Prince Gagarin and Lethal Legacy did best of the debutants but it was the fine-looking New Approach newcomer, Dissolution that took the eye. Outpaced and green early, he stayed on through the field to finish fifth, looking a ready-made winner next time. A Derby entrant, more will be heard of him.

The class 4 for fillies over six once again featured those with experience. Leicester third Taaqah got the best of it inside the last furlong to hold a never-nearer Zifena. In third, Back Cherry shaped as if an extra furlong might be called for. Outpaced in the middle of the race, she stayed on again for encouragement, arguably finishing best of all.
Third over this trip of 1m 2f at Windsor last time to subsequent Newmarket winner Torchlighter, Cay Dancer lobbed on the heels of the leaders and struck to win the fillies’ handicap comfortably from a mark of 84. She is maintaining her form and seems better than ever.

Returning to the scene of his debut win when impressing, Adaay looks like a horse standing still after failing to find much in the Listed Rose Bowl Stakes. Although he moved up at halfway, he was soon floundering. Dual Kempton winner Limato was given a confident ride by James Doyle, nudged to the front half a furlong out to win in a fast time. This represented a step up on anything he has so far encountered. The Gimcrack is his next likely engagement.
Somehow or another Border Legend held on in a desperate scrap for Class 3 handicap. His rider kicked on at the right time and a machine gun finish from Ajman Bridge just failed.

July 12th: Newmarket: Gelding and a first-time visor did the trick on this occasion for the oft-wayward Golden Town in the Class 2 handicap for three-year-olds. There is no guarantee he will follow up on this though.

After the win of Ivawood in the Group 2 July Stakes on Thursday, the Hannon yard consolidated their current run with the juveniles when Estidhkaar lengthened away in the Group 2 Superlative to win with authority. This did not look a particularly strong Group 2, but the winner is progressing, has a likable attitude and a touch of class. By Dark Angel out of a Danetime mare, he saw out this seven furlongs well but it is unlikely he will get further than a mile. He may be in action at Goodwood – his long term objective being the Royal Lodge. Newcastle winner Aktabantay was second ahead of Cock Of The North. Neither of these two appeal as a genuine black type horse.
Heaven’s Guest came back to his best with a narrow win in the Bunbury Cup. Absolutely So showed his Wokingham run to be all wrong when finishing second; Hoodna was third. Fort Bastion was close up in a race that featured those familiar with big-field handicaps. In first-time blinkers Ertijaal took them along at a fierce pace before predictably tiring a furlong out. That said he did not drop away completely. He always gave the impression sprinting was his game and this confirms it. Dropped back to six and allowed to blitz, he may collect. Abseil would not have appreciated this ground but is looking a like a horse we may have seen the best of for now.

Slade Power followed up his Diamond Jubilee success with another incisive victory in the July Cup, thus retaining an unbeaten record for the season. Tropics squeezed into second at a huge price, ahead of Gregorian who thrusted late for third. American challenger Undrafted was another to put in some good work late, as did once-raced and maiden winner Cougar Mountain, who was a staying-on fifth. His future appears bright and will stay further. Noozhoh Canarias, Astaire and Hot Streak were three-year-olds that were soon burned off. Aljamaaheer surely needs to revert to further.

Winters Moon emerged best of three fighting out the maiden fillies’ event. Shagah and Stroll Patrol were her nearest pursuers in a race that may not translate that well.
York: Coaxed into the race on fast ground he likes, Bronze Angel struck inside the last furlong of the Class 2 handicap over a mile to record his first success since winning the Cambridgeshire two years hence. Well backed Dusky Queen has yet to win beyond seven furlongs.

Continuum came back to form in first time cheekpieces when outpointing Waila close home in the listed handicap. Waila was too keen, often fly-jumping in running. She may appreciate some juice in the ground.

There has to be a question mark over the Class 2 Magnet Cup, devoid this time round of any obviously well handicapped and progressive contenders. That is if you exclude unbeaten Clever Cookie (fast ground a worry to everyone but his trainer it appeared). Never worse than second in the race, revelling in the fast ground, Epsom winner Farraaj cut down Zain Eagle with Bold Sniper running as well as could be expected in third. Educate stepped up on his latest run at Sandown in fourth.
Once again conditions conspired against G Force in the listed event. Slowly away (something you cannot afford at this level) and looking like even he was feeling the ground, he came there to win when it looked as if he took a swipe across the head with Atzeni’s whip on the eventual winner, Take Cover. Making excuses for horses is costly but G Force cannot be abandoned just yet. On this evidence, five is fine, but, as a big unit, he wants some forgiveness from the surface underfoot. His trainer will need to tread softly.

By first season sire – the French Guineas and Derby winner Lope De Vega – Flaming Spear justified all the hype when asserting in the Class 3 median auction event. A fine specimen, he wore down Lady Gemini with a raking stride. It is early days to be thinking about Gimcracks and the like.

Ascot: Savoy Showgirl was a welcome winner for the Michael Bell stable in the nursery for fillies. The manner of her victory suggests she may be worth a try at something better and also consolidated the form of Malabar who had run with such promise in the Albany at Royal Ascot.

Predictably the five furlong sprint handicap worth £100,000 attracted plenty of runners. It went to lightly-raced Discussiontofollow, who had done his winning to date over six furlongs. By Elusive City, the quick ground helped and he got up late. Riskit Fora Biskit was doing her best work in the closing stages and is one to keep an eye on now her stable appear to be firing again.

Guest Of Honour won a sub-standard Group 2 (a race he was only placed in last year) from Mull Of Killough. In third, Long John – impressive in victory at Meydan in February then behind Toast Of New York in the Derby there – stayed on promisingly to take third. Expected to improve for the run (his first since March), although his yard tempers enthusiasm, he is worth considering next time.

July 11th: Newmarket: There was not much to draw from the Class 2 handicap for fillies. With the ground changed to soft, five of the intended twelve were withdrawn. The race went to Nakuti, who is holding her form well. In second was Gown (might win next time) then came the consistent Wedding Ring, who as usual did her best from top weight and a mark of 94.

The point of maintaining established race titles is that by doing so their place in the calendar means form in such is instantly recognised in form and stud books as well as sales catalogues. Does everything have to be explained to those that administer racing? So what used to be known as the Cherry Hinton and is now the Duchess Of Cambridge was won by Queen Mary sixth Arabian Queen. That does not tell the full story. The very attractive High Celebrity (winner of a newcomers’ event at Chantilly) was the paddock pick but slow to stride and then had to race on the outside when gathered up. She looked green still and lacked the strength to pull back Arabian Queen, on whom Ryan Moore had already poached a winning lead. High Celebrity (Storm Cat on the distaff side but no signs of temperament as yet) left the impression she was the best filly in the race, something she has the chance to prove in time.

It was a great day for connections of Integral, who continued her ascent to win the Falmouth Stakes – her first Group 1 – from Coronation winner Rizeena. Peace Burg – six lengths behind Thistle Bird over ten furlongs in the Pretty Polly at the Curragh last time – was a staying on third, ahead of Purr Along. Integral has done nothing but improve and has been campaigned with great aplomb by Sir Michael Stoute. Here Integral reversed Sun Chariot form in a major way with Sky Lantern, who was not at home on the ground, but was nevertheless a tame disappointment.

The Class 2 six furlong handicap was not the best advert for this track. They immediately split and it was a helter-skelter dash with the runners strung out like washing. Mention ought to be made of Suzi’s Connoisseur, who lost at least ten lengths with a ragged start and then picked up, finishing on the heels of the leaders. This return to six seemed to suit. On the contrary, dropping down a furlong from last Saturday’s win at Sandown, Royal Seal could never go the pace. Deeds Not Words – at 33/1 – won a race that should have pleased the bookmakers.

After a promising debut over course and distance two weeks ago when second to Zephuros – to whom he conceded first run – Lexington Times was the order for the Class 4 maiden. Smartly away in the seven furlong event, he was always in the van, racing near the stand rail and lengthened away up the hill. Good Contact and Basateen (very attractive son of Teofilo and stable mate of the winner) were second and third.

Second to York winner Kings Fete last time at Sandown after promise at Newbury, Obsidian has to an extent run out of excuses after failing to find anything at all on his third attempt to break his maiden. To be fair this was not his ground but he surely should have done better than he did. Astronereus toughed it out to draw clear of Razor Wind, another that served a warning notice about backing him in the future – a future that probably lies over eight flights.

York: Second to Snap Shots – a horse that looks to have peaked – Maljaa won the opening maiden in reasonable style but the eye was taken by newcomer Teruntum Star. He was closing inside the last furlong. Being by Dutch Art he will prefer easier ground and a step up to six. He holds a Gimcrack entry and will surely win next time.
Six-year-old mare Ladies Are Forever won the Group 3 for fillies for the third time. Getting first run she struck at a crucial time and just lasted. This fast ground was in her favour. In contrast Joyeuse – a fast-finishing second – was less comfortable and took time to pick up. Her best form is with juice in the ground.

Ventura Shadow’s win in the nursery suggests the race was only moderate. Second in a Musselburgh seller last time, the speedily-bred daughter of Equiano collared form horse Pres Rapide (ground may have been too quick) close home.

Once again the Stoute stable presented us with could be a Group horse in a handicap when Kings Fete, impressive in victory at Sandown, faced older rivals from a mark of 90 in the Class 2. To an extent a recent Great Voltigeur entry gives the game away. Although keen on the way to post and in the race, Kings Fete held on. He does need to settle better but the ability is clearly there. Once he had passed the post, a still tanking Kings Fete carted his jockey back to the start. Mighty Yar returned to his best form when a closing second (down on his knees at the start) and gives plenty of substance to this as a race.

Line Of Reason appears to have come of age since being gelded. He won his third on the bounce when collecting the Class 3 handicap over five furlongs. An extra furlong will not pose a problem. Borderlescott did his best as usual. Now twelve, he is no back number although it is asking a lot from his current mark and against those with younger legs at this sort of level. However, a return to six furlongs will help.

Ascot: Those with experience came to the fore in the Class 3 maiden. Markaz won at the third time of asking (did not have the best of runs last time when fourth at Salisbury last time) with Fingal’s Cave and Rotherwick second and third. After a slow start, the well-supported Emirates Airline only picked up a few places under a vigorous ride when it was all over.

Louie De Palma maintained a hundred per cent record in the nursery, although Bronze Maquette did not have her caused aided when taking a false step well inside the last furlong. These two were clear of Squats.

Three edged clear in the Class 3 over 1m 6f. Hassle eventually got up on the line, although Alcaeus was launched late with his jockey doing an imitation of Pat Taafe in second. This was Alcaeus’s first run since September and it is reasonable to expect some improvement. Glenard was the other to feature in a rough finish of heads and necks.

The class 3 fillies’ handicap went to Arabian Comet who was nicely on top at the end. Having finished third to the improving Connecticut last time, this win gives substance to that one’s future chances. In second, last year’s winner Kikonga gave the race plenty of body. Swan Lakes stayed on again at the finish but her pedigree suggests easy ground will suit her better.

Lightly raced Sea Defence was the morning rage in the Class 3 handicap, although this son of Mizzen Mast drifted on track before the Class 3 handicap. Those that availed themselves of fancy prices knew what they were doing as in a slowly run race, Sea Defence always had his rivals covered and won comfortably. He looks useful.

July 10th: Newmarket: Run in ground softened by steady rain, Queen’s Vase winner Hartnell made all in the Group 3 Bahrain Trophy. These conditions played to his strengths and this trip (1m 5f) was ideal. The St Leger is one of his targets. Niggled for a long way, Windshear took a while to pick up and did stay on for second. Forever Now faced a big step up in class and, although improving on his latest facile Doncaster maiden win, was not good enough on this occasion. The ground probably did not help.

The impressive-looking Ivawood consolidated an appealing debut at Sandown when spanning the bridge between a maiden at Sandown and a Group 2 in the July Stakes. Despite the rain, this lengthy son of Zebedee floated over the ground. Already mature in stature, he is described by his able trainer as being a good a two-year-old as they house. He beat some established types along with several that had shown plenty of promise and only the foolhardy would be out to oppose him next time. Coventry runner-up Jungle Cat was second, replicating his Ascot form with Angelic Lord to the pound. Doncaster maiden winner, Muhaarar – who won that day in soft – finished strongly to deprive local tip Belardo of third. Belardo may be better on a firmer surface, but there was nothing wrong with this run in any case. In this hotter contest, The Great War did better than at Ascot, battling on against the odds up the hill; but on balance, left the impression this is as good as he is.

Aged eight, Cavalryman made all to land the Group 2 Princess Of Wales. His stamina came into play from three out and with everything being pumped along in behind, he stayed on strongly. Hillstar and Pether’s Moon were next to finish in what was a sub-standard race of its type. The big disappointment was Arab Spring who seemed to struggle in the ground. Certainly better was expected and he deserves another chance on a faster surface.

After a keen early gallop set by Mange All, it became a procession in the Class 2 handicap won by Torchlighter. Basically he outstayed his rivals, winning an event that contained poorly handicapped horses. Ventura Quest held second, ahead of Mount Logan who had been put up 10lbs for winning at Goodwood. By New Approach, this ground would not have been ideal for him.

By now rain had worked its way into the ground. As a result several defected in the maiden for juvenile fillies. Of the unraced, it was the Dubawi filly Lady Of Dubai that attracted most attention in the market. Not disgraced, she left the impression it all happened too quickly for her. In a mish-mash of a race where they raced in three groups, it appeared that the rider of East Coast Lady picked right when ploughing a lone furrow on the far side. Lacing was second, with the Lawman filly (out of a Pivotal mare so bred to handle soft), Jillanar – who was slow to stride – staying on through beaten horses for third. On the face of it she has run with a degree of promise but this did not look a strong race.

By New Approach and with a definite fast ground action, it was surprising to see Pretzel a solid favourite for the listed event over a mile. By Dutch Art out of a Pivotal mare, Britannia fifth Zarwaan was the obvious pedigree contender on the softened surface. Pretzel was sent on two out and to the surprise of many was edged out in the final stride by Table Rock. There is a decent race waiting for Pretzel on better ground. Table Rock looked less than keen but his mind was in part managed by that man Mr Moore. Parbold was a never dangerous third with Zarwaan looking on the one-paced side in fourth.

July 5th: Sandown: Outpaced over the minimum last time when sixth behind Extortionist and dropped by a pound as a result, a return to seven suited Royal Seal in the Class 3 handicap. Likely to be rated in the low nineties from here on, she may struggle to better this win. Those in behind were on the ordinary side. Mutawathea finished strongly, taking second ahead of Extremity and Captain Bob, both of whom are beginning to look in the grip of the handicapper.

In grabbing the Group 3 from Kingsgate Native and Dinkum Diamond, last year’s Windsor Castle winner Extortionist seems back to his best form. The King George at Goodwood – where fast ground is essential – is his next intended target. Although genuine enough, Steps continues to make life difficult for himself with his crazy habit of starting slowly in sprints. Once again, it was asking the impossible to win from where he raced.

Unlucky not to have been placed at least at Epsom behind Abseil last time, Velox gained compensation in a strongly run Class 2 handicap. Aided by his rider’s 5lb claim, this sizeable son of Zamindar was also helped by a freshening spell of rain and won with ears pricked, blowing apart a competitive event from a mark of 88. His rider was most effective here (certainly worth his claim) so unless he partners Velox, with the inevitable hike in the ratings, the horse will be set to carry the equivalent of about 12lbs more next time.

The John Gosden winner-making-machine churned out yet another winner in the shape of Belle D’Or, who successfully stepped up to listed company in the Coral Distaff. She got the better of Sandringham third Wee Jean in the final strides. Runner-up from that event at Royal Ascot, Queen Catrine was a desperate disappointment for her supporters. Although she has good form in defeat, the fact remains she has only ever won once. If she underperformed, after a three-length defeat in the Coronation Stakes, Radiator was even worse, finishing last of all. She was gone in a stride and maybe it is time to give up the ghost with her.

Drizzle on the track meant it was a last minute decision for connections of The Fugue and Kingston Hill in the Coral Eclipse. Neither probably had ideal conditions but at least the ground was not extreme. In what promised to be one of the most competitive renewals of the race, we were presented with more than one surprise. Often a nearly horse, Mukhadram – beaten in this by Al Kazeem last year – grabbed the opportunity presented when sitting handy off a strong pace to take it up two out. Mukhadram is a good horse that has always been carried out on his sword. A thoroughly genuine performer with an impressive CV, it would be churlish to denigrate his big day. Trading Leather – another decent Group 1 contender that has so far come up short in the highest company – was an always prominent second. Next came the 100/1 chance Somewhat, who was responsible for the blistering pace. Kingston Hill took time to find his stride and stayed on in fourth, looking as if this trip was too sharp. There is a decent race out there with his name on it. He wants a mile-and-a-half and softer ground. He was only just ahead of True Story, who has obviously left a desperate Derby run in his wake. Apparently he was too switched off at Epsom and a first time visor today woke him up here. He may not be a Group 1 horse but can win a decent race, again possibly over further. In behind, Night Of Thunder looked a non stayer. Even so his 2000 Guineas win at Newmarket remains one of the mysteries of the season. Conditions conspired against The Fugue, who really wants to race on a road and to feel the sun on her back. Held up, she was too far away from the pace to pick up those in front. Verrazano checked out quickly – something he has apparently done in America on occasion. The trip may have been his undoing but to an extent he is looking an expensive purchase that is unlikely to win at this level.

The story of the listed Esher Stakes is simply told. Only four stood their ground. After a run last week that suggested he might just be in the mood, serial monkey that is Repeater sulked in the stalls, lost ten lengths and then was coaxed into it by Moore, who all but stole the show. Reluctant to the end, Repeater was mugged by Ascot Gold Cup also-ran Havana Beat on the line. Having to make the running did not suit Ascot Stakes winner Domination.

Five defected (including favourite Prince Of Stars) in the final event, leaving six in the Class 4 handicap for three-year-olds. In the absence of possibly better rivals than those left, Raise Your Gaze was not winning out of turn after some reasonable efforts.

Haydock: Once described as the best juvenile in the Hannon yard, War Spirit has taken a time to make his mark. The minimum trip seems to be the key – no wonder he was fooling them at home. He recorded his hat-trick from a useful field in the Class 4 handicap from a mark of 77 and will presumably tackle something better next time.

Pomology – unbeaten as a three-year-old in France where she had shown she handled soft ground – retained her record with a ready win in the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks. Now with John Gosden, it was a one-two for the stable as Sultanina continued her upward curve. Talent stayed on strongly to nab second, looking as if a step up in trip will suit this St Leger runner-up. Although somewhat uncooperative today, the same can be said of Seal Of Approval, who only consented to pass a couple of rivals when it was as good as over.

The Old Newton Cup looked a strong enough event although most of the participants held few secrets from the handicapper. After an excellent third to Arab Spring at Royal Ascot on his only start this season, Havana Cooler looked as close as there was to a well handicapped contender. He did not run badly, but was a bit flat early in straight, eventually staying on without getting to grips with the principals. It could be he hit a false patch of ground. Recent Newmarket winner De Rigueur emerged best from Cesarewitch fifth Pallasator, who has run a stormer over this inadequate trip. Apparently the Ebor is on the agenda. Progressive Magic Hurricane ran his best race in third and is one to respect in future events of this type.

July 4th: Sandown: Beacon, arguably the least equipped form-wise of the four runners in the Listed Dragon Stakes, was a comfortable winner. Stalking Snap Shots and Mukhmal – both of whom pulled too hard – it was easy for the Bath winner once Hughes let out some rein. Royal Ascot form has taken something of a knock here (they can’t all have underperformed). Mukhmal (early season form that is now looking shaky) and Snap Shots (small and lacking scope) were representing the Norfolk form; a never-in-contention Union Rose (equipped with cheek pieces) that of the Windsor Castle.

After promise in two attempts at Newbury, culminating in a clear-cut second last time to Estidhkaar when the pair was clear, Mustadeem made the most of a comparatively simple task in the Class 5 maiden. He is a horse his stable like and who may be on his way to the Champagne at Goodwood. This was always Mustadeem’s race to lose; consequently nothing in behind was bullied, most notably Darshini (by Sir Percy) who was second, posting some encouragement for next time. A late postscript is that he returned with blood on his nose. This does not mean he has burst – he may have banged himself on the stalls. Tom Hark has run to about the same level as on debut when fourth to Disengo at Kempton. His future probably lies in handicaps.

Five runs down the line, it has been a hard season for Windhoek, who has been on the go since winning a handicap at Meydan in January. Desperately unlucky in the Winter Derby and then asked to race on unsuitably soft ground at Goodwood, he did not act too well at Epsom last time but found everything in his favour in the listed event over ten furlongs. Always handy, Fallon kept it simple and Windhoek – one of the better flag bearers from his stable – was soon clear. In truth, with Educate looking as if the run would bring him on, and Tha’ir on a non-day, this proved a soft target.

After withdrawals they were a motley crew in the Class 3 handicap. Delivered late, Presburg cleared away to win with ears pricked from Vital Evidence (ran in snatches) and Rydan. Long-standing maiden Karraar, who was expected to perform better by his stable, looks like a horse that is running on the spot.

Alwilda wore down her rivals in the closing stages of the Class 4 handicap. Lightly-raced Economy – by Dalakhani out of a Sadler’s Wells mare – as his pedigree suggested was not entirely at home on this fast ground. The trip suited and we can expect better when the ground eases. His current mark of 83 should give him plenty of chances.

June Results 2014

June 28th: Newmarket: Firm ground conditions prevailed overnight and into the afternoon. In the maiden won by Kingman last year, this time it was Godolphin’s Zephuros that took the spoils from the Hannon-duo Lexington Times and the apparently better fancied Holland Park. Always adrift, he was given the easier introduction. The runner-up made up a lot of ground quickly and with first run it would have been closer. He should win an average maiden – the time suggesting they were nothing out of the ordinary.

A thunderstorm before the listed fillies’ race meant the authorities, understandably reluctant to load the nine runners in an iron contraption, left them milling at the start as time ticked away and the programme got behind schedule. A busy Saturday and the risk of a clash on Channel 4 ensued whilst the runners got a soaking. Anyone think of using a flag start? Once again, without the application of common sense, racing managed to shoot itself in the foot. When they did race it was clear the ground had been eased by the downpour. Recent Leicester winner and 25/1 shot Calypso Beat came out best from Parsley. Littlemissblakeney, fifth in the Queen Mary, did little to uphold that form when dropping away quickly – something the market anticipated.

By the start of the Listed Fred Archer the ground had been revised to good to soft. Not an obvious beneficiary of the changed conditions, Sheikhzayedroad came from last to first to deny penalised Gatewood, for whom the rain arrived in time. They finished at long intervals.

The ground was soft by the Group 3 Criterion Stakes – coming to the rescue of most of the field, although firm ground winner Indignant was a late absentee. Gregorian, disappointing at Epsom but better by the rain, emerged best on the climb to the hill, his class telling in the closing stages. In first time blinkers, in second Garswood again ran in snatches; but to be fair he is not good enough to beat the useful Gregorian on a going day. Eton Forever was third. Top Notch Tonto continues to disappoint, checking out quickly on ground that had come right for him.

Fourth in the German Guineas, Evita Peron – by Pivotal so the ground had swung in her favour – won the listed over seven furlongs from Penny Drops and Swift Campaign – on only her second start after lifting a maiden over this course last month. Money-spinner Wedding Ring was fourth.

Again the ground was a massive help to the Selkirk filly, Melrose Abbey in the handicap for fillies. Off only 82, she cleared away from Seagull (not as suited by the ground) to win with plenty in hand. On this surface, the lightly-raced winner – who has plenty of substance and scope – looks capable of winning something better. An autumn target might be on the cards.

Newcastle: After a bad experience at the stalls last time at York, Danzeno came back to form, taking his biggest prize in the Group 3 over six furlongs. A big gelding, he outstayed Saayerr in the last furlong, who forfeited second late on to Ruwaiyan. Body And Soul shapes as if a drop back to five will suit her better.

Chester Cup runner-up Angel Gabrial was always handy in the Northumberland Plate and made no mistake this time. It was a tough old race. Repeater was the only one to finish from the rear (last at one stage) and a late rattle that took him into third place suggests, tricky though he might be, something could be in the offing. The draw beat Van Percy, who did pick up ground late and should not be overlooked in something similar.

Curragh: And here’s an idea: run the Irish Derby a third of the way through the knife edge World Cup match that was Brazil v Chile. Have a 1/8 favourite and then wonder why viewing figures were low. Over to the Irish authorities… In the race, Australia cruised up to Kingfisher and Orchestra and won without turning a hair. Unfortunately, after the justifiable defection of Kingston Hill on account of the ground, this turned out to be a weak event. That said Australia could only beat what was put before him.

June 21st: Royal Ascot: With form that represented around the best on offer in Ireland (close with Coventry runner-up Cappella Sansevero), Dick Whittington was entitled to start favourite for the Chesham. Unraced Cordero (by Giant’s Causeway) and Toscanini (not far behind Dick Whittington at Naas and improved run next time) were seen as the main dangers in what is often a serious pointer to the months ahead. As it was, after a moderate fourth at Newmarket on debut, Richard Pankhurst punched a hole in all the form lines. Tracking a strong-travelling Toscanini, he quickened away inside the last furlong, showing a killer turn of foot. By Raven’s Pass this drying ground would have been ideal. With no excuses, Toscanini was second and both he and the third, Dick Whittington, set the standard. Nafaqa is worth a mention. By Sir Percy – who is having some success with his juveniles – he flopped out of the stalls, giving the pack at least eight lengths. The fact he finished fourth augers well for his future and you would think he should win next time. Cordero (chopped in his stride two out but already looking held) ran satisfactorily in staying on at the end to finish sixth without giving cause for excitement at this stage of his career.

Up 8lbs for winning at York last time, the immensely likeable Arab Spring made a mockery of the Duke Of Edinburgh from a mark of 104. A superb example of Monsun (not always the easiest family to train), he is the epitome of a perfect racehorse in terms of confirmation. He is not a bad performer either. It has taken four runs to elevate himself to the present level (Group 2 at least); with entries in the Arc and a big home reputation (said to have finished in front of Telescope on his latest piece of work), he is not finished yet. In behind they were decent handicappers. Elhaame (suited by this fast ground) shaped as if he should be winning in the near future. A fancied Hamelin was never travelling on ground that was clearly too fast.

With the ground and trip in his favour, after two runs over ten furlongs this year on soft, aforementioned Telescope had his chance at a Hardwicke. As Group 2s go this was not as strong as it could be, even so Telescope was impressive. So well was he travelling that Ryan Moore (one of his strengths is that he does not make mistakes) let him go two out. From then on Telescope lengthened away from the opposition. Surely the King George is next on the agenda. Hillstar (another that needs this sort of ground as opposed to the soft he has been running on) made it a one-two for his trainer, inching out Pether’s Moon on the line.

Despite sweating beforehand and on ground that was thought to be quick enough, Slade Power blitzed clear in the Diamond Jubilee from off a fast pace. Due Diligence did the better of the two three-year-olds (Astaire went off too quickly), with Aljamaaheer once again finding his stride when it was too late. On the evidence of his two attempts at this trip, it seems too sharp for him. Music Master was a surprising fourth in a race where all the action – for the first time this week – took place on the far side. Considering records have been broken on the round course, there can’t be anything wrong with the track.

Once again it was the stand side that had it in the Wokingham Stakes. Baccarat – no stranger to big sprint handicaps – came out on top. Professor – versatile as regards trip – finished strongly in second. Rivellino, Alben Star and Boomerang Bob were next. It’s a struggle to make too much of it.

And so to the last race of what has been a glorious five days: Last man standing: the Queen Alexandra Stakes over just shy of two-and-a-three-quarters of a mile. Pique Sous – winner of two hurdle races and NH Flat events outstayed his rivals. Keen, he was brilliantly handled by Ryan Moore to make it win number six for the meeting and his third on the day. Races like this do not tend to provide too many pointers for the future. Brass Ring appeared to have stayed this marathon trip, meaning something like the Northumberland Plate may be on the horizon. Poor Tiger Cliff finished distressed.

June 20th: Royal Ascot: Kempton winner Cursory Glance beat some higher-profiled rivals with better form and credentials going into the Albany Stakes, pouncing late and stretching away in the sixth furlong. A strong type that seemed suited by the way the race was run, she is no more than attractive, but effective. It is early days to start talking in terms of 1000 Guineas. A powerful and big filly, Sunset Glow, bursting with Californian sunshine, could have been mistaken for a three-year-old. She trapped quickly; perhaps five would suit better at this sort of level. Form filly, Patience Alexander (beat Queen Mary runner-up Tiggy Wiggy at York) matched strides with Sunset Glow, both succumbing inside the final furlong. Like the runner-up she has seen out the extra furlong although it has not improved her. Malabar ran through beaten horses to finish strongly in fourth and will be even better over seven. By Raven’s Pass, this fast ground will have suited her but this was a major step up from her debut second at Haydock. This was a strong betting heat. Osaila outran her market price in fifth. Bitter Lake was not disgraced in seventh; neither were Sexy Legs in ninth (by Dutch Art, easier ground will probably suit better), or Appleberry (not this class but capable of winning something decent) in tenth. Like many of these the frenetic pace set by Sunset Glow burned them off.

Contributer had his payday in the Wolferton Handicap, possibly signifying that the Ed Dunlop stable is back in business. Enjoying this better ground (never able to get to grips with Noble Mission on the heavy last time), he came from last to first to deny a major gamble on Bold Sniper and a strong-finishing Cafe Society. Several proved to be the architect of their own misfortunes. Hall of Mirrors (fifth) was awash with sweat beforehand. Energizer was one that did show some promise in sixth, but Dick Doughtywylie and Saxo Jack (another intractable Godolphin beast) pulled their way out of contention.

They were an interesting, if slightly sub-standard lot, for the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes. Bunker and Odeon were more fizzy than ideal. Money horse Adelaide is only small but looked well, as did Miner’s Lamp, Eagle Top and Scotland. Snow Sky was warm but has got heated before. Despite having been beaten from a mark of 92 at Leicester (blood was wrong) in a handicap in April, Eagle Top – described as a Group horse in the making at Newbury when winning his maiden – vindicated that opinion with a classy display. Hunting down the leaders travelling well, he was soon in command, proving too powerful for Adelaide. Scotland ran his best race of the season in third, ahead of a slightly one-paced Snow Sky.

Radiator (always a paddock stand out), Lesstalk In Paris and the well proportioned My Titania (got progressively warmer though) were the Coronation picks beforehand. Tapestry is a sparsely made filly, Lightning Thunder is not big but powerful; Lucky Kristale looked well. With two handlers and on her toes, Rizeena was a coiled spring in the paddock but more settled at the start. As feared, after her absence, My Titania was too free early and has probably done well to finish fourth. A slow pace meant it developed into something of a sprint, Rizeena never worse than third nudged on under Ryan Moore and avenging her Guineas defeat. Lesstalk In Paris – another filly to return to her best form – was a late closer on the wide outside to steal second from Euro Charline. After finishing second in the English and Irish Guineas, Lightning Thunder ran like a tired filly, although she was not beaten that far. Radiator is not far from this class – she may improve for a step up in trip and surprise in the Nassau at Goodwood – a track where she has form. Lucky Kristale does not stay.

Courtesy of Gold Approach, no prisoners were taken in the Queen’s Vase. Not bred to stay, Gold Approach set a silly pace he had no chance of sustaining. Not many actually got home. Hartnell managed to hold on, despite wandering off a true line on ground that was almost firm enough. He did stay well, as did Century, who went the scenic route and looked all set to get up until impeded by Hartnell, who arguably cost him victory. Joseph O’Brien stated as much in the inquiry. His persuasive argument was not enough to overturn the result. Marzocco was close in third – he may not have seen it out as well as the first two – Big Orange was fourth with the rest coming home at long intervals.

Once again the stands’ side had the best of the big handicap – this time the Buckingham Palace over seven furlongs. Louis The Pious created something of a shock, although his overall form (Ayr Gold Cup second) entitled him to be thereabouts on a good day. Horsted Keynes was a late finisher that may have been an unfortunate loser.

19th June:

Royal Ascot Results

A strong and compact million dollar yearling by War Front, The Great War carried maximum stable confidence in the Norfolk Stakes. In contrast to his demeanour in his two races leading up to this he was fractious and warm getting warmer beforehand during the preliminaries, requiring two handlers. He was running with sweat at the start, meaning he may have left the race behind in the pre-parade ring. Shaken up two out after a blistering early pace, the whip was soon out and The Great War could find no more. This was a bitter disappointment from a colt that came here in preference to the Coventry. Woodcote winner Baitha Alga picked up the pieces from off the pace to win going away. A son of Fast Company and now a black-type winner over five and six, he is speedy and versatile. Mind Of Madness, unsighted in the Windsor Castle on Tuesday, ran on through a skittled field for second. This was a race of two halves. Bath winner, Ahlan Emarati was third. A winner at lowly Bath, his showing emphasises how dangerous it is to dismiss horses plunged into the deep end by Peter Chapple-Hyam. Snap Shots, who helped to force a suicidal early pace, hung on for fourth. Mukhmal could not sustain the crazy speed and dropped away.

Cannock Chase continued his upward curve with a win in the Group 3 Tercentenary Stakes. A likeable and substantial son of Lemon Drop Kid that won a good handicap from a mark of 89 last time, he must now be considered in the region of a 110 rated horse. His trainer feels he may scale the heights to Group 1 given time. Although fancied today there was a stable niggle over the ground being on the firm side. By a dirt stallion that is understandable. His strength and willingness won the day. In a close run scrap for the places, Mutakayyef was second. He has reversed Newmarket places with Barley Mow and is going the right way. Postponed travelled best of all for most of the journey but the finishing spark was absent. He did stay on well enough for third and despite his pedigree might be worth trying over a mile-and-a-half. Cloudscape, Barley Mow (slightly hampered) and Spark Plug (ran on from the rear and worth considering in lesser company) were next to finish in a hot contest.

Not for the first time we got something of a surprise in the Ribblesdale. Bracelet, a winner of a Guineas trial in the spring but a flop in the classic itself, appreciated this step up in trip and the fast pace set by her stable companion, Terrific. Lustrous emerged from the pack to chase her home ahead of Criteria. In reality the best fillies (at least considered the best going into this) were well beaten for a variety of reasons. Top of these was Vazira. She looks to have a hint of temperament. She was certainly no help to her jockey at the start where she lost several lengths but saw out her race well enough without ever threatening to trouble the principals. Italian Oaks winner Final Score was fifth under a 3lbs penalty, ahead of Wonderstruck. Bright Approach ran deplorably and was unaccountably last of those to finish. Inchila was pulled up sharply after going wrong on her off hind.

The Gold Cup was a fitting spectacle. Despite looking beaten at the turn, Leading Light dug into the locker to see it out. Described as “tough as nails” by young Joseph, he looked out on his feet at the end and was blowing very hard. A fine son of Montjeu, he gave his all.
Estimate also covered herself in glory. Travelling as well as anything as the race progressed, she was checked in her run but thrusted all the way to the line against a better adversary than any she met in this race last year. Another mare, Missunited, having made the running, was a gallant third with Brown Panther fourth. As Gold Cups go, this was a vintage renewal.

The first five in the Class 2 Britannia Handicap came from the stand side. Born In Bombay and Hors De Combat, who had fought out a Newmarket handicap in May, were first and third. Born In Bombay was only having his fourth outing, winning this from a mark of 87. Bow Creek turned in a big performance under top weight to finish second. Blimbi and Zarwaan were fourth and fifth. American Hope did best of those on the far side to take sixth from a mark of 99. First Flight was also prominent on the far side. A trap-and-run race suited such a free-pulling sort.

Elite Army, a brutish son of Authorized, scythed down Windshear to claim the closing King George V Stakes. Up 8lbs for winning a Sandown handicap last time when he pulled too hard he was better suited by this faster pace (still a bit keen) and won with something in hand. Windshear, second to Cannock Chase at Newbury, was another to almost deny the handicapper – he certainly defied a poor draw in second. Captain Morley stayed on strongly in third, as did the maiden Venezia, who still looks green, forfeited a good position early, but finished with plenty of enthusiasm.

June 18th: Royal Ascot: Once again Muwaary proved his own worst enemy in the Jersey as he refused to settle (better than last time in France) but kept on battling once headed. He has more ability than we have seen so far but will always struggle unless he learns to settle. Having finished fourth in the French Guineas he was entitled to take high rank in this Group 3 and only gave best to Mustajeeb – who was seven lengths behind Kingman in the Irish Guineas, appreciated the better ground and gave 3lbs to the runner-up now. The finish concerned the sort of horses this race is designed to attract. In third, Giovanni Boldini served notice a return to form is imminent. Upped in grade, Windfast ran a big race in fourth.

England, Ireland and America met at the crossroads for the Queen Mary. It was Ireland that won the day, although three good fillies fought it out. Impressive at Tipperary, Anthem Alexander, another winner for Starspangledbanner, was not the quickest into stride, but arrived on the scene going strongly to take it up and withstand a rally from Tiggy Wiggy, who looked beaten a furlong out but came back for more. Newsletter (by Sir Percy and not the first speedy two-year-old he has sired!) was a surprise in third. The American filly, Spanish Pipedream is not just a speedball. Flopping out of the stalls she sliced through the field to take it up but refused to go away when headed, putting in a giant effort in fourth. Once-raced Pastoral Girl (fifth at Thirsk) was flying late on and should win her maiden without any bother. Essentially, once again, the right horses dominated, making this look like a good renewal.

Whereas Treve had to defy a couple of negatives to win the Prince Of Wales, for The Fugue it was a case of revelling in everything she wanted. Over a mile-and-a-quarter on fast ground, she is close to the finest around. Certainly, in victory today, achieved in a record time and against the best they could assemble, she put up a personal best. Cruising to the front over a furlong out, she kept on to avenge that Breeders’ Cup defeat by Magician, who broke for home at the turn and kept battling when headed. Treve was only third. Looking magnificent – this is the second time she has been beaten this year and her trainer must take some of the blame for that. Treve is a mile-and-a-half filly and, more importantly, at least from this viewpoint (trainer denies it), she wants to get her toe in. It could be she will return to her best form in the autumn, but it is always possible, although the rightful winner of the Arc, the winning distance flattered her. Mukhadram ran another of his honest races in defeat to finish fourth.

Little Integral – so narrowly touched off in the Sun Chariot last year – gained her most important success in the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes. Perfectly delivered by Ryan Moore, she was soon in command once she hit the front. Balanchine winner L’Amour De Ma Vie was second with much improved Purr Along in third. What Spencer was doing on her remains a mystery. On fast ground he was too far adrift and then challenged on the wrong part of the course. He was not on a maiden at Ripon with a stone in hand. This was a group race! Patience with his style of riding is wearing thin.
Looking big after her absence and carrying a 5lbs penalty, Sky Lantern ran a huge race to take fifth. Presumably she will have a tilt at the Falmouth again this year. Whatever her next target she will surely line up as a different proposition.

On a day when everything appeared to conspire against them, bookmakers got some respite with the win of Field Of Dream in the Hunt Cup. High numbers had the call. Chil The Kite and Steeler were in the money for second and third. With his 5lbs penalty from winning at Sandown on Saturday, Sea Shanty rattled off the fast surface to finish fourth. Victoria Cup fourth Ayaar was fifth this time. Tales Of Grimm, who has built a career out of being a rogue, was close up. Unfortunately, having slipped to a reasonable mark, he cannot be relied upon to reproduce this. Allowed to coast home on the heels of the leaders without his jockey giving him any sort of encouragement, Belgian Bill was given a curious ride. Abseil is probably better than his finishing position. This was a tough assignment for one so inexperienced and he remains a decent prospect.

Muteela, a tough terrier of a filly that refuses to go down without a fight, kept finding to win the Sandringham Handicap. Once again Spencer launched a late attack from out of the clouds on Queen Catrine that meant she was probably the moral winner.

June 17th Royal Ascot: A giant of a performer on his day but capable of disappointing when not, Toronado was strongly fancied to lift the Queen Anne. With a proven record first time out and looking in bullish shape (not any bigger but much fuller than when last seen), despite getting warm beforehand, he cruised off a sharp pace to bust down the door on the race over a furlong out. Apparently he did blow up in the closing stages so better may be forthcoming if he stays on track. In second, a sticky-with-sweat Verrazano bettered his Lockinge effort and one gets the feeling he is teeing himself up for a big prize. Fast ground is essential for him and something in the height of summer may be ideal. Dwarfed by the two in front of him, Anodin justified his supplementation for the event when taking it up over a furlong out. This is as good as he is. In front of Verrazano at Newbury, Tullius once again ran well in this elevated company to finish fourth.

A winner of a modest Ayr maiden in soft ground, The Wow Signal – a good-sized, strong son of Starspangledbanner – was always prominent in the Coventry before opening up for an important win. In a race that favoured those that raced in the firing line, in second, Capella Sansevero travelled strongly throughout, attacking from off the pace and closing stride by stride without quite getting to the winner. On this evidence he will stay further and remains a decent colt capable of winning more races. Jungle Cat confirmed his Goodwood win was no fluke when taking third. Three-time winner Justice Good was fourth, ahead of a tightly knit bunch. Adaay was beaten about three lengths in eighth, half a length in front of War Envoy. He looked unbalanced and awkward but reversed Naas form with Kool Kompany and will be better over further and on an easier surface.

Last year’s King’s Stand winner Sole Power repeated the dose under a cool ride from Richard Hughes. Slicing through the field, Sole Power (proven on fast ground so we have to assume it is quickening all the time) played his turn of foot late to deprive Stepper Point and Hot Streak. The third may have found this ground quick enough: there will be other days. It’s a long way down the line but the Haydock autumn sprint could have his name on it. Medicean Man, another to frank Meydan form, Jack Dexter and Steps (again not helping himself by starting slowly) all closed to run up to their best. Shea Shea went to post in awkward fashion, using up a lot of energy in the process. It has to be said he is developing some odd traits in his old age.

Kingman righted the wrong of the Guineas with an electrifying turn of foot to cut down Night Of Thunder in the St James’s Palace Stakes. Pottery on the way to post but awesome on the way back, he coasted throughout, quickening on the wide outside in the straight to settle the issue in a few strides. This ground was probably as quick as he wants. Apparently, having achieved all he needed to here, he will be given a short rest before possible tilts at the Prix Maurois and the QEII in the autumn. Night Of Thunder made the running but had no answer to the winner’s burst. He left the impression he might be effective over ten furlongs. The same could be said for Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner Outstrip, who returned to something like his best in third. War Command and Yuften were next with a hard-pulling Toormore burning himself out at the wrong end of the race.

The two-and-a-half mile slog that is the Ascot Stakes was won by Domination, who, well back at one stage, picked up his rivals one-by-one. They went hard from the start and predictably those responsible were back-pedalling in the closing stages. Another Cocktail and Sizzler were next to finish.

On a day when bookmakers’ jaws were close to the floor, Hootenanny compounded their sorrow when as the best backed horse in the Windsor Castle he bolted up. Bogged down on the Pimlico dirt last time, on turf, cleverly conserved by his American jockey, he blitzed it. All speed, his time was close to that recorded by Sole Power in the King’s Stand.

June 14th: Sandown: After winning a maiden at Bath, from a mark of 84 Agent Murphy took the Class 3 handicap from Torchlighter and Lingfield maiden winner Shafrah. Not ideally placed in a slowly run race, on this occasion Gothic could never land a blow.

On a day of big field handicaps the Class 2 over a mile was no exception. Despite worries over the rain-softened ground for Sea Shanty, Richard Hughes delivered the son of Elusive Quality to perfection to inch out Tanseeb. With a 5lbs penalty, this win means Sea Shanty squeezes under the bar in the Hunt Cup, an engagement he is likely to take up. Not for the first time Enobled ran well enough to suggest his turn is not far away.

It was a rough house of a race for the Listed Scurry Stakes, for which badly drawn G Force was squeezed out early and had to run two races in one to make a challenge. He made headway quickly then, switched, never quite got to grips with the front two. Over five furlongs in this sort of company it is not possible to sacrifice ground and G Force, described as a Group 1 horse by connections, is worth another chance. He does have an electric turn of foot. Reverting to his best trip, Wind Fire, who was always handily placed, was able to last from Hay Chewed. Perfect Blessings was on the heels of the leaders in fifth.

In no mood to be denied and given a powerhouse ride by William Buick, Captain Bob stuck bravely to his guns to hold Silent Bullet, who came with what looked like a winning run in the Class 3 handicap.

Despite a rough passage in running in the maiden, Obsidian (eye catching fifth to Connecticut at Newbury) could not land a blow against the best looking colt in the field, KINGS FETE. The winner has made giant strides since finishing a moderate fourth at Newbury and can continue to improve. A mark in the low eighties will give him a real chance in a decent handicap. New Story, another to reappear from the same event as Obsidian, had every chance but there were no excuses.

York: Beaten five lengths by Abseil at Epsom last week and down to a winning mark, the ever-reliable Spirit Of The Law made just about all in the Class 2 handicap, fighting back inside the last furlong when momentarily headed by the runner-up Busatto. Roserrow was another to recover form in third. Well backed favourite Flow was in the mix in a race very few got into.

United with Frankie Dettori, the frustrating Fencing was tanking throughout in the listed contest, arriving on the scene apparently full of running but getting run out of it by Guest Of Honour. Even all Dettori’s guile and strength failed to galvanise Fencing, who remains a figure horse rather than a winning one.

See The Sun made all to win the Class 2 sprint handicap over six furlongs. Only beaten a head by Jersey-bound Musical Comedy at Newbury last time, Naadirr threw down a big challenge inside the last furlong from a mark of 102. He put in some serious work to go so close and deserves decent consolation. Kickboxer and Gamesome were next to finish. Most of the action took place in the centre of the track, meaning this may not be over reliable form.

The class 4 handicap over ten furlongs went to Eurystheus in a tight finish with Artful Prince and Toga Tiger. If there is a horse to take from this it could be Bishop’s Castle. He started slowly and made up plenty of ground to finish on the heels of the leaders. Not straightforward and with a high head carriage (softer ground might play to his strengths), with a clean break he would have nearly won. Not one to back at a grade 1 track, his trainer might find a soft opening at somewhere like Ayr.

June 13th: Sandown: The market spoke volumes for the chances of unraced Ivawood in the opening juvenile maiden. Perfectly settled and confidently ridden by Richard Hughes, the Zebedee colt asserted once shaken up to beat a couple with experience in Magical Memory and Kinematic. They are no great shakes but the winner had plenty in hand.

Tupi supplied a quick double for the Hannon/Hughes combination in the first seven furlong contest of the current campaign. An early foal [February] by Tamayuz, Tupi may not have beaten too much, but once again was confidently handled and value for more than the official margin. Stable companion Marshall Jennings posted promise in second, although with Red Rubles, Diaz and The Paco Kid all close up, it was a bunch finish.

On a day when the Hannon camp were flying, they landed a treble here in the Class 4 fillies’ handicap with Cay Dancer, who had finished a promising and staying-on fourth at Newbury last time. Again apprentice-ridden, she wore down Lady Tiana close home with Token Of Love in third and looking as if a step up in trip will help.

Seven lengths fourth to the progressive Abseil when last seen at Yarmouth in April, Twin Point was apparently handed an easy opportunity in the Class 5 handicap from a mark of 75. Although flattered by the proximity to the current Hunt Cup favourite, Twin Point was good enough to hold Hoon in what was a weak event.

York: Beforehand, the Class 3 handicap threatened to be all about the potentially reasonably treated Connecticut – so it proved. Accorded a mark of 84 after a decent Newmarket debut followed by a workmanlike Newbury victory, it seemed connections were prepared to forego any temptation to plot a Royal Ascot course in favour of this easier opportunity. Looking a shade bothered by the heat of the day and taking a keener hold early than ideal, Connecticut soon settled and proved a willing accomplice to his excellent rider’s urgings. Patient under fire, Andrea Atzeni gave his mount every chance to respond and, despite being involved in a close scrap, only resorted to a couple of half-hearted taps with his stick in the closing stages. His body language suggested he knew he was on the best horse in the race. By New Approach out of a Slip Anchor mare, Connecticut has a willing attitude and looks as if he will continue to progress. Clearly his stable likes him.

June 12th: Newbury: The class 4 maiden over an extended six furlongs was all about those with experience: Estidhkaar and Mustadeem dominating the closing stages. Having posted promise at Goodwood on debut, Estidhkaar looked more clued up here and more at home on a galloping track. A good-sized and well-proportioned son of Dark Angel, he was always in front and kept on too strongly for Mustadeem, winning with something in hand. The runner-up tried hard without ever threatening to overhaul the winner. Laidback Romeo (by Kodiac) stayed on for third without being knocked about. It was six lengths back to Ascot fourth St Bredales Bay.

Hoop Of Colour stepped up on a promising Windsor debut to land the fillies’ maiden from Oh Star and Pleasant Valley. Having her first run of the season – and her qualifying third run for a handicap – an easy to back BY JUPITER [a daughter of Sea The Stars] shaped as if she can do better and might be of interest if accorded a reasonable mark when trying her luck in handicaps.

The second division of the maiden looked inferior to that won by Hoop Of Colour. Carnevale made it third time lucky at the expense of Cape Mystery without quickening the pulse.

After finishing second three times and third on the other occasion in various affairs at two and this year, Eastern Belle, who is a model of consistency, got off the mark in the Listed Ballymacoll Stakes. Second to Marsh Daisy in the Height Of Fashion at Goodwood, she confirmed placings with Jordan Princess on this better ground. The late rattle of Pelerin meant Eastern Belle may have had more on her plate had the runner-up got out in time. Pelerin will probably be better over 1m 4f. Although she made the running, Queen Of Ice settled this time and kept on for third once headed. Jordan Princess has yet to reproduce her second to Taghrooda in the Pretty Polly. On the small side, she does lack scope.

The class 5 handicap won by the exposed Know Your Name looked of limited value. It is possible THE THIRD MAN, who is stoutly bred for a contest over a mile, will improve for further. By Dalakhani out of Group 1 winner Spinning World and a half-brother to Trade Commissioner, this was his first run since winning a maiden at Lingfield in December of last year. He has a high action indicating cut will help him. It is tempting to think he may do better.

7th June: Epsom: After scooting away with a Sandown handicap on soft ground, What About Carlo flopped at Haydock next time but returned to his best in the Class 2 handicap. With the ground freshened by several showers and over 1m 2f, he played his cards late to take it up inside the last furlong. Black Shadow upped his game from maiden company to finish second from a mark of 93 – which might be a high enough rating for now; although, a winner over 1m 3f with a stout pedigree, twelve furlongs may improve him. Hymenaios was another to put a poor soft ground run behind him. He stayed on from the rear to poach third from Yenhaab. Often a pointer to horses destined for better things, this year’s race looked to contain decent handicappers only.

The Listed Woodcote Stakes for two-year-olds over six furlongs went to the speedy Baitha Alga, who has improved again from last week’s Chester win. By Fast Company, he has the speed to win over five if required. As at Chester last time, Ballymore Castle made things tough for himself – this time being unable to claw back the leader. Untidy at the stalls and sprawly on the track, he was last and going nowhere at the turn but motored in the final furlong and a half to take second. He looks a handful but may shine on a more conventional course, where there might be a big race (a sales event for example) to be won.

Some horses defy description. Try the eight-year-old gelding Cirrus Des Aigles. Even over a trip that is further than his best, he was always travelling supremely well in the Coronation Stakes. Once he overtook the pacesetting Ambivalent the result was never in doubt. He did pull up slightly lame (seemed to walk it off) and his jockey – who was quick to dismount after passing the post – reported he felt something was wrong halfway up the straight. It is testament to Cirrus Des Aigles and all associated with him that he still added yet another Group 1 to an already expanded portfolio. Flintshire made a challenge from over a furlong out without ever looking likely to pass the Cirrus Des Aigles, playing his part in a French one-two. The Grand Prix du Paris winner is better on a sounder surface but even so it is hard to see him winning a King George. Ambivalent kept on doggedly but these rivals were just a little too good.

It was agony for backers of Steps in the Dash after he fluffed the start, was plum last and then flashed home for fourth, finishing in front two strides after the line. He really is in the form of his life at present. Caspian Prince won in a photo with Seeking Magic, Addictive Dream was third. Swan Song recovered her Chester form to finish fifth. The frustrating Smoothtalkinrascal once again cast himself adrift and then finished late. An about-to-peak Barnet Fair should be taken seriously next time on a faster surface in less exacting company. New Fforest put in a satisfactory reappearance.

Aidan O’Brien maintained his recent stranglehold on the Derby, unveiling yet another true star in Australia who fulfilled his destiny in the race he was bred to win. It was no walk in the park, but it looked a strong field. Considering the rain beforehand, Australia recorded a fast time and with his speed could easily win a Group 1 over 1m 2f. The world would appear to be his oyster. The Guineas form was franked yet again with Kingston Hill following Australia home. His immediate target is the Irish Derby. On a similar surface he should be hard to beat. Romsdal has run out of his skin in third and will be aimed at the St Leger. Arod ran on for fourth, upholding the Dante form and confirming his superiority over a never travelling True Story. Fascinating Rock failed to stay, as in all probability did Ebanoran. The Beresford form was further devalued by the abysmal run of Geoffrey Chaucer – who finished last and has to be better than that. After a rough passage, Western Hymn recovered to finish sixth, whilst Our Channel and Red Galileo both performed better than might have been expected.

Given a peach of a ride by Oisin Murphy, Miss Marjurie – effectively 2lbs wrong as he could only claim 1lbs – seized the moment to run away with the Class 2 handicap at the expense of Stomachion.

6th June: Epsom: Thistle Bird repeated her win of last year in the Group 3, showing that her run at York last time was needed. Odeliz continues to perform well at this level, whilst Spencer and Just The Judge looked at odds with each other. The combination allowed the first two the vital drop halfway up the straight before finishing best of the rest. Although she seems to have developed a quirk or two, it could be Just The Judge wants further than an extended mile now and that this drying ground may not have helped.

Assisted by a fast gallop set by Salutation and Soviet Rock, Farraaj and Air Pilot dominated in the Group 2 handicap over 1m 2f. Always travelling strongly, Farraaj tanked throughout and was in front with two furlongs to race. Considering he is so lightly raced, Air Pilot did well to stick with the more experienced winner. A last-gasp winner over 1m 4f last time, this trip is more suitable. Not much delivered a blow in behind – Clon Brulee eventually taking third.

Dropping back to this extended mile in the Group 3, French Navy confirmed Goodwood form on this much quicker surface (drying out all the time) with Windhoek. Whereas French Navy had the acceleration to pick off the leaders, Windhoek did not look entirely happy over this sharper trip. He stayed on but surely needs a return to 1m 2f. In between the two came the improved Graphic, who may have been better served by easier ground. With his penalty and on this surface Penitent was wasting his time. Gregorian (looked as if he was racing on hot coals) was another apparently inconvenienced by a drying wind and a warm sun.

Still raw and inexperienced, the ground firmed in time for the American-bred Abseil in the Class 2 handicap, who travelled beautifully for the last half of the race having started off a little too keen. This is not the easiest of tracks for those that lack experience. Winning from a mark of 92, Abseil should be capable of better yet. Llanarmon Lad closed to emerge best of the bunch in behind for second. Red Avenger and the dastardly Fury were next. Poor Velox got not run on the rail. He is worth bearing in mind for a decent event. By Zamindar out of a Peintre Celebre mare, he may come into his own on easier ground.

With a pedigree to die for – by Sea The Stars out of Ezima – Taghrooda maintained an unbeaten record when winning the Oaks on only her third racecourse experience. The form from Taghrooda’s Pretty Polly win had been devalued but the filly was oblivious, arriving on the scene two out travelling strongly. Once in front she strode clear of a classy field. Tarfasha got the better of a tight tussle for second ahead of Volume, who has improved since Newbury and was given a first rate chance by Richard Hughes. Inchila ran the Newbury form to an ounce with Volume in fourth, but to be fair she did not have much room to move forward throughout the last furlong or so. Ihtimal came with a wide run in the closing stages but probably ran out of petrol in the last furlong.

That Is The Spirit took the leap from handicap company pretty much in his stride in the Listed Surrey Stakes over seven furlongs. Making all with ears pricked, he had an easy lead that was almost whittled away at the death by a determined Ryan Moore on Parbold. This track combined with drying ground was not ideal for the winner, on whom his jockey attempted to take it easy in the closing stages meaning he was almost caught. He is worth more than the distance he won by, particularly on easier ground. Parbold cannot really be decried for this effort but it took all of Moore’s cajoling to get him rolling. Penny Drops was third.

The concluding handicap went to Almargo who benefitted from an aggressive front-running ride, putting his rivals to the sword in the process. After an all-weather hat-trick, it appeared he had lost his way on turf but he was suited by today’s conditions. Kafeel kept plugging away but was hanging on the camber and looks as if an extra furlong will not go amiss.

June 1st: Chantilly: The win of The Grey Gatsby in the Prix du Jockey Club [French Derby] has some bearing on the Epsom Derby considering prior to winning the Dante, he had finished behind Australia and Kingston Hill when six lengths tenth in the 2000 Guineas. For all he has been beaten at the highest level in this country, he was never far behind the best and seems to be peaking as a three-year-old and over this extended trip. Australia’s claims for Epsom do not need expanded upon but this win will have given fresh hope for supporters of Kingston Hill – who is apparently working with much more zest now than on the approach to the 2000 Guineas. In typical style of an Aga Khan homebred, Shamkiyr stepped up drastically on a maiden win last time to finish second at Chantilly. Many thought Gerald Mosse gave Prince Gibraltar too much to do. The favourite picked up from the rear of the field to dash home late but Ryan Moore had made the winning move and he and The Grey Gatsby were already clear, winning on merit. Prince Gibraltar will apparently be stepped up in trip next time as his immediate target is the Grand Prix de Paris. As many feared, Guineas winner Karakontie appear not to stay.

May 31st: Newmarket: Peacock, a well-grown son of Paco Boy, made a winning debut in the first division of the Class 4 maiden for two-year-olds, beating the experienced Commander Patten. Epithet showed promise when picking up ground inside the final furlong to take third.

Justice Well overhauled Brown Sugar in the second division that was run in a slower time than the first. The Fastnet Rock colt, DISENGO took the eye in third, getting the hang of things late and apparently finishing with a full tank of petrol. The well-backed Heartbreak Hero forfeited his chance at the start and might do better next time.

Both looking ahead of the assessor, Mighty Yar and Rye House dominated the market in the Class 2 handicap over 1m 4f. The best laid plans and all that … De Rigueur claimed Duke Of Clarence in a bunch finish with the two high profile market leaders failing to fire. On the positive side, there was promise from Plutocracy on his first outing of the season. Looking as if he blew up in the last furlong, he should be sharper next time.

Muteela won the Class 3 handicap in typical Mark Johnston style. Making all and ultimately challenged by the much larger colt Pretzel, she kept battling from a mark of 87. This was the zenith of her achievements to date and there may be more to come.

It was a wretched day for backers here. A tailed-off Perfect Summer compounded it in the Class 4 handicap won by Poyle Thomas.

Haydock: The Group 3 for fillies saw the eclipse of those with established form as Sultanina – winner of a Salisbury maiden last time that looked ordinary and rated 85 – got up in the final stride to deprive her stable mate Freedom’s Light. Silk Sari – winner of an apprentice handicap last time – was third, ahead of Quiz Mistress and Special Meaning. Astonishing and Cubanita were the two that bombed, both travelling well up to two out and then dropping away.

Something of a revelation in his aging years, eight-year-old Penitent pounced late to spring a surprise in the Group 3 John Of Gaunt. On his favoured easy ground he is always a player in this sort of grade. Without downgrading his performance, he did beat handicappers. The improving Breton Rock was second, ahead of Eton Forever and Garswood, who ran in snatches. After such a lack-lustre run last time, he looks to have fallen out of love with the game at present. Here Comes When was a never nearer fifth, but this represented a step in the right direction after winning a handicap at Chester on his return. His excellent effort here is a pointer to Sandown withdrawal from this week, ABSEIL. Not for the first time, Tawhid burst through looking like a serious contender only to backtrack just as suddenly.

Given a fine ride from Keiren Fallon, reunited with headgear, over his optimum trip and on drying ground with just enough juice, Steps landed the Listed from Eton Rifles and Da’Quonde. Swan Song was burnt off when up with a strong pace, whilst York Glory, who is probably better over six and was having his first run of the season, stayed on without landing a blow. Presumably he will be aimed at the Wokingham once again at Royal Ascot.

Given no chance from the wrong part of the track at Newmarket last time, Aeolus, unlucky in the Free Handicap, got his chance in the listed and showed what he is capable of, producing a fine turn of foot. No Leaf Clover stayed on strongly for second. Parbold probably wants further than six as he lacked a change of gear in this company, whilst it has to be said Shamson is a better horse over five and on quicker ground.

York: BERTIEWHITTLE got no sort of run in the Class 2 handicap won by Dutch Rose from Sirius Prospect and Brae Hill. With the breaks he might have figured; as it was he freewheeled on the heels of the principals at the finish. Rated 102 he has crept back to a winning mark and could be of interest in the near future.

After an impressive handicap win over this course at the Dante meeting, a confidently-ridden Clever Cookie maintained an unbeaten record when dead-heating with Ralston Road in the Listed event over 1m 6f. A step up to this trip was a doubt for many, but clearly that was no problem for the son of Primo Valentino. All set to win when delivered with perfect timing, he had to battle as Ralston Road – a good fifth in the Group 2 Dubai Gold Cup at Meydan – rallied near the finish. Shwaiman, who could never get a decent position in the Chester Cup, was third ahead of Rawaki.

Wadi Al Hattawi was always travelling strongly in the Class 3 handicap over 1m 4f. His jockey possibly sent him into the lead plenty soon enough, driving him clear half-way up the straight. The son of Dalakhani, who should stay further, appeared to get lonely in front and his margin was diminishing at the finish. At this moment, with his mark likely to rise to 95, he remains another open question from Godolphin.

Mister Universe, narrowly beaten by Bossy Guest in the season’s first juvenile event over six furlongs at this course at the Dante meeting, made the most of a soft opportunity in the Class 3 median auction. The form of the York maiden has been let down by the third Silver Ranger, who was possibly unable to cope with a bog at Leicester. Although successful here, Mister Universe may not have beaten too much. Newcomer Home Cummins was the only one to make any impact; the rest looked moderate.

Here We Go Again…

Sometimes you just have to check the date to make sure it is not April Fools’ Day. Today was such a day. It seems someone has decided it might be a good idea to tinker once again with the Derby. You might recall that until twenty years ago it was run on the first Wednesday in June. Times were different then. Swathes of London used to shut, allowing the proletariat to pack a hamper with beer and sandwiches and meander to the high point of Epsom Downs, from where they could pick out a Yankee-full of horses, picnic in the centre of the course and doff their hats to the passing dignitaries.

With London more of a banking and business centre these days, it was decided to move the Derby to a Saturday in order for those not working shifts or on the rock and roll, to either make the pilgrimage to Surrey or to watch the race legitimately from their televisions.

This year, viewing figures and outside interest in the race has apparently slumped. This is not altogether surprising. Saturdays are busy days in any calendar. Sporting fixtures tend to spring up vying for spectator prominence. And horseracing – be it the Derby or even the Grand National – will always struggle when pitched against the likes of test cricket, rugby, international football matches or five-setters from Wimbledon. The problem with the Derby is that the event itself lasts only two-and-half minutes. You can dress it up all you like with the preliminaries, but the race is over in a comparative flash. For those having a bet, racing is an instant rush of adrenalin that often reaches an enforced and premature conclusion. Even race-watchers unfamiliar with the intricacies of race-reading can see when their selections are dropping through the field like stones in water. In the time it takes Messi to lace up his boots, the drama concludes. Race over – time for another lager – what’s next? In comparison, those settling down for the long haul that is two halves of a football match budget for a case or two of lager, never mind one glass.

Aside from the competition from other sporting fixtures, racing faces an uphill struggle when trying to recruit newcomers to its ranks. June is a summer month; people hold barbeques, unwind in the sunshine or even take a few days on the Continent to re-charge their batteries.

Those committed to racing will always watch the Derby – those floating, in-transit viewers can take it or leave it, whether it is staged on a Wednesday or a Saturday.

There is a tendency these days for bodies and individuals to try and be all things to all men. As David Cameron has apparently recently discovered, this really doesn’t work. Those that dislike you will always dislike you; and those that might be persuaded are often deterred when feeling their interests are sacrificed in favour of waverers.

Every industry has to beware of that big gun hovering above its head, pointing at its foot and just waiting for someone to cock it. Racing has listened to too many outside bodies for too long. Bookmakers, brewers and TV companies have their own agendas. As a result of listening to bookmakers racing is faced with overkill: constant involvement of brewers as sponsors means racecourses are full of drunks on a Saturday afternoon and now the TV companies express themselves dissatisfied with the latest viewing figures.

How about racing listening to those within for a change. In order to chase and run down viewers to their living room carpets, managing director of Epsom, Rupert Trevelyan (hardly a name associated with a man of the people), is considering moving the Derby to an evening slot. Encouraged by this scheme, broadcasters claim this would result in increased viewers. Quite what they base this speculative statement on is unknown, but we can bet whatever their motive is it does not take into account any concern for the future of racing.

When it took place on a Wednesday, the Derby used to have the theatre to itself. Staging it on a Saturday means it is just one more event on a packed day for most people. Staging it on Saturday night will mean for many that it becomes something else to juggle with as the kids bang the dinner table in advance of their sausage and chips. For others it will clash with that first drink down the pub, getting ready for the party down the road or preparing for that night out with the lads that comprise the Ladbroke Life. And for those that really actually care about racing and follow it with interest, by the time the runners have been dispatched from the famous Derby start on Saturday evening, they might just be feeling as if they have had enough racing for one day.

AS I SEE IT …
Wednesday May 21st

This is the time of year when racing should be flourishing in all its various forms. Attendances should be on the ascendency. On the run-up to the Derby and Oaks and with Royal Ascot less than a month away, racing is reaching a peak.

However, one area seems to have encountered a problem: betting turnover is stagnant. And as we all know (bookmakers have drummed it into us often enough), a healthy betting turnover equals a thriving racing industry. Betting money is ploughed back into racing, generating extra prize-money and better facilities. That is the theory, on which I shall not dwell. But consumer confidence in betting on horses is fragile to say the least. And it was hardy increased after events on Saturday when, despite the concerted efforts of various high-profile syndicates incorporating involved and numerous perms designed to cover all eventualities, the tote Scoop pool, like some languid domestic dog, still rolled over. It seems even the best brains in the business were unable to crack the code hidden within the races on offer.

To serious punters, worse was to follow as it became clear half-way through the Newmarket card that unless securing a golden strip up the stands’ rail, runners were highly unlikely winners. Nothing that was dispatched from the stalls that were positioned grandstand-side won unless racing closest to the rail. In short those that tried to mount a challenge from the centre of the pack were wasting their time. This has to be an intolerable situation. In order to bet, punters have to feel they at least stand some sort of chance of winning. Incidents such as this – occurring for whatever reason – only compound suspicion in potential backers. If they are to be reduced to betting ala Las Vegas style, they reason why not bet on events that pay Las Vegas odds? They reason that as they know the odds are a true reflection of the probability, numbers less the House percentage are a more attractive proposition than running the horse racing gauntlet with all its vagaries and possible permutations: horses busting out of the stalls, getting in a muck-sweat beforehand, draw bias and a sudden downpour being obvious events that can scupper even the best thought-out plans.

So is it time for racing to take steps to prevent some of the unforeseen eventualities that occur on an all too regular basis and that means some bets are not worth the paper they are printed on before the stalls even open?

Of course, as we are dealing with flesh and blood animals that regrettably cannot speak, it is not possible to eliminate every ticket-ripping hazard. But, living on an island with irregular weather patterns, to what extent is it reasonable to expect punters to be meteorologists as well as form students? Have we reached the point at which, for those seriously attempting to make sense of a scenario that means a pack of horses are let loose to run across a stretch of turf, the whole process is just too complicated to bother with? Does turf racing simply feature one obstacle too many?

Therefore, could it be time to take a leaf out of America’s book and concentrate on more racing conducted on an artificial surface? I can hear the howls as I write. I am not suggesting Group 1s are conducted round the speedway tracks that are Lingfield and Kempton. Both courses have their place; I suggest it is not as hosts to prestige events.

We all know there is too much turf racing – there are simply too many racecourses. Perhaps it is time to consider looking at a few of them with a view to altering the landscapes of those that survive a much-needed blitzkrieg. This does not mean turning them into glorified dog-tracks. Polytrack is expensive to lay and for that reason those courses that use it are by nature tight and turning, placing their own emphasis on draw bias and to a degree, luck in running. There is no need for it to be ever thus. Any further attempts to extend the boundaries of turf to synthetics could be conducted in a different manner. Certain tracks could conceivably accommodate an artificial surface without losing too many of their characteristics. I am thinking of Sandown, where an inner track could be laid and therefore preserve the outer turf track for jumping. And, dare I say it, the round course at Ascot, leaving the sand-based straight as it is. Maybe we could take a look at Newmarket where there are acres of room for a strip of ground to be designated for an all-weather track. Forget the arguments that some horses fail to show their best on Polytrack. It is a universally kind and forgiving surface – so much so that trainers work horses on it with no compunction whatsoever. It is less complicated and less likely to produce an out-of-the-blue result than a gluepot or the equivalent of an aircraft runway.

I appreciate this is radical stuff. Most ground-breaking ideas are! If betting turnover is the golden calf we are told it is, surely it is in racing interests to renew the gilt every now and then regardless of cost. The world continues to turn. At present there is a suspicion that racing remains a revolution in arrears.

Ladbrokes appear to have hit the spot with their latest ad campaign, featuring a bunch of likely lads that they have individualised and labelled under the umbrella of living the Ladbroke Life. I can’t say I like the stereotyping of punters in this way, but on this occasion at least the Harrow firm has not depicted those inclined to have a bet as being morons. This is in contrast to the dross campaign Corals see fit to run. They have decided to employ the services of a girl dressed in riding breeches carrying a blue riding whip who strolls in to a barbers shop and then, presumably having second thoughts about having her hair styled there, walks out again to the slogan, “Stick One On It”. Stick one on what? I can’t say it makes any sense to me. Perhaps someone at Corals decided all they needed was to present a woman in tight breeches that slapped her thigh with a whip – the colour of which I have not seen any jockey use – for punters to migrate to their shops in droves.

We punters might get it wrong at times. We might be gullible; we might get hoodwinked, but we ain’t stupid!
Are we? …

ENGLISH RACING FAILS TO COMPETE
SUNDAY MAY 11TH

On the day of the French 1000 and 2000 Guineas at Longchamp, and when Leopardstown were responsible for the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial as well as two other Group 3 events, the best we could come up with on these shores was Plumpton and Ludlow.

Of course some of you may have been rejoicing that the jumpers (who never actually go away these days) were back.

In essence, the French were at it again – stealing our thunder, something Paris was not devoid of on a damp Sunday. To an extent the weather did its best to dampen proceedings. It rained; more accurately it pelted down.

As was widely anticipated, Jean Claude Rouget won the French 1000 – or the Poule Essai Pouliches as it is known locally – but not with most people’s idea, Lesstalk In Paris, but with Avenir Certain.

Known to enjoy a topic of conversation over or during lunch, officials called the almost obligatory stewards’ inquiry not long after the winner passed the post. To be fair, when pulled out to make her run in the straight, the winner’s actions could be likened to a night club bouncer on a day off. Several rivals were given ‘some of that’ as, in search of daylight, she barged them out of the way.

Once in the clear she was easily the best filly in the race, sloshing home in a rainstorm. Veda was second ahead of Xcellence, who had beaten Miss France in a messy Impudence. Bawina took the eye in fourth. By Dubawi, she was staying on and could be a major player in the Prix de Diane.

Five minutes after the French 1000 Guineas, Mandy’s Boy broke his maiden over hurdles at Ludlow. Not to be outdone by events in Longchamp, the bing-bong followed although no further action was taken.

Half an hour on Ludlow grabbed some unwelcome headlines with what could only be described as a gross piece of incompetence. What we had was a complete farce initiated by the starter.

To vary the drama, he let the runners go for the three mile chase then frantically decided to wave his yellow flag which the recall man failed to see. This was not entirely surprising given the start looked bona fide to just about every witness.

Two miles later the runners were brought to a halt by another flag-waver. All this after what appeared to be a perfect dispatch from the gates, and in front of a packed Sunday house of casual race-goers, many of whom will presumably assume racing’s administrators are a bunch of monkeys in various jackets, coats and suits.

Back at Longchamp the sun came out for the colts. Last year’s Jean-Luc Lagardere winner Karakontie dug deep to wriggle through on the inner rail and hold off the persistent challenge of Prestige Vendome in the 2000 Guineas. Despite pulling early as if he had a train to catch, Newbury handicap winner Muwaary justified inclusion in the field when finishing fourth.

At Leopardstown, clues for the Irish 1000 Guineas were thin on the ground as a result of the Group 3 trial. Afternoon Sunlight lasted home in a bunch finish from Palace, with Ballbacka Queen and Waltzing Matilda looking as if they will be better over further close up in third and fourth.

The Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial was seen as the big classic clue race by many. Ballsax winner Fascinating Rock and last year’s Beresford winner Geoffrey Chaucer dominated the betting.

On a day littered with the speculation of inquiries, we had yet another one here. As every sixth former will recall, amongst other outpourings, Geoffrey Chaucer was responsible for the oft-ribald Canterbury Tales. This was the kind of day he may have preferred not have had to have penned. A classic run in a monsoon in France; unless something unforeseen comes to light – and even if it does (sometimes you let sleeping dogs lie) – a starter with ideas above his station at Ludlow, followed by added drama in Ireland.

Ebanoran was first past the post in the Derrinstown ahead of Fascinating Rock with a showboating Geoffrey Chaucer in third. But on what was meant to be a routine Sunday peppered with Group action, the tension continued.

The trouble with this was that Geoffrey Chaucer was impeded twice by the two that finished in front of him. Ebanoran was first to deal a race-denying blow as he made a winning move two out, rolled across Mr Chaucer’s path and then held on.

Fascinating Rock finished with a flourish, also leaning in on the giant Geoffrey Chaucer, meaning Joseph O’Brien had to snatch up and cruise home, looking unlucky. To an extent he was, but he wouldn’t have won today on a horse that, although a strong traveller, may have been rusty and was not on this occasion quick enough to take his chance when he had it.

However, remembering this was his first run of the year and that he was conceding 3lbs to the other two, he is the one to draw the eye. However, without disqualifying the first two, it was hard to know what other action the stewards could take.

But this was Ireland and they found an alternative. Someone had a brainstorm and decided to disqualify Ebanoran in favour of Fascinating Rock, but to allow Ebanoran to keep second ahead of the one horse that was most inconvenienced by the shenanigans, namely Geoffrey Chaucer.

That as I write is the full story. It may not be the complete story. There may be a reversal of some sort later behind closed doors and when the Bushmills has been diluted.

The Ludlow starter may find gainful employment in the public sector. Oh, and Catcall – the villain of many a piece – won at Longchamp.

Quite a day!

Perhaps the last person to leave will turn out the lights…

GOOD FRIDAY RACING…

The heading would have been unthinkable two years ago; now that the precedent has been set it seems safe to assume this time next year we will be seeing a normal program of racing on a day that was once regarded as sacred.

So does it matter? Probably not; after all those that wish to observe Easter as a religious occasion are free to do so. And if the big high street stores, the supermarkets and the DIY chains can open their doors, why should there not be racing?

That is a compelling argument. It is unfortunate for stable staff, even for jockeys that they can no longer rely on at least one blank day after the generous three days granted to them over the Christmas period. But in pursuit of the greater ideal, it seems the show must go on.

There is just one point I should like to make. Before we reach the situation where there is a card from Catterick, jumping from Cartmel and eight races run under the floodlights at Wolverhampton on Good Friday, the authorities have seen fit to provide a bumper card at Lingfield with prize-money to match. Even Musselburgh stages a financially healthy card.

Effectively, and continuing the Roman theme prevalent to the story that comprised events that spawned the celebration known as Easter two-thousand years ago, frantic to stage racing under any circumstances, bookmakers have made racing an offer it can’t refuse.

Any visitors from Mars could be forgiven for thinking that horse racing is blessed with riches aplenty, and that owning a racehorse might be a good move. Of course if they stick around long enough they will see the folly of this supposition.

So just where has this money suddenly come from? Those that have tirelessly bemoaned the state of British racing – claiming there is too much of it, particularly at the lower end – are left scratching their heads. In order to fulfil an unspecified brief – it was generally accepted that for racing to go ahead on Good Friday it would have to be of a decent standard – bookmakers have raided the petty cash tin. It will be interesting to see if this standard can be sustained next year and beyond.

Lingfield kick off inauspiciously enough with an apprentice handicap; but it is not just any old apprentice handicap – here Corals provide a Class 2 apprentice handicap. From a betting point of view it does not make it any easier than one of those fictitious events from Happy Downs, but the winner gets an unprecedented thirty grand.

32Red are the next generous sponsor when thirty-five minutes later we are faced with a conditions affair restricted to fillies and mares – which of course is the sting in the tail.

As if a field of fourteen racing over seven furlongs does not sufficiently complicate the issue for punters, they have to deal with what is often the wildest card of all: that of the uncertainty of the fairer equine sex. Deep joy! At least it will be for winning connections that will receive the thick end of ninety grand.

Similar money is available in the next – the 32Red All-Weather 3 Year Old Championships Conditions Stakes.

This is not an unreasonable title for a race that includes Ertijaal, already a winner over course and distance and that was once touted as a live Guineas prospect. Stranger things have happened, although on the scant evidence to hand, he may struggle to stay further than today’s trip of seven furlongs.

American Hope, Major Crispies and Sir Robert Cheval were not far behind Ertijaal last time, although they will be lucky to get as close now unless Ertijaal is against the idea of putting his best hoof forward on such an occasion. Add the unbeaten and potentially poorly-drawn Passing Star to the mix along with the progressive duo that is Complicit and Captain Secret and the race stacks up.

There is no sign of the money drying up in the marathon conditions stakes – again ninety grand seems to have been found from an offshore account. Apparently connections of Litigant have had their eyes on this pot for some time, the six-year-old having been laid out for money he would otherwise struggle to win.

A class 2 over six furlongs follows at just after four o’clock. In their generosity, those bookmakers that have thrown up prices choose to offer 5’s the field.

A late defector from the Lincoln on account of ground worries, Captain Cat will chase his share of ninety grand in the race sponsored by our old friend and benefactor to racing – Ladbrokes.

In another life they once courted my services at a meeting in Central London, where their representative saw fit to buy me an orange juice and a beef sandwich. There was no ticket to Bermuda tucked inside a napkin – no offer from a waitress in fishnets to provide anything I might want. It was hardly Don Corleone stuff.

Sensing their actual contribution told me all I needed to know about them as a firm, I declined Ladbrokes’ offer to provide me with gainful employment. The jury is out as to which one of us is the poorer or richer for this decision. I might be tempted to poach a little more than a beef sandwich from them if they offer the general 5/1 that seems likely to be available about Captain Cat tomorrow. You see, I have fallen for the trap!

The jaws lock at 5.20 with the Coral Easter Classic All-Weather Middle Distance Championship. Here, 8lbs clear of his nearest rivals on official ratings, Grandeur is the projected favourite.

However, he has already displayed one or two tendencies to make punters hesitate. Good though his overall record might be, he often finds little in his races and his best runs – often achieved on the world racing stage – are arguably in defeat.

There is a suspicion he does not relish a scrap. With over a hundred grand on offer it is very likely that Solar Diety, Dick Doughtywylie, Robins Hoods Bay (not sure to confirm his latest victory with several of these) and Marshgate Lane will do their utmost to ensure Grandeur does not get things his own way.

Perhaps he ought to join the queue.

FIXING A FOOTBALL MATCH

On Monday, with typical journalistic timing, Channel 4 sandwiched the somewhat inflammatory-titled How to Fix a Football Match in between Australia v Spain and Cameroon v Brazil.

As programmes go, some may have found it more interesting than the matches that it followed and preceded.

Dispatches were responsible for this piece in which, rather like the websites that instruct would-be terrorists on the complexities of assembling a bomb, they revealed the vital components required to fix a football match.

As with bomb-making, the message has to be: Don’t try this at home. In any event I am not sure how much practical use this programme will be to the average person. However, for those who may be interested, roughly translated these are the ingredients. First things first: surprise, surprise, you need a little help. It would also appear, in order to keep costs down it is advisable to recruit teams from Africa – a continent where Western money goes a long way.

The target match should be an international game, preferably a friendly, something like Gambia v Ghana.

Whereas the layman might consider an on-side goalkeeper would give all the help needed, it appears there is a cheaper and easier way to fix a result – and that is by bunging the officials. An offside decision here, a penalty there, a free kick, and before you know it, your desired score is achieved. Of course it is not that easy to predict the score line exactly, but you can narrow down the options: 2-1, 3-1, or 3-2 virtually guaranteed will do, particularly if you are getting up to 33/1 your money for any one of the three named possibilities on the correct score markets.

Sound good? Assuming you have no problem with cheating or breaking the rules, for an outlay of approaching £30,000 – considerably less in many cases – fixing a result to suit does not appear to be too difficult.

I am not sure we should be surprised at this information. After all, in the world we live in, it would appear anything can be manipulated or arranged; anyone can be bought from pop stars to politicians (we don’t have to delve too far back in our recent history to see an obvious example) – it is just a question of hitting on the right price, be that with hard currency or currency of a different kind.

The problem with Monday’s programme is that those of us that know a little about betting can immediately see the flaw in its assertion. And it is an obvious flaw. At a time when many punters are having a devil of a job placing a wager of £50 at 3/1 – how are the fixers supposed to strike the bets needed in order to cover their expenses, let alone make a profit? Folklore suggests the answer lies in the Far Eastern markets. However, the sort of bookmakers in Singapore and Hong Kong that will take these kinds of bets with impunity are likely to be illegal operators – meaning any winnings are not guaranteed. Also it is fair to say such operators have not just exited the womb. They are not stupid and know a thing or two about the business they are in. They are versed in the ways of the hothouse known as the betting jungle. Their very survival depends on it. Those assuming they can smuggle undetected bets past the system on a two-bit football match, hastily convened to provide a betting bonanza for those in possession of its result, need a reality check. The bush telegraph operated by bookmakers is acute. A steady stream of similar bets will be noticed quickly. And once a pattern is established the jungle drums will start to beat.

From then on the rules change. These bookmakers are not known for their sense of fair play. They are not nice people. Cross them and you can expect a knock on the door one night. Mr Wang wants a word, know what I mean John…

Those thinking they can buck the system are liable to find themselves playing outside their league. The men doing the calling can handle a baseball bat amongst other instruments…

The problem with programmes like the one presented by Dispatches is that they are at their most effective when watched by those that are ignorant of reality. In this case we know it is not possible to successfully place the kind of bets needed to make this so-called sting work. What is more likely is that those arranging the fixing for the fixers will be paid twice – once by those mistakenly thinking a massive edge has been arranged: once by the bookmakers taking money on a result that in fact will never materialise because a deal within a deal has been made. After all, bookmakers have a history of only taking losing bets rather than winning ones. When bookmakers appear to be accommodating, punters should be wary.

Most probably out of ignorance, the practicalities of the situation have been ignored by Channel 4. In this case those of us conversant with the business can instantly spot the weakness in their argument. It begs the question how many flawed issues that we are less aware of are focused on by those pursuing a perceived weakness in any system they choose to highlight.

How To Fix a Football Match might make a good headline, but fixing a match without being able to cash in on its consequences seems an expensive pastime.

CHELTENHAM AND ALL THAT…

an advance look at the Festival

(also appeared on Free Tips page a week ago)

That will be a week tomorrow then. I mean Cheltenham of course. The day jump racing fans have waited for like no other.

Cheltenham is about to emerge from the mists and monsoons of a wet winter. Somehow, despite Nature’s best efforts (or maybe She is toying with us), this little island has not sunk into the sea. There is a glimmer of hope from the clouds. Forecasts indicate the rains are likely to roll away in time for the Festival – although, perhaps to prevent complacency, apparently they will linger this week.

But a week from now, on next Tuesday, the whole carnival begins. The Yellow Brick Road submerged beneath a January and February torrent does in fact lead to a little town in the Cotswolds.

The festival that is Cheltenham turns everyone into an expert – at least beforehand. Pundits everywhere do their best to convince us they know all the answers. There are public forums that consist of racing personalities, actors, politicians and hacks, many of whom are not renowned for being able to tip themselves out of bed, let alone that have reputations as sages capable of spreading their words of wisdom.

I don’t know what it is about the Cheltenham Festival – perhaps it is because it comes at the end of the wretched winter months and all the misery associated with them. The meeting becomes a forest fire of opinion – so much so, if you are not careful it is contagious.

Perhaps this would be a good time for me to put my credentials on the line. Of all the people you could take notice of for the four-day meeting, I should be the last on your list. That is unless of course you want my selections so you may score a neat red line through them. In short my Cheltenham record is abysmal. The last winner I can recall backing was Night Nurse back in the days when computers were all made by IBM and the only mobile phone was one that was hurled from a top storey window in angst. My Cheltenham form figures are worse than those sported by The Mighty Moose.

But, bitter experience aside, how easily we float into the trap! This year will of course be different – won’t it? This year I have an answer or two. Despite the fact the meeting seems to have my measure, this is the year when the worm turns! Even the haphazard law of probability suggests I may be on to something at long last.

So herewith are my selections and thoughts for the Festival. Red pens at the ready:

Tuesday:

With the stands bursting with optimism and enthusiasm, you just have to have a bet/ make a selection in the opening race of the meeting: the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. It looks like it is a straightforward match between England and Ireland in that Irving is the best we have to offer by some way and Vautour is the best from across the water. With them both trading at 3/1 and under, unless a more attractive bet can be found (I can’t see it) that means there is no percentage in playing. You see, already I am a disappointment. But wait … give the boy a chance!

After a snifter of whisky or similar, before we know it they will be lining up for the Arkle. This looks like a race in which we could consider flying in the face of accepted wisdom. Champagne Fever would have looked the part but for his last run when he was beaten eleven lengths by Trifolium who is set to re-oppose now. I suppose we are meant to accept that running is wrong. Somebody somewhere may be able to advance a good argument in support of this; unaware of what it is, I shall oppose both. Similarly, I am unenthusiastic about Rock On Ruby and Dodging Bullets.

In Ruby’s case, I feel winning two novice chases at long odds-on hardly equates to toughing out an Arkle; whilst Dodging Bullets is surely exposed as a decent chaser with limitations.

Therefore how about Valdez who has won three chases over an aggregate of thirty-three lengths and made a mockery of his opposition at Newbury in November. Admittedly his return effort at Doncaster left something to be desired but his stable had been in the doldrums; he still won though, preserving an unbeaten sequence over the larger obstacles in the process. He is likely to strip a better proposition now particularly as his yard is firing on all cylinders. First blood to Valdez…

2.40:

Baylis & Harding sponsor this handicap. My two against the field would be the sound jumper that is Many Clouds and the unexposed Cause Of Causes. I am not going to justify them. After all, I don’t want to look any more of a fool than I may already appear. Small stakes only, but they are worthy of consideration.

On to the Champion Hurdle and, sorry, I don’t know. But the angle for those of you that are using me as the Lord Oaksey of Prestbury Park is to be aware that, gun to head, my selection would be Hurricane Fly.

We have to presume Quevaga – who first won this in 2009 and has refused to let another mare have a look-in since, will once again snaffle the event in honour of David Nicholson. But she is odds-on and backing horses round here at cramped odds is about as appealing as taking up arms in favour of the Ukraine army.

The next race is for amateur riders. Now as far as I am concerned amateur riders and Cheltenham are the equivalent of gin and ginger beer, in that they don’t belong together.

The last race on Day One looks an unappealing handicap.

So Tuesday’s selections are Valdez in the Arkle and Many Clouds and Cause Of Causes in the handicap at 2.40.

Wednesday:

Faugheen looks something of a beast in this opening hurdle and will apparently carry plenty of Irish confidence.

The RSA has me beat. I hope Many Clouds and Cause Of Causes take up easier options in handicaps. So often this develops into a case of last man standing. I am not sure whom that last man may turn out to be.

Oh deep joy, now for the Coral Cup. Okay, just one stab at the bloody thing. What about Vendor. He ran really well in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury last time after an absence when thought to be in need of the race, and is reasonably treated on his novice form. After the unexpected win of Valdez on the first day, this represents strike two to the Alan King stable. V for Victory in both cases!

The Queen Mother Chase does present us with something of a problem. Unquestionably Sire De Grugy deserves to win it. The trouble is all his best form is on right-handed tracks and his two attempts here have resulted in blanks. Although a decent enough effort in itself, he arguably ran his worst race of the season here in November when looking awkward at times and taking a few liberties with his fences before eventually being beaten by Kid Cassidy.

He was conceding weight and that may still be good enough to provide him with a well-deserved success, but Captain Conan (opposes again) did beat him here in November of 2012 at levels. Those that rubbish this left-hand/ right-hand theory, should remind themselves that Sire De Grugy’s latest racecourse spin was at Plumpton (a left-handed track not too dissimilar in configuration to Cheltenham – although there any similarity ends), so connections must be concerned to a degree. He is the moral winner but one or two doubts remain.

The next event is the Cross Country. Not for me!

The Fred Winter is complicated by possible runners that may develop into non-runners that may instead try their luck in the Triumph. Taken at face value Dawalan looks a worthy favourite, but surely there is something a little more appealing nestling in the middle of the handicap.

With the last race being a bumper, I am pleading the Fifth. So Day Two is potentially quiet for me. One small bet on Vendor in the Coral Cup and it’s a question of retiring to the bar.

Thursday:

With no clear shape of what will and what will not turn up, the first two races [JLT Novices’ Chase and Pertemps Final] are difficult to unravel at this stage. However the Ryanair presents Dynaste with a solid opportunity to recover the winning thread. Prior to the King George, he had not been out of the first two in his efforts over fences, which included an excellent second at last year’s Festival to Benefficient in the Jewson.

His tame showing at Kempton was explained by a pulled muscle so those prepared to overlook that run are looking at a horse capable of mixing it at the highest level. With Al Ferof viewed as a beatable opponent and Cue Card earmarked for the Gold Cup, Dynaste gets his chance to return to his best in what is seen as a winnable race.

The decision to point Annie Power at the World Hurdle means Big Buck’s faces potentially his toughest opponent in a long while at a time when he may be at his most vulnerable. Now eleven, what was already looking like a serious test for Big Buck’s now threatens to present him with a crown-removing ceremony. This is a tough line-up; the inclusion of the unbeaten mare means she is a safer option and she looks the answer. Stamina does not look like an issue and given her powerful connections have obvious confidence in her ability to see out the trip she is hard to oppose.

The card disappears into the distance with a couple of impossible looking handicaps at this stage. So we exit Thursday with Dynaste and Annie Power seen as the two bets likely to take us forward to the final encounter.

Friday starts as always with the Triumph Hurdle.

Calipto lines up with the best current form on offer from the home team. However this is often a lottery of an event and confidence is limited. If there is an interesting contender it is surely one-time favourite Royal Irish Hussar who, prior to blotting his copybook at Doncaster in December when it appeared something was amiss, had looked like the possible winner of this. Does anyone know what happened that day? If there is a tangible reason for his sudden eclipse when odds-on and fading tamely, having already beaten Guitar Pete over this course and now lining up at double the price, he could easily represent value.

The Gold Cup looks like a virtual re-run of last year’s event as the two principals once again appear to be Bobs Worth and Silviniaco Conti. Both are young enough and have been sufficiently conservatively campaigned to return in top form. It is entirely possible Silviniaco Conti will gain revenge for that unfortunate top-of-the-hill error last year. Cue Card has yet to convince he will stay this far and Last Instalment appears to have a little to find. At this stage a watching brief seems the best option.

So the final day looks knotty right now. Things may be clearer when we have a better idea of the runners in the handicaps.

On the week, the horses to avoid, or have a second look at from this beleaguered quarter are:

VALDEZ
MANY CLOUDS – CAUSE OF CAUSES
VENDOR
DYNASTE
ANNIE POWER

Australia wins The Derby

So he won. Like the name or not, Australia seemed acquainted with the script and delivered his lines. A good-looking but sparsely made chestnut; he was not every one’s idea of the paddock pick. Most observers would have opted for True Story, but then this was horse racing not a catwalk.

Despite not coming down the hill too well and finding himself shuffled wide on the entrance to the straight, once he levelled out Australia was back on the bridle and eating up ground.

In what was generally acknowledged as a quality Derby, he and Kingston Hill fought it out, although Australia was always that little bit too strong.

So the horse named after the country that is largely uninhabited and inhabitable in places, goes down in the history books as the 2014 Derby winner. Being by Galileo out of Ouija Board, there were many permutations for the horse-namer Sue Magnier to consider. One assumes she opted for the somewhat obscure Australia as an astrological reference to the star Tania Australis that is in the constellation known as Ursa Major. On the other hand, maybe she sensed with such a pedigree he was destined to become a star of a different kind and opted for a name that would roll readily from Michael Tabor’s lips so he could stride down a line of bookmakers, striking bets of 20 Grand a time with ease.

With the Galileo and fortune-telling connection, some of us might have suggested Stairway To Heaven, Divine Intervention or Ghost Star; but, Australia it is.

It was a Derby dominated not just by good horses but by those whose names represented proper nouns. Kingston Hill is a campus in Surrey. Romsdal is a country within Norway and Arod is either the biblical son of Gad or an American baseball player – take your pick.

So in my world it was the Derby won by Spirit In The Sky from Coat Of Arms, Canterbury Cathedral and Haymaker. Don’t bother looking for them in the form book though, but if you have any better ideas I should be pleased to hear them.

It may not have been a triumph for the namers of horses, but it was a particular triumph for Aidan O’Brien, who not only trained his third consecutive Derby winner, but also so accurately advised the high-rolling owners he represents when he told them Australia would win. Training is one art, soothsaying another. It seems Mr O’ Brien has acquired both skills.

As punters, we can’t say we were not told.

If Australia followed the script at Epsom, for the England football team, in Miami on Saturday night it became as crazed as the lightning-shattered sky. Mitigation apart, for England to only manage a paltry nil-nil draw with Honduras is lamentable. Imagine Brazil, Argentina, Germany or Spain recording this score line against such lowly opponents.

But England is now in Brazil and play Italy next Saturday. Their lead up to the World Cup has been totally uninspiring and as things stand the England team have to be favourite to be on the flight home on June 25th after they have lost to Italy and Uraguay and scrambled some sort of a result against Costa Rica.

In football everyone is an expert. Even the biggest duffers are grandstand coaches and we all have opinions. Roy Hodgson seems a nice man. He might even conjure up a decent showing from our team. But to do that surely he needs to deviate from the same-old, same-old that is not working. It seems our strengths lie with the likes of Lambert, Barkley, Lllana, Wilshere, Lampard, Sterling, Gerrard and, if fit, Oxlade-Chamberlain. A new line-up is called for. We have nothing to lose.

Whatever happens; however Mr Hodgson plays it from the bench, there will be excuses on the plane home: It was too hot during the day – too cold at night. The beer was too chilled, the samba too lively. The England shirts were too red; but, you know what, we have learned a lot.

How about learning the most vital lesson of all – what happened in 1966 is history – all that matters is now.