BUSH TELEGRAPH

AUGUST

BUSH TELEGRAPH

MONDAY AUGUST 31st

A Bank Holiday washout as far as Bush Telegraph is concerned. After admittedly what was only a quick look, the conclusion is there are no bets today.

BUSH TELEGRAPH

SUNDAY AUGUST 30th

GOODWOOD HORSE RACING TIPS:

5.05: After costing his followers, it would appear that seven furlongs and a hold up ride is what brings out the best in Marching Time. His opponents today are a far cry from those he was at one time scheduled to face. Fancied by his stable, despite a low draw, he should be too good.

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SATURDAY AUGUST 29th:

NEWMARKET HORSE RACING TIPS:

1.50: Dafeef ran with a great deal of promise on debut at Salsibury, has come on in leaps and bounds since, and is expected to step up considerably. He has Bonheurs Art to beat but is rated as one of the better Godolphin youngsters.

2.50: Azizi looks progressive and is the target for the rest to aim at.

3.25: Palace Moon gets his chance to win today in what is a tight race. He has to be the selection but faces several serious rivals.

GOODWOOD HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.10: Delegator has been working brilliantly by all accounts. A mile seems to stretch his stamina but this is the place to last home. However, Zacinto is progressive and most likeable. He has plenty to find on Delegator but only having had three runs, he could easily be capable of breaking into the big league. This looks like a race to watch.

3.45: This looks to be between Sent From Heaven, Full Mandate and Snow Fairy but arranging them in order is tricky.

BEVERLEY HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.35: Spin Cycle gets his chance today in the right company and from the right box. Worth consideration.

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FRIDAY AUGUST 28th:

NEWMARKET HORSE RACING TIPS:

1.20: Despite a pedigree that suggests she will need more time, apparently Miss Miracle has been showing enough at home to justify her place in a Newmarket maiden and small support. She is expected to go close.

2.20: Deauville Post looks like a colt travelling in the right direction. A line through Dubawi Phantom means he is closely weighted with Missionaire, but Deauville Post looks an improving type and is taken to win this. Paper favourite, Whippers Love looks opposable.

2.55: Awesome Act makes limited appeal at the price but his second to the much vaunted Al Zir will be held up to the light by his run today. He is well regarded.

3.30: Triple Jig has apparently improved significantly since finishing seventh to Al Zir and Awesome Act over this course and distance. This son of Gone West is expected to win today.

5.10: It may be a bit late to ‘blow the bloody doors off’ with Getcarter, but he still looks feasibly treated from a mark of 76.

THIRSK HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.35: Second to High Twelve on his only outing, Corsica should open his account here.

3.10: Super Collider is another juvenile expected to step up on a promising debut at Newmarket. Sixth to Simeon and Timely Jazz in a race that is working out, in Ultravox he meets a horse that has not progressed and looks beatable.

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THURSDAY AUGUST 27th:

Another difficult day to decipher: There is a message for Adele Blanc Sec in the 3.50 Lingfield, but she faces serious rivals in the shape of two colts and it is hard to be confident. At this stage it is a struggle to unearth a bet.

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WEDNESDAY AUGUST 26th:

WARWICK HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.30: Marine Spirit looks to have been let in lightly in the nursery from a mark of 82. He beat a well-fancied opponent in Subtefuge tidily at Folkestone and appears to hold every chance of following up.

4.00: Suffolk Punch may represent some value against Lamh Albasser. His failure to handle Goodwood means his last run can be ignored; whereas, albeit slightly flattering, his Epsom form is relatively strong.He is seen as a value alternative here to the Godolphin favourite and Stags Leap.

Cases can be made for two old campaigners elsewhere. Collateral Damage is a rogue but has his conditions at AYR, whilst the honest Mr Wolf must have a chance from a favourable draw at CATTERICK.

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TUESDAY AUGUST 25th:

With low-quality meetings, it is a quiet day on the racing front today.

Nothing is advised.

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MONDAY AUGUST 24th:

WINDSOR HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.30: After what has to be regarded as an unlucky debut over course and distance last time, Sunraider has a chance to atone. The newcomers do not look obvious sharp types and providing there is nothing of any great strength in opposition he should open his account.

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.40: The somewhat unreliable Ashram is by-passed here as preference is for the more dependable Brief Encounter. On official figures Andrew Balding’s representative has ground to make up on Ashram, but he is sure to be suited by the surface, finished in front of Ashram last time (albeit there was a hard luck story) and is seen as an uncomplicated alternative.

4.40: Bawadi is not the sort one should back really as his form is weak. But such was the impression created last time over this track that he is hard to overlook.

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SUNDAY AUGUST 23rd:

There are no selections today although the clash in the Prix Morny at Deauville at 2.50 looks one to savour. Two of the most promising British juveniles put unbeaten records on the line. So far Canford Cliffs and Arcano have looked well above average; whichever comes through this confrontation can lay claim to being the best current two-year-old of the season.

The French are represented by Special Duty and Zanzibari but it would be something of a shock if either were to prove good enough to lower the colours of our team. Canford Cliffs is the horse that will draw the attention of race watchers and nothing less than a smooth display will satisfy those that have taken the plunge for next year’s 2,000 Guineas. This represents a serious test despite a price that suggests victory is a foregone conclusion.

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SATURDAY AUGUST 22nd:

This is one tough day littered with handicaps!

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.10: Strawberrydaiquiri is expected to win although her price makes her of limited appeal.

4.55: After the run of Walk On Water yesterday, Bab At The Bowster looks like a sensible selection in the nursery. True she made hard work of winning at Brighton, but the track may not have been ideal and today’s opposition does not look overly strong.

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FRIDAY AUGUST 21st:

YORK HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.15: This is a very tricky race. Perfect Stride is fancied but has to be filed under the’ unreliable’ category for me. Forgotten Voice is flattered by his Goodwood run, Russian Sage, over his best trip, will be a danger to all if fit after a layoff.

2.50: Confront is fancied but has had all the chances for me. I also happen to think this is a harder race than the one he was beaten in last time. Huntdown can win this if fit and well. His now-you-see-me-now-you-don’t profile is off putting but he is a big horse that may have needed time. He had winner etched all over him when second at Newmarket. Secret Society continues to improve.

3.25: Kingsgate Native is another that can win but does not appeal as a bet. I am equally unconvinced by Radiohead. This could be set up for an outsider.

CHESTER HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.30: Having failed to handle Epsom, I have doubts about Akhenaten acting round Chester. He can win against this opposition but it may be a case of the boat having sailed.

3.40: Diamond Laura’s form is solid and on the assumption that Walk On Water beat little at Ascot and was fit that day, I shall row in with Mrs Carr’s representative who is already a course and distance winner.

SALISBURY HORSE RACING TIPS:

6.25: The penalty may beat Big Audio. Black Snowflake is improving and will have to raise his game again to win this. Dreamspeed will appreciate this step up in trip and providing he breaks on terms, is the other serious runner.

WOLVERHAMPTON HORSE RACING TIPS:

7.45: I am tempted to think Wigan Lane ought to win a seller. This may not be the smartest of calls as her last two runs have been poor. On her first three efforts she would have an outstanding chance.

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THURSDAY AUGUST 20th:

YORK HORSE RACING TIPS

2.15:If Lady Of The Desert is the horse they claim she will be hard to beat. Beyond Desire is all strength and looks primed to run well.

2.50: Scuffle would have a definite chance if the ground eases after a fine run last time at Newmarket behind yesterday’s winner, Whispering Gallery. Mirrored is inching up the weights and although should run well, things appear to be getting tougher for him.

At Epsom, Emirates Roadshow is fancied in the 7.30.

After such a good effort at Sandown, Passkey may be good enough to open her account in the 2.40 at Lingfield.

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WEDNESDAY AUGUST 19th:

YORK HORSE RACING TIPS:

2.00: Class Is Class ran a race full of promise at Newmarket where not much went right. Even allowing for a troubled passage from an immature horse, defeat by the useful duo Firebet and Roman Republic reads well. Now 5lbs higher and over an extra two furlongs, he ticks a lot of boxes. The stumbling block is the price but he is hard to oppose.

2.50: There is a good message for Showcasing but to my mind Monsieur Chevalier is the form horse and the type to win a Gimcrack. A professional two-year-old with speed to burn, those opposing him may be looking the proverbial gift horse in the mouth.

 BUSH TELEGRAPH

TUESDAY AUGUST 18th:

YORK HORSE RACING TIPS:

Day One and a day featuring three top class events, although the turnout for the Juddmonte is disappointing.

The 2.15 could turn out to be one of the best two-year-old races seen so far. As well as the obvious contenders, I particularly like Sea Lord as a horse (may not be good enough) so this is a race I will be watching with a great deal of interest.

2.50: The bet has to be in the 2.50 where Alwaary – very much a horse on the upgrade – has to be given preference over Harbinger. Alwaary’s fourth to Conduit in the King George entitles him to be favourite and the 9/4 should be snapped up this morning. In what is seen as a two-horse affair, he should be too good for Harbinger on this occasion.

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MONDAY AUGUST 17th:

There seems little to get animated about on this the last day before York.

Brief Work will be short but is seen as the only possibility today in the 4.00 Kempton. A good second last time, she is expected to open her account here.

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SUNDAY AUGUST 16th:

One message today and that concerns the Prix Jacques Le Marios –

3.25 at Deauville:

Gladiatorus is said to be back to the sort of form he showed in Dubai during the Carnival when labelled by some as the best horse in the world. He certainly looked good when dominating the three races he contested and despite a poor run in the Queen Anne, is worth chancing at the odds today. Goldikova is a formidable opponent but should not be odds-on for this – a much tougher assignment than when she won the Falmouth at Newmarket. The form of the French 2,000 Guineas, won by Silver Frost, has taken a knock or two and he looks set to struggle in this elevated company. Never On A Sunday could be the other runner, but a back-to-form Gladiatorus will be hard to peg back.

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SATURDAY AUGUST 15th:

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TIPS

1.30: Dylanesque is reported to be well above average; a big run is expected. With several possible dangers also unraced it is hard to be dogmatic but Dylanesque should be in the shake-up.

2.05: Labelled as John Gosden’s best two-year-old, Azmeel faces a hike in class after a ready win in a Sandown maiden. Unlikely to be a betting proposition but hard to oppose.

2.35: The first of the two feature races – both of them may not be as simple as they look. Mourilyan had a hard race at Goodwood two weeks ago and Kite Wood did not beat a lot at Newmarket. They are the form horses but holes can be picked in them, whilst Basaltico has so far looked as if a mile-and-a-half is the limit of his stamina.

3.10: With enough ease in the ground after watering and a light morning drizzle, Border Patrol would be the pick. Most progressive at the start of the season, he has the profile of a horse capable of winning at this sort of level. At present plans for today are fluid. As for Evasive, he has something to prove and there is the nagging question as to why Cheveley Park Stud – not normally an outfit to sell horses – let him go. On suitable ground, Border Patrol looks the part.

3.45: Swift Gift is fancied in what looks a winnable race. He can be tricky but runs best fresh and should go well after a break.

NEWMARKET looks tough. Cases can be made for Bounty Box and Electioneer in their respective races without them warranting bets.

RIPON HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.55: If, if and if. If the ground remains good to firm; if the draw does not play a major part in the outcome; if we can find the winner…Hitchens has the look of a horse laid out for a race such as this. He is best on fast ground so rain would scupper his chance but races from a handy mark. As always in these events, luck plays a massive part.

BUSH TELEGRAPH

FRIDAY AUGUST 14th:

NEWBURY HORSE RACING PRO:

1.20: There is an encouraging word for Markazzi here. In Pounced, he faces a horse to respect rather than to be feared. Michael Stoute youngsters invariably improve for the outing but if Markazzi is as good as stated, he will take the beating.

1.50: Harvest Dancer is the each-way shout in this.

3.30: It is surprising to see Sand Vixen dropped in trip after staying on over six last time. Shamandar looks the form selection.

Plenty of racing elsewhere but to be honest little in the way of betting opportunities.

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THURSDAY AUGUST 13th:

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TIPS:

Two short priced good things are included on the card. Waseet ran well enough at Newmarket on debut to suggest most maidens would be within his compass.

He should not be pressed to open his account in the 2.50. Mezenah is a confident stable call in the 4.00.

3.25: Is interesting but tricky. Lindoro and the lightly-raced but well regarded Prime Exhibit are the two that may be worth concentrating on.

4.35: Farleigh will welcome any rain and is in good shape and expected to go well from a stable in terrific form.

SALISBURY HORSE RACING TIPS:

4.15: Last year’s winner Ordnance Row will relish a drop of overnight rain and represents value. Confront has never realised promise shown as a juvenile and looks a take on. Laa Rayb may not reproduce his Goodwood form; this is a winnable contest.

CHEPSTOW HORSE RACING TIPS:

5.50: Vanishing Grey is expected to win the opener on the card.

NEWCASTLE HORSE RACING TIPS:

6.00: Bow Beaver created a decent impression when winning first time at Carlisle. A big horse, it is no surprise he has been given time, so assuming his absence is not the result of a setback, his form looks better than that represented by Spying. Bow Beaver can win this on the way to something better.

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WEDNESDAY AUGUST 12th:

SALISBURY RACING TIPS:

2.30: The card kicks off with a quality maiden. There is a word for Gallant Eagle who finished fourth to Arcano at Newbury. He returns after a bout of sore shins on ground likely to be on the firm side, and is by Hawk Wing. Can win but not for me. Carnaby Street, Cansili Star and Mon Cadeaux are among serious opponents.

3.00: Frozen Power may be good enough to win what looks an ordinary nursery.

3.35: Marching Time may have an issue or two and would prefer some cut. Again, one with a good chance but limited betting appeal.

BEVERLEY RACING TIPS:

2.40: Love Delta showed promise behind Stags Leap at Goodwood. On that evidence he has a definite chance of winning this lesser maiden from an all-important advantageous draw.

YARMOUTH RACING TIPS:

2.50: Farncombe’s recent third to Sir Isaac looks enough to secure victory in a modest maiden.

SANDOWN RACING TIPS:

5.30: Speedily bred Wellington Fair faded over six last time behind Lucky General at Windsor. A drop to five should help his cause – however, the low draw is a negative.

7.10: Sir Isaac has claims here in a race where many of the market leaders look exposed. From his low draw he will need the breaks.

A tough day with limited opportunities. Farncombe looks the best proposition, but the price threatens to be short.

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TUESDAY AUGUST 11th:

This is not an ideal betting day but there are a couple of possible candidates for small money.

LINGFIELD RACING TIPS:

3.00: Reddy To Star cannot boast the best of records, but her problem is that she barely stays five furlongs. This sharp track(similar to Chester where she ran well from a bad draw) and nursery company presents here with what could be her best chance. As long as master tactician Philip Robinson can conserve her energy, she looks value to last home.

MUSSELBURGH RACING TIPS:

8.40: Dark Moment is another that is hardly mortgage material but he does have ability. A slow starter last time, he made up a deal of ground at Hamilton and providing he jumps on terms today has little to beat.

So, two suggestions with definite doubts that are likely to be overpriced as a result and presented with their chances if they are smart enough to take them.

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MONDAY AUGUST 10th:

SOUTHWELL RACING TIPS:

2.15: Connections have always held Ottoman Empire in some regard. Unable to find suitable ground they have decided to try their luck on the Fibresand. Backing horses on this surface without experience is risky, but this looks a weak field. Brief Look looks the danger but a sixty day absence is off-putting and the race she finished second in at Newbury was nothing to write home about in any case.

WINDSOR RACING TIPS:

6.20: Gene Autry is worth another chance to realise the potential he showed first time. Strongly fancied at Ascot last time, he fell in a heap having travelled like a dream before finishing fourth to Sea Lord.. Form on Ascot’s straight track is not always reliable these days and a drop in trip may help Gene Autry to make amends.

7.50: With Richard Hughes opting to ride Beauchamp Xerxes, presumably in preference to Gearbox, the inference is that the Hannon newcomer is opposable. Beauchamp Xerxes has had too many chances to contemplate, so despite an absence from the track since June it may be worth taking a chance with Awesome Surprise, whose fourth to In Footlights at Newmarket should be good enough.

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SUNDAY 9th August

REDCAR RACNIG TIPS:

2.10: Aquarius Star ran two races in one on debut at Beverley. Slowly away, she had to overcome greeness on a tricky track for a newcomer but stuck on stoutly when second to Spying. I suspect that was a better run than that shown by likely favourite Cash Queen Anna in a Newbury maiden won by Connipton. With the benefit of that first run, Aquarius Star ought to be good enough to open her account at Redcar.

Windsor looks tricky and Leicester is a spit in the wind away from being abandoned.

At DEAUVILLE the major event is the Prix Maurice de Gheest. Installing Naaquoos as favourite does seem to involve a leap of faith. Even if recovering his best form with the likes of Milanais, Silver Frost and Bushranger, it is questionable whether that entitles him to be favourite for a race such as this. It may not be a vintage renewal but a personal best and then some is required from Naaquoos. African Rose may have the edge on her preferred ground but it is not an easy race to call.

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SATURDAY 8th August

In order to be successful at betting you need an edge. That means knowing something others do not or being able to see something others have missed. Today’s cards are such that even if you think you are in possession of such an advantage, the races are so tough that it may not help.

However, let’s start with the Shergar Cup:

As usual the races are closely matched handicaps.

1.45: Polly’s Mark has the best chance which is why she is favourite. She can win but is not a good thing at 5/2.

2.20: Moynahan wins this on bits of form but the trouble is he has not won for two years and often teases with a good run followed by a bad one. He is not sensible betting material. In-form City Of The Kings is a solid alternative (horse he beat – Webbow – ran well next time) but we are asking him to win three on the bounce and he is drawn on the outside.

NEWMARKET RACING TIPS:

1.25: Battlemaiden is fancied to step up considerably on her debut at Ascot. She needs to.

3.00: Chachamaidee is the form horse but as befits a Group 3, the race looks tough.The extra furlong is not sure to suit her but if it does she will be hard to beat. Long Lashes, a winner on the soft in Ireland, will presumably face very different drying-out ground today.

3.35: I made a note of Al Khaleej last time when he was a staying on eighth behind Knot in Wood. Now stepped up to seven, he should go well despite top weight.

4.10: Tabassum is the best message here. Watch out for Dancing Queen though; she has done plenty of work and is said to be useful. She could run well at a price.

HAYDOCK RACING TIPS:

3.15: Libel Law is fancied each-way but obviously Dancourt will be hard to beat.

Best bet of the day? Don’t know – have to leave it you and hope what I have passed on is of help.

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FRIDAY 7th August

LINGFIELD RACING TIPS:

2.10: Gibb River has taken time to fill his frame but stays well and in a weak race should open his account.

BRIGHTON RACING TIPS:

3.30: Carmenero is not the safest betting conveyance, but this track suits monkeys and he is well enough in to be nominated. However, backing such animals does involve obvious risks. (The return may be less than you invested as the adverts for fancy financial packages put it.)

NEWMARKET RACING TIPS:

7.50: Native Ruler is another talented but backward three-year-old that has taken time to mature. Working well at home, he is expected to take this step up in grade in his giant stride tonight.

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THURSDAY 6th August

BRIGHTON RACING TIPS:

2.30: The presence of Bab At The Bowster at such a lowly venue as Brighton indicates the worth of the Ascot maiden in which she finished third to Walk On Water. Nevertheless, she should be up to opening her account against modest opposition.

SANDOWN RACING TIPS:

6.45: High Twelve is not a betting proposition but having finished second in a high class maiden his participation lends interest to an otherwise mundane card.

FOLKESTONE RACING TIPS:

6.05: There is a word for Golden Rosie here. Yeees…

6.35: Marine Spirit should win this but he did look something of a worrier at Newmarket, which could be a concern. Apparently, Subtefuge is above average.

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WEDNESDAY 5th August

Plenty of racing today but limited betting opportunities, at least as I write. I shall just stick to one selection, which I feel should win.

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TIPS:

7.05: Astonishment gets his chance from a favourable draw and with the invaluable assistance of Ryan Moore, who could have ridden the Hannon horse should he have chosen so to do. In fact Astonishment’s opponents look mainly poor and this represents Astonishment’s best chance to date.

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TUESDAY 4th August

A quiet day on the racing front:

L’enchanteresse should win the 2.40 at CHEPSTOW, but no prizes for originality!

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MONDAY 3rd Aug

RIPON HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.15: It is possible that Crime Writer will improve for a step up in trip. Caught out by a slow pace and a race that developed into a sprint at Sandown last time, a mile-and-a-quarter may bring out improvement.

4.15: Cherish The Moment has run two good races although his last when behind Native Ruler at Pontefract was abysmal. However, there is a suspicion he may not have been right that day and despite a 96 day absence, it is unlikely he would be sent on a mission to Ripon if connections feel the run is needed.

WINDSOR HORSE RACING TIPS:

6.30: Weeping Willow is said to be useful and at the moment is the best message received. Love And Devotion is a nice type that should run a race without being anything out of the top drawer.

8.00: Decent ground is essential for Ottoman Empire – a horse his stable has always liked. This is a tricky one as the prospect of no rain may make the ground borderline, in which case the horse could run when it would be better if he waits for a more forgiving surface. Expected to win if he runs, but that was the word last time and they ran him on ground that was too firm.

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SUNDAY 2nd Aug

There are two horses worth a second look for those of you involved today, but they are more selections than bets:

CHESTER HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.30: With the plum draw, Doncaster Rover looks to have an outstanding chance here. His recent Newbury third to High Standing may be somewhat misleading, but it leaves plenty to play with and he should take the beating.

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TIPS:

3.20: Fallen In Love appears to have the best credentials but may not be favourite as to an extent she is exposed. Phillipina might improve past her, but Fallen In Love looks like being value against a filly yet to justify the hype.

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SATURDAY 1st Aug

There is racing today – lots of it. Serious overkill; I have lost count of the number of meetings. No matter, as the only one that counts is Goodwood, at which there are a couple of serious betting opportunities.

GOODWOOD RACING TIPS:

2.30: There is a strong message for Zacinto here. Despite the penalty, my preference is for Donativum – particularly at the likely price – but it would be foolish to dismiss the word from the Sir Michael Stoute’s yard about what was a one-time Guineas aspirant.

3.05: Providing we get the promised rain (not a given on the evidence provided by the weathermen this week), Rainbow View is a confident call to regain the winning thread. This is the first time she is faced with conditions likely to suit. The trip will be ideal. A mile is too short, a mile-and-a-half too far. It was easy to jump to the conclusion after the Guineas that she had not trained on but that was a premature call. The ground beat her at Newmarket, the trip in the Coronation and Falmouth (when only just over a length behind Goldikova); now with some ease in the ground she gets her chance. Rainbow View will return to her best today and is overpriced to do so.

3.40: I confess to being part of the Sonny Red gamble yesterday. I have been banging on about his chances for some time when stepped up to six and faced with easy ground. He is another for whom the rain is a bonus but there is no doubting he is well treated on old form and there is every sign he retains his ability.   That’s it. They are welcome to the rest of their tips and whispers at Timbucktoo, I shall stand or fall by the three mentioned: Donativum – small bet: Rainbow View – good bet if the rain arrives and Sonny Red – possibly followed by a serious bottle of red to either celebrate or commiserate.