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October Archive Free Racing Tips from SPy Category - Bush Telegraph

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    • December

BUSH TELEGRAPH

SATURDAY OCTOBER 31st

NEWMARKET RACING TIPS:

12.20: Revered stayed on over this trip on debut at Salisbury and is said to have improved since. After a decent enough first effort she is certainly the filly to beat in this maiden. She ought to win but, as always, with so many unknown quantities in opposition, the betting will be informative. Countenance Divine is said to be useful but is nominated as no more than an each-way hope by her stable.

12.55: This is the division won by Sariska last year so today’s participants have plenty to live up to. The word is for Safina to provide a quick double for Sir Michael Stoute. Impeccably bred, Safina is said to be an exciting prospect. She is sure to be in the mix and hopefully her class will prevail; however, as we all know, newcomers from this yard are not subjected to hard races.  Godolphin field two with obvious chances in the following events in Anhar and Secrecy. They can and possibly will win, but the boys in blue are not finished for the year just yet and we can afford to let them run.

2.35: I may take a chance with the highly progressive Prince Of Dance here – the one horse in the line up without a question mark hanging over him. With City Style and Shaweel returning to action after lengthy absences, Plum Pudding and Bushman both charting slightly deeper waters than they are accustomed to, Prince Of Dance, although having to raise his game, is fit, on a roll and to my mind the one to beat. The run of Secrecy in the 2.05 may give a better clue to his chance.

WETHERBY RACING TIPS:

1.45: Nikos Extra is the message here. He jumps fences well and is apparently fit enough to make his presence more than felt.

2.55: Deep Purple is surely the class act in the Charlie Hall. His style of racing may be his undoing. If he takes on Ollie Magern early he is likely to be a spent force some way out on this his first venture over the trip. Possibly a horse to consider backing in running.


  BUSH TELEGRAPH:

FRIDAY OCTOBER 30th:

NEWMARKET RACING TIPS:

12.40: There may be some each-way value to be found here and it could come in the shape of Imperial Delight who is reported in good fettle. His form with Za Za Zoom looks reasonable and would be good enough to take this son of Royal Applause close. That said Asraab is reported to be smart and is expected to win.

1.15: Quick Wit seemed to run well enough behind the classy Tamaathul last time and, although possibly flattered against a colt that won with plenty in hand, was running on strongly. He is expected to add to the current purple patch being enjoyed by his stable thus providing a quick fire Godolphin double.

1.50: Backing fillies just now is not the best course of action so this is a race to swerve.

2.25: Qelaan’s second to Rosika did not look too bad in the light of Rosika’s run in the Listed event at Lingfield yesterday. However, as a filly, I am reluctant to nominate Qelaan until seeing her in the paddock.

3.35: This is a race that historically gives an edge to two-year-olds. However, this year’s field does not contain one of obvious quality. Pastoral Pursuit is an unknown quantity and Hadeeth was second last time in a nursery from a mark of 79. Bits of form give Himalya the best chance, but he is not totally convincing.


 BUSH TELEGRAPH:

     THURSDAY OCTOBER 29th:

 LINGFIELD RACING TIPS:

1.40: This maiden has attracted a fair field – possibly a sign of things to come this winter. Lay Claim lines up with the best form judged on an excellent second to the smart Critical Moment at Newbury on debut. His follow up run, when a disappointing favourite at York, can be dismissed as he found himself racing on the worst ground. In view of Critical Moment’s excellent effort in the Horris Hill on Saturday, Lay Claim is worth another chance and looks primed to account for his rivals. He is seen as the bet of the day.

 2.10: Rosika has a chance in a tricky fillies event after beating the progressive Qelaan last time. However, this is a tough looking race and backing fillies at this time of year can be a dodgy proposition.

 2.40: The same remark can be levied against Apple Charlotte who was probably out of her depth last time and returns to her right class today.

WOLVERHAMPTON RACING TIPS:

6.30: There is a message for narrow Salisbury loser Cojo here.


  BUSH TELEGRAPH:

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 28th:

 HAYDOCK RACING TIPS:

4.30: It seems fair to say that Brusilini has yet yo realise stable hopes; however, he does need genuinely good to firm ground, which he will get today unless Haydock becomes the victim of unforeseen weather conditions. In a winnable race he is therefore presented with his chance and ought to win.

 KEMPTON RACING TIPS:

6.20: Anaya is seen as a form alternative to Donna Elvira. Her second last time to well-fancied Deirdre was on the back of respectful runs, and with the draw on her side she has her opportunity.

 7.20: Marine Spirit’s habit of exiting the stalls slowly could be a worry from his low draw tonight. Blinkers are applied to sharpen him up, but those contemplating backing him may be better to press the button in running.


BUSH TELEGRAPH:

TUESDAY OCTOBER 27th:

 YARMOUTH RACING TIPS:

3.10: On messages the best two newcomers here are Lion Mountain and Bullet Train. Lion Mountain is reputed to be decent but the word for Bullet Train is strong. By Sadler’s Well out of Kind – a filly Henry Cecil trained – Bullet Train will handle conditions, stay and should have a turn of foot. At this stage he looks the one to beat.

SOUTHWELL RACING TIPS:

1.50: Kalahari Desert may prove too hot for modest opposition here. Having had a spin round this track over five and being by Captain Rio – a sire responsible for plenty of winners on Fibresand – Kalahari Desert’s run last time was boosted at Kempton yesterday by the run of Silk Street. This trip of six looks sure to suit; he is worth taking a chance with.

CATTERICK RACING TIPS:

1.30:Dubai Diva could be the interesting contender in this despite a lengthy absence. It seems unlikely she would be making this trek unless fit enough to do herself justice and is another worth a speculative wager.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

MONDAY October 26th:

The Godolphin bandwagon should continue to roll today with an anticipated success from Mutfajer at KEMPTON in the 3.10. Unsuited by tacky ground when fifth at Newbury, this son of Oasis Dream is considered useful and, with Frankie up and the draw on his side, will be hard to beat.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

SUNDAY Octover 25th:

There are no tips or messages for today.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

SATURDAY October 24th:

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TIPS:

1.15: With the Newmarket form represented by Swiss Cross having been somewhat devalued by Tartan Trip at Kempton midweek, it may pay to concentrate on Sand Skier and Subtefuge in this tricky opener. Narrow preference is for Sand Skier over the filly, although being by Observatory, Subtefuge should appreciate some give in the ground.

3.30: Whatever hype may surround St Nicholas Abbey, he seems mighty short at the price considering he faces such tough opponents. Elusive Pimpernel has solid form, Al Zir is highly thought of but has not fully convinced, whilst Shakespearean looks overpriced for a progressive type that battled on well in a the Goffs Million last time. I expect the winner the come from one of the four nominated.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.05: Cadley Road was beaten less than a length by Racing Post contender Shakespearean in Ireland. That is arguably the best form on offer but has been blurred by the promise shown by several maiden winners that have something to prove. He could represent value.

2.35: Tastahil has his conditions and is reported in fine fettle. Although he has little in hand of All The Aces, he lines up a fresh horse. Harbinger is the fly in the ointment but is difficult to fancy at present.

3.45: Snow Fairy looks a worthy favourite for this Listed contest and should be suited by the ground. Although impressive in victory last time, Jacqueline Quest faces much tougher opposition. Snow Fairy’s form verges on Group 1 standard, although she is probably a true Group 3 filly.

4.20: Blissful Moment ought to be good enough to win this judging by a promising initial effort behind Fareej in a race that is working out.


 BUSH TELEGRAPH:

FRIDAY OCTOBER 23rd:

DONCASTER RACING TIPS:

 1.15: The Barry Hills stable have chosen today to attempt an optimistic  – from a betting point of view –  four-pronged attack on what has to be described as a hard card. Tamaathul is the first to take his chance. After a promising appearance at Newbury, he looks the one to beat; however, typical of this time of year, several well bred newcomers represent a couple of big yards and may present threats.

 1.50: Rashad is reported to be very smart and a big first run is anticipated. Robinson Cruso represents the form threat. Once again, a couple of likely first-timers may also figure.

2.55: Sharaayen is reported to be considerably better than his last run indicates. He will need to be as this is a tough nursery. Although Saboteur holds no secrets his form with the smart Golden Shaheen, and his experience in the sales race at Newmarket, will stand him in good stead and he holds a solid chance.

3.30: In another tough contest the most interesting contender has to be Confuchias who encounters his favoured soft ground for the first time this season. Although he is bidding to win is first handicap, several excellent efforts in hot company make him a serious player from a winnable mark. A fast run race will suit Lowther over a minimum trip for him, whilst Hamoody has the ability and was noted making good headway last time from an impossible position.

5.10: Captain Dancer completes the proposed four-timer for the Hills trainer. Such a prediction is a big ask in the sort of tough races they contest and I do not intend to follow it over a cliff.  I suggest it is a day for small investment only.


  BUSH TELEGRAPH:

THURSDAY OCTOBER 22nd:

 Two messages have been received for KEMPTON  RACING tonight.

The first runs in the 7.20: Al Qeddaaf carries stable confidence after a recent run is said to have blown away the cobwebs. His form is hard to asses, but he returns to a winning mark although this does not look a particularly easy race. Given the breaks he should be there or thereabouts, but does not have the appearance of a good thing.

 7.50: Muso had a reputation that preceded him at Wolverhampton on debut but ran below expectations, merely plugging on for fourth beaten some six lengths. Clearly he is regarded as being better than that and once again is expected to win. The fact he is stepped up in trip is something of a double-edged sword. The extra two furlongs may help but, on the other hand, he must have been showing a turn of foot at home to be considered so highly last time, so it could be he is a horse with a high cruising speed that fails to quicken. Tonight will tell us much more about him; just be careful you do not pay too much to find out!


BUSH TELEGRAPH:

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21st:

KEMPTON RACING TIPS:

8.20: Golden Shaheen is taken to win this maiden at the expense of what is arguably the form horse, Tartan Trip. The selection was a good second here after a run on unsuitably soft ground at Ayr, and was then far from disgraced in a valuable sales race at Newmarket. The return to this surface will suit, whereas Tartan Trip – who appeared to run well at Newbury in a slowly run race – may have been flattered by that. His presence here, from a stable that often fly high rather than low, hints that the Newbury run should not be taken literally. Golden Shaheen looks the one to be on.

BATH RACING TIPS:

2.30: To a lesser extent Spa’s Dancer gets his chance in an average maiden. His profile is one of a horse working his way down the ranks rather than up. Thrown in at the deep end on his debut, he now appears to be in his right grade.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

TUESDAY OCTOBER 20th:

YARMOUTH HORSE RACING TIPS:

Four fillies take the eye on the card today – which, at this time of year, could be asking for trouble:

2.20: Miss Antonia is expected to go well but is vulnerable to anything out of the ordinary. Her latest run is better with hindsight than it looked at the time and the trip will suit. She has an each-way chance at best.

2.50: Meeznah ran a race full of promise when third to the useful Tabassum on debut after a slow start. A prolonged absence is off-putting to a degree but, if all is well, she could be too good.

3.20: Rule Of Nature chased home Subtefuge at Warwick in promising style, but makes limited appeal at likely odds.

3.50: Magnificence represents the most interesting prospect on the day. Clearly she is not as good as her stable once thought, but she is not without ability and not many Michael Stoute inmates run from a mark of 60. The key to this stoutly bred filly could be the step up in trip. She does have a habit of taking a keen hold on the way to post so at a time of year when fillies can go over the top between paddock and stalls, it may pay to monitor her demeanour on the way down. All being well she has the ability to figure prominently.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

MONDAY October 19th:

PONTEFRACT HORSE RACING TIP:

3.40: Hot Prospect contests this in preference to the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy on Saturday and that, combined with the form subsequently shown by Morana – who finished second to the selection at Sandown – is seen as a strong hint for the selection’s chances. Described as the best juvenile in the stable, Hot Prospect is a well grown individual with plenty of depth. With his penalty, it is hard to see Frozen Power conceding weight to Hot Prospect and Black Snowflake is seen as a bigger threat.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

SUNDAY OCTOBER 18th:

SOUTHWELL HORSE RACING TIP:

SOUTHWELL stage a fair card today, featuring a tricky but quality-filled handicap. Best option on the day could be Demonstrative in the 2.10. Mark Johnston’s horses always act here if sent to race on Fibresand, so with the best form on offer, Demonstrative should have no trouble in winning.


 BUSH TELEGRAPH

SATURDAY OCTOBER 17th:

 NEWMARKET RACING TIPS:

One of the big days of the season with quality all the way at Headquarters.

1.50: This is a tough start to the day for which my suggestion is Donatavium. Ashram is quirky and several opponents look to be in the twilight of their racing careers. Donatavium’s form with Confront makes him one to include in perms.

2.25: After an easy win at Naas, Steinbeck may prove to be more man than mouse – think about that one – but this year’s Dewhurst looks up for grabs.

3.00: Bookmakers seem to have overacted to the claims of Fame And Glory. On ground and over a trip far from ideal, victory here is not impossible but he is no 13/8 chance – more like a 3/1 shot! Sariska likewise, so the first two in the betting look opposable. Physically, Doctor Fremantle looks to have improved enormously and he and Twice Over could represent value in a race that is more open than the betting suggests.

3.40: Impossible though these races are, I may take a small chance with Yes Mr President whose form is solid. Those espousing the chance of Darley Sun should bear in mind that taking weight-for-age into account, he is carrying the equivalent of 9st 6lbs.

4.15: Tabassum looks very useful and will take the beating, but there is confidence behind Champagnelifestyle who is said to be the best filly in the Barry Hills yard.

4.50: On the Dar Re Mi form at York in the spring, last year’s winner Crystal Capella looks a good thing to follow up on last year’s win in this event. A great day’s racing but a tough one probably best approached with caution. The suggestion is to go the multiple betting route for small stakes.

CHELTENHAM RACING TIPS:

I can pass on a word for Starluck in the 2.05. Not the strongest of finishers last year, he has his best chance of lasting in this company on ground sure to suit.


 BUSH TELEGRAPH

FRIDAY OCTOBER 16th:

NEWMARKET RACING TIPS:

1.30: The local word is for Inler, a Red Ransom debutant that has been making all the right moves at home. He is expected to open his account at the first time of asking.

2.00: This looks a close call between William Van Gogh and Theology, both of whom showed plenty of promise behind subsequent winner Fareej over this course and distance on their initial runs.

3.10: Glass Harmonium is of interest here as he looked as if he would improve on his last effort at Newbury three weeks ago in an unsuitably slow run affair. His Ascot form puts him in this with a definite chance, as does his effort in the Dante back in the spring. Not too many can be accorded a serious chance here and Glass Harmonium is taken to get the better of Rio De La Plata.

3.45: Such was the authority of Gripsholm Castle’s win over Presbyterian Nun last time, I would be reluctant to oppose her as she looks like a filly improving at the rate of knots.

4.20: After a bold attempt last time, Enact may provide another winner for the Stoute stable here.

CHELTENHAM stage an interesting jumping card for the winter enthusiasts. Despite the natural inclination to state Snap Tie is short enough to win on his first attempt over fences, he has impressed at home. He may not be betting material but should not be opposed in the 2.55.

WOLVERHAMPTON HORSE RACING TIPS:

7.45: Pat Seamur is expected to recover recent losses in what looks a weak nursery.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

THURSDAY OCTOBER 15th:

Just the one recommendation today:

NOTTINGHAM HORSE RACING TIP:

3.10: Black Eagle will appreciate the extra yardage and, having benefited from a promising debut, is expected to take this en route to better objectives.


 BUSH TELEGRAPH

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 14th:

Potentially it looks a quiet day.

 LINGFIELD HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.00: In a race comprising of four winners from their only outings to date, this is probably best left alone. Fareej appears to have the best form but the message is for Business As Usual.

  KEMPTON HORSE RACING TIPS:

6.50: Dahaam, a warm order last time that hung at a crucial stage, is once again expected to win. At the likely price and in view of a tame finishing effort last time, although he should oblige, I am inclined to let him run.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

TUESDAY OCTOBER 13th:

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.10: Mufarrh looks the obvious pick here as he has almost five lengths in hand of Official Style on Newbury running. However, Official Style is said to have improved since and it would come as now surprise should the gap between them be closed, if not overturned.

2.40: I can pass on news for Markhesa in the seller.

4.40: Botanist is expected to make amends for a narrow Sandown defeat last time. He seemed to go from cruising to struggling in the dying strides. The ground may have been responsible; there is just the chance he failed to stay. At a short price, any such doubt has to strike a warning note.

NEWCASTLE HORSE RACING TIPS:

1.50: This could develop into a hot contest by the standards set on this course. There are messages for Woodford Belle and Deirdre, whilst Anaya has form that entitles her to be in the mix. The presence of an unraced Godolphin contender further complicates the issue.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

MONDAY OCTOBER 12th:

SALISBURY HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.10: Flouncing, who was slow to stride when third to the potentially useful Muwakaba at Kempton, should appreciate this extra furlong and looks the one to beat.

3.45: Surely there is a race in Thousand Miles before the close of the season. He will be suited by easy ground but there is a fair message for Captain Dancer who must come into the reckoning in a tough-looking handicap.

4.20: For a horse with limited experience, Secrecy ran with plenty of promise last time at Doncaster. As a result he has to be taken seriously here; however, he has his share of weight for a three-year-old. Godolphin do tend to place their handicappers well but he will need to be pretty decent to win this – something that is entirely possible on the limited evidence to hand.

5.20: Last time we saw her Brief Look shaped like a filly that will appreciate this step up in trip. Once again she is the one to beat.

WINDSOR HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.05: I can pass on a word for Imperial Delight in this.


 BUSH TELEGRAPH

SUNDAY OCTOBER 11th:

There are two messages worthy of consideration today:

GOODWOOD HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.35: Ransom Note seems to have been afforded a chance from a decent mark in this nursery. This is no straightforward task but he is better than his last run indicates and carries stable confidence.

FFOS LAS HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.10: There may not be much of Aohona but this flat track is expected to bring out the best in her and she is expected to take advantage of modest opposition.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

SATURDAY OCTOBER 10th:

ASCOT HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.15: Assuming a low draw of two does not put Taajub on the wrong side of the divide, this drop to five should suit. He has plenty of pace in a race lacking its usual substance.

3.30: Class Is Class is inching up the ratings without winning, so it seems obvious to suggest that faced with another hard assignment he represents no value. However, his best effort was over this trip at York when second to Whispering Gallery with subsequent winner Yes Mr President in third. Unlucky in running that day (he may not have beaten the winner), with the draw in his favour and stable confidence on his side, a big run is envisaged. He may find one or two too good, but looks sure to be in the shake up.

YORK HORSE RACING TIPS:

4.20: Lay Claim ran with conspicuous promise at Newbury and despite the price looks banker material for those having multiple bets.

CHEPSTOW HORSE RACING TIPS:

1.55: Tito Bustillo is expected to win this on his way to much better things.

2.30: A drop in the ratings and a recent run on the Flat means that King’s Revenge has the look of a horse capable of recovering the winning thread. Although he has changed yards, the possible clue is that regular partner Robert Thornton rides. Having been faced with tough tasks when with Alan King, he has the look of a horse laid out for today.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

FRIDAY OCTOBER 2nd:

Spy is now away for 10 days… We’ll email you as soon as he returns!

Unitl then…

The Team at Horse Racing Pro.


BUSH TELEGRAPH

THURSDAY OCTOBER 1st:

NEWMARKET HORSE RACING TIPS:

This should be an interesting and informative card.

3.10: All the talk locally is of Manifest, a wide margin maiden winner over the July course. The field he beat was poor but he won as if in a different league. Sidestepping the St Leger, high hopes are entertained and he is expected to win today. He faces a different task against stiffer opposition and, whilst not decrying his prospects, backing unproven horses at short prices when raised in class is a recipe for disaster.

3.45: Khattaab and Hunting Tartan face a similar task after impressive maiden wins but confront much more experienced opponents with solid form. They look decent prospects but it is possibly too early to herald them as being up to dealing with such company.

5.30: Legislate is back on a decent mark in this handicap. Not over big, he receives weight, something likely to be in his favour. He won here in the spring and should go well after a luckless run last time at Goodwood.

GOODWOOD HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.10: Morana showed enough promise at Sandown behind Hot Prospect to suggest he can open his account. He has some filling out to do but only went down in the last furlong on debut. Awesome Act has the ability but, on the evidence of his Kempton run, not the will.

And that is it from me for a week or so as a break is badly needed. September has been a quiet month for me; I only hope my messages and articles have been of some help, although I appreciate my work rate has tailed off somewhat as we come to the end of what has been a long hard season. I also hope I have pointed some of you in the direction you should take if you wish to be a serious punter. I shall be back. In the meantime, good luck to Sea The Stars and to those of you still in there boxing…